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Regression discontinuity and kink designs are typically analyzed through mean effects, even when treatment changes the shape of the entire outcome distribution. To address this, we introduce distributional discontinuity designs, a framework…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Kyle Schindl , Larry Wasserman

Machine learning models are a powerful theoretical tool for analyzing data from quantum simulators, in which results of experiments are sets of snapshots of many-body states. Recently, they have been successfully applied to distinguish…

Distribution function is essential in statistical inference, and connected with samples to form a directed closed loop by the correspondence theorem in measure theory and the Glivenko-Cantelli and Donsker properties. This connection creates…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-02 Xueqin Wang , Jin Zhu , Wenliang Pan , Junhao Zhu , Heping Zhang

We study a non linear regression model with functional data as inputs and scalar response. We propose a pointwise estimate of the regression function that maps a Hilbert space onto the real line by a local linear method. We provide the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-20 Alain Berlinet , Abdallah Elamine , André Mas

Neuron models have attracted a lot of attention recently, both in mathematics and neuroscience. We are interested in studying long-time and large-population emerging properties in a simplified toy model. From a mathematical perspective,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Maxime Herda , Pierre Monmarché , Benoît Perthame

The $k$ principal points of a random vector $\mathbf{X}$ are defined as a set of points which minimize the expected squared distance between $\mathbf{X}$ and the nearest point in the set. They are thoroughly studied in Flury (1990, 1993),…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Juan Lucas Bali , Graciela Boente

This paper develops a rigorous probabilistic framework that extends denoising diffusion models to the setting of noncommutative random variables. Building on Voiculescu's theory of free entropy and free Fisher information, we formulate…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Swagatam Das

ANOVA decomposition of function with random input variables provides ANOVA functionals (AFs), which contain information about the contributions of the input variables on the output variable(s). By embedding AFs into an appropriate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-29 Matieyendou Lamboni

The usual formulas for the correlation functions in orthogonal and symplectic matrix models express them as quaternion determinants. From this representation one can deduce formulas for spacing probabilities in terms of Fredholm…

solv-int · Physics 2009-07-11 Craig A. Tracy , Harold Widom

We introduce a novel statistical framework for the analysis of replicated point processes that allows for the study of point pattern variability at a population level. By treating point process realizations as random measures, we adopt a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-05 Franck Picard , Vincent Rivoirard , Angelina Roche , Victor Panaretos

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

This paper proposes a distributionally robust approach to logistic regression. We use the Wasserstein distance to construct a ball in the space of probability distributions centered at the uniform distribution on the training samples. If…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-12-02 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Daniel Kuhn

Impractical assumptions, an inherently myopic nature, and the crucial role of the initial design, all together contribute to making theoretical convergence proofs of little value in real-life Bayesian Optimization applications. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Antonio Candelieri , Francesco Archetti

We consider the estimation and inference of graphical models that characterize the dependency structure of high-dimensional tensor-valued data. To facilitate the estimation of the precision matrix corresponding to each way of the tensor, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-27 Xiang Lyu , Will Wei Sun , Zhaoran Wang , Han Liu , Jian Yang , Guang Cheng

We propose a new mathematical model for $n-k$-dimensional non-linear correlations with intrinsic scatter in $n$-dimensional data. The model is based on Riemannian geometry, and is naturally symmetric with respect to the measured variables…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-08 Pauli Pihajoki

Distributed systems require fusing heterogeneous local probability distributions into a global summary over sparse and unreliable communication networks. Traditional consensus algorithms, which average distributions in Euclidean space,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-26 Ali Baheri , Alireza Vahid

The proliferation of large data sets and Bayesian inference techniques motivates demand for better data sparsification. Coresets provide a principled way of summarizing a large dataset via a smaller one that is guaranteed to match the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-04 Sebastian Claici , Aude Genevay , Justin Solomon

We encounter a bottleneck when we try to borrow the strength of classical classifiers to classify functional data. The major issue is that functional data are intrinsically infinite dimensional, thus classical classifiers cannot be applied…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Peijun Sang , Adam B Kashlak , Linglong Kong

We show that radiation from complex and inherently random but correlated wave sources can be modelled efficiently by using an approach based on the Wigner distribution function. Our method exploits the connection between correlation…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-09-30 Gabriele Gradoni , Stephen Creagh , Gregor Tanner , Christopher Smartt , David Thomas

Combining the outputs of multiple classifiers or experts into a single probabilistic classification is a fundamental task in machine learning with broad applications from classifier fusion to expert opinion pooling. Here we present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Susanne Trick , Constantin A. Rothkopf
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