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Recent methods in quantile regression have adopted a classification perspective to handle challenges posed by heteroscedastic, multimodal, or skewed data by quantizing outputs into fixed bins. Although these regression-as-classification…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Batuhan Cengiz , Halil Faruk Karagoz , Tufan Kumbasar

Measurement error is an important problem that has not been very well studied in the context of Functional Data Analysis. To the best of our knowledge, there are no existing methods that address the presence of functional measurement errors…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-19 Sneha Jadhav , Shuangge Ma

Regression problems have been widely studied in machinelearning literature resulting in a plethora of regression models and performance measures. However, there are few techniques specially dedicated to solve the problem of how to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Carlos Mougan , David Masip , Jordi Nin , Oriol Pujol

Time series forecasting is critical for many applications, where deep learning-based point prediction models have demonstrated strong performance. However, in practical scenarios, there is also a need to quantify predictive uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Xiannan Huang , Shuhan Qiu

We address the problem of incremental sequence classification, where predictions are updated as new elements in the sequence are revealed. Drawing on temporal-difference learning from reinforcement learning, we identify a…

Quantile regression (QR) is becoming increasingly popular due to its relevance in many scientific investigations. There is a great amount of work about linear and nonlinear QR models. Specifically, nonparametric estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-13 Eliana Christou

This paper introduces a framework for uncertainty quantification in regression models defined in metric spaces. Leveraging a newly defined notion of homoscedasticity, we develop a conformal prediction algorithm that offers finite-sample…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Gábor Lugosi , Marcos Matabuena

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

This paper deals with improvement of linear quantile regression, when there are a few distinct values of the covariates but many replicates. On can improve asymptotic efficiency of the estimated regression coefficients by using suitable…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-30 Kaushik Jana , Debasis Sengupta

Conformal inference provides a rigorous statistical framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, enabling well-calibrated prediction sets with precise coverage guarantees for any classification model. However, its reliance…

Work in machine learning and statistics commonly focuses on building models that capture the vast majority of data, possibly ignoring a segment of the population as outliers. However, there does not often exist a good model on the whole…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-11 Diego Calderon , Brendan Juba , Sirui Li , Zongyi Li , Lisa Ruan

Quantile regression (QR) is now widely used to analyze the effect of covariates on the conditional distribution of a response variable. It provides a more comprehensive picture of the relationship between a response and covariates compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Wenwu Gao , Dongyi Zheng , Hanbing Zhu

This paper studies quantile regression with an endogenous regressor and measurement error in the dependent variable. Standard quantile regression estimators ignoring these two elements can induce substantial bias. We adopt a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-21 Xuanjing Su

Regression quantiles have asymptotic variances that depend on the conditional densities of the response variable given regressors. This paper develops a new estimate of the asymptotic variance of regression quantiles that leads any…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-27 Juan Carlos Escanciano , Chuan Goh

In this paper, we develop uniform inference methods for the conditional mode based on quantile regression. Specifically, we propose to estimate the conditional mode by minimizing the derivative of the estimated conditional quantile function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Tao Zhang , Kengo Kato , David Ruppert

While split conformal prediction guarantees marginal coverage, approaching the stronger property of conditional coverage is essential for reliable uncertainty quantification. Naive conformal scores, however, suffer from poor conditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Sacha Braun , Eugène Berta , Michael I. Jordan , Francis Bach

The partial copula provides a method for describing the dependence between two random variables $X$ and $Y$ conditional on a third random vector $Z$ in terms of nonparametric residuals $U_1$ and $U_2$. This paper develops a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-30 Lasse Petersen , Niels Richard Hansen

Conformal prediction provides rigorous distribution-free finite-sample guarantees for marginal coverage under the assumption of exchangeability, but may exhibit systematic undercoverage or overcoverage for specific subpopulations. Assessing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-24 Zheng Zhou , Xiangfei Zhang , Chongguang Tao , Yuhong Yang

Genetic studies often involve quantitative traits. Identifying genetic features that influence quantitative traits can help to uncover the etiology of diseases. Quantile regression method considers the conditional quantiles of the response…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-04 Qianchuan He , Linglong Kong , Yanhua Wang , Sijian Wang , Timothy A. Chan , Eric Holland

Conformal prediction provides a principled framework for uncertainty quantification with finite-sample coverage guarantees. While recent work has extended conformal prediction to online and sequential settings, existing methods typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Ambuj Tewari
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