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COVID-19--a viral infectious disease--has quickly emerged as a global pandemic infecting millions of people with a significant number of deaths across the globe. The symptoms of this disease vary widely. Depending on the symptoms an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Madhab Barman , Snigdhashree Nayak , Manoj K. Yadav , Soumyendu Raha , Nachiketa Mishra

In this paper, we investigate the ongoing dynamics of COVID-19 in India after its emergence in Wuhan, China in December 2019. We discuss the effect of nationwide lockdown implemented in India on March 25, 2020 to prevent the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Chintamani Pai , Ankush Bhaskar , Vaibhav Rawoot

The prediction of spread patterns of COVID19 virus in India is very difficult due to its versatile demographic as well as meteorological data distribution. Various researchers across the globe have attempted to correlate the interdependency…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-27 Raj Kishore , Bijaylaxmi Sahoo , Debadatta Swain , Kisor Kumar Sahu

We consider the pandemic spreading of COVID-19 in India after the outbreak of the coronavirus in Wuhan city, China. We estimate the transmission rate of the initial infecting individuals of COVID-19 in India by using the officially reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-09 R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

The global pandemic due to the outbreak of COVID-19 ravages the whole world for more than two years in which all the countries are suffering a lot since December 2019. In order to control this ongoing waves of epidemiological infections,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-11 Kalpita Ghosh , Asim Kumar Ghosh

The SEIR model is a widely used epidemiological model used to predict the rise in infections. This model has been widely used in different countries to predict the number of Covid-19 cases. But the original SEIR model does not take into…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-08 Sathiyanarayanan Sampath , Joy Bose

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

The estimate of the remaining time of an ongoing wave of epidemic spreading is a critical issue. Due to the variations of a wide range of parameters in an epidemic, for simple models such as Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, it is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-12 Anvesh Reddy , Hanesh Koganti , Sai Krishna , Suhas Reddy , Soumyajyoti Biswas

COVID-19 pandemic has become a major threat to the country. Till date, well tested medication or antidote is not available to cure this disease. According to WHO reports, COVID-19 is a severe acute respiratory syndrome which is transmitted…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-03 Gaurav Pandey , Poonam Chaudhary , Rajan Gupta , Saibal Pal

According to the current perception, symptomatic, presymptomatic, and asymptomatic infectious persons can infect the healthy population susceptible to the SARS-Cov-2. More importantly, various reports indicate that the number of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-24 Saptarshi Chatterjee , Apurba Sarkar , Mintu Karmakar , Swarnajit Chatterjee , Raja Paul

COVID-19 will be a continuous threat to human population despite having a few vaccines at hand until we reach the endemic state through natural herd immunity and total immunization through universal vaccination. However, the vaccine acts as…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-26 V. R. Saiprasad , R. Gopal , V. K. Chandrasekar , M. Lakshmanan

The infections and fatalities due to SARS-CoV-2 virus for cases specific to India have been studied using a deterministic susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered-dead (SEIRD) compartmental model. One of the most significant epidemiological…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-09 Vishwajeet Jha

Understanding the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic is crucial for improved control and social distancing strategies. To that effect, we have employed the susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered model, refined by contact tracing and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 Subhas Khajanchi , Kankan Sarkar , Jayanta Mondal

The last leg of the year 2019 gave rise to a virus named COVID-19 (Corona Virus Disease 2019). Since the beginning of this infection in India, the government implemented several policies and restrictions to curtail its spread among the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-15 Punam Bedi , Shivani , Pushkar Gole , Neha Gupta , Vinita Jindal

SARS-COV-2 has stopped the world in its footsteps and a third of the population has been forced to stay at home. Here we present a comparative study of the performance of states of India, in curbing the spread of the disease, that are most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-29 Chinmay Patwardhan

To combat the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, the world has vaccination, plasma therapy, herd immunity, and epidemiological interventions as few possible options. The COVID-19 vaccine development is underway and it may take a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-26 Hanuman Verma , Akshansh Gupta , Utkarsh Niranjan

Infectious disease transmission dynamics are particularly sensitive to social contact patterns, and the precautions people take to limit disease transmission. It depends on the age distribution of the community. Thus, knowing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Vijay Pal Bajiya , Jai Prakash Tripathi , Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay

The current global health emergency triggered by the pandemic COVID-19 is one of the greatest challenges mankind face in this generation. Computational simulations have played an important role to predict the development of the current…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-11 Kok Yew Ng , Meei Mei Gui

India is one of the worst affected countries by the Covid-19 pandemic at present. We studied publicly available data of the Covid-19 patients in India and analyzed possible impacts of quarantine and social distancing within the stochastic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-12 Athokpam Langlen Chanu , R. K. Brojen Singh

In this paper, a susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) model has been used to track the evolution of the spread of the COVID-19 virus in four countries of interest. In particular, the epidemic model, that depends on some basic characteristics,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos
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