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Related papers: Conformal Uncertainty Sets for Robust Optimization

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In robust optimization one seeks to make a decision under uncertainty, where the goal is to find the solution with the best worst-case performance. The set of possible realizations of the uncertain data is described by a so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Immanuel Bomze , Markus Gabl

Robust optimization is a method for optimization under uncertainties in engineering systems and designs for applications ranging from aeronautics to nuclear. In a robust design process, parameter variability (or uncertainty) is incorporated…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-17 Richa Verma , Dinesh Kumar , Kazuma Kobayashi , Syed Alam

This paper is concerned with the robust tracking control of linear uncertain systems, whose unknown system parameters and disturbances are bounded within ellipsoidal sets. We propose an adaptive robust control that can actively learn the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-08 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Yushuai Li , Fucai Qian , Tingwen Huang

Applying robust optimization often requires selecting an appropriate uncertainty set both in shape and size, a choice that directly affects the trade-off between average-case and worst-case performances. In practice, this calibration is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Hao Hao , Peter Zhang

We propose a novel polyhedral uncertainty set for robust optimization, termed the smooth uncertainty set, which captures dependencies of uncertain parameters by constraining their pairwise differences. The bounds on these differences may be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-13 Noam Goldberg , Michael Poss , Shimrit Shtern

In this paper, we present Robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard Robust MPC problems with known uncertainty sets, we treat the uncertainty sets in our problems as additional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-21 Yeojun Kim , Xiaojing Zhang , Jacopo Guanetti , Francesco Borrelli

This technical report considers worst-case robustness analysis of a network of locally controlled uncertain systems with uncertain parameter vectors belonging to the ellipsoid sets found by identification procedures. In order to deal with…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-07-02 Anton Korniienko , Xavier Bombois , Hakan Hjalmarsson , Gérard Scorletti

Methods to quantify uncertainty in predictions from arbitrary models are in demand in high-stakes domains like medicine and finance. Conformal prediction has emerged as a popular method for producing a set of predictions with specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-19 Jessica Hullman , Yifan Wu , Dawei Xie , Ziyang Guo , Andrew Gelman

Robust estimators of location and dispersion are often used in the elliptical model to obtain an uncontaminated and highly representative subsample by trimming the data outside an ellipsoid based in the associated Mahalanobis distance. Here…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Juan A. Cuesta-Albertos , Carlos Matrán , Agustín Mayo-Iscar

In this paper, we develop a unified framework for studying constrained robust optimal control problems with adjustable uncertainty sets. In contrast to standard constrained robust optimal control problems with known uncertainty sets, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-09 Xiaojing Zhang , Maryam Kamgarpour , Angelos Georghiou , Paul Goulart , John Lygeros

Statistical models are inherently uncertain. Quantifying or at least upper-bounding their uncertainties is vital for safety-critical systems such as autonomous vehicles. While standard neural networks do not report this information, several…

We consider robust counterparts of uncertain combinatorial optimization problems, where the difference to the best possible solution over all scenarios is to be minimized. Such minmax regret problems are typically harder to solve than their…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-06 A. Chassein , M. Goerigk

Constructing uncertainty sets as unions of multiple subsets has emerged as an effective approach for creating compact and flexible uncertainty representations in data-driven robust optimization (RO). This paper focuses on two separate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Yun Li , Neil Yorke-Smith , Tamas Keviczky

Robust optimization(RO) is an important tool for handling optimization problem with uncertainty. The main objective of RO is to solve optimization problems due to uncertainty associated with constraints satisfying all realizations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Parthasarathi Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

Distributionally robust optimization is used to tackle decision making problems under uncertainty where the distribution of the uncertain data is ambiguous. Many ambiguity sets have been proposed for continuous uncertainty that build on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Karthik Natarajan , Divya Padmanabhan , Arjun Ramachandra

The non-convexity and intractability of distributionally robust chance constraints make them challenging to cope with. From a data-driven perspective, we propose formulating it as a robust optimization problem to ensure that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Zhiping Chen , Wentao Ma , Bingbing Ji

Prediction sets can wrap around any ML model to cover unknown test outcomes with a guaranteed probability. Yet, it remains unclear how to use them optimally for downstream decision-making. Here, we propose a decision-theoretic framework…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-10 Tao Wang , Edgar Dobriban

Despite the celebrated success of stochastic control approaches for uncertain systems, such approaches are limited in the ability to handle non-Gaussian uncertainties. This work presents an adaptive robust control for linear uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Xuehui Ma , Shiliang Zhang , Zhiyong Sun , Xiaohui Zhang , Sabita Maharjan

Budgeted uncertainty sets have been established as a major influence on uncertainty modeling for robust optimization problems. A drawback of such sets is that the budget constraint only restricts the global amount of cost increase that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl