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This paper investigates the finite sample performance of a range of parametric, semi-parametric, and non-parametric instrumental variable estimators when controlling for a fixed set of covariates to evaluate the local average treatment…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Hugo Bodory , Martin Huber , Michael Lechner

This paper introduces BART-RDD, a sum-of-trees regression model built around a novel regression tree prior, which incorporates the special covariate structure of regression discontinuity designs. Specifically, the tree splitting process is…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Rafael Alcantara , Meijia Wang , P. Richard Hahn , Hedibert Lopes

Covariate-adaptive randomization is widely employed to balance baseline covariates in interventional studies such as clinical trials and experiments in development economics. Recent years have witnessed substantial progress in inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Jiahui Xin , Hanzhong Liu , Wei Ma

Data mining and machine learning techniques such as classification and regression trees (CART) represent a promising alternative to conventional logistic regression for propensity score estimation. Whereas incomplete data preclude the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-26 Bas B. L. Penning de Vries , Maarten van Smeden , Rolf H. H. Groenwold

Adaptive experiments such as multi-armed bandits offer efficiency gains over traditional randomized experiments but pose two major challenges: invalid inference on the Average Treatment Effect (ATE) due to adaptive sampling and low…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Daniel Molitor , Samantha Gold

Expected Shortfall (ES), also known as superquantile or Conditional Value-at-Risk, has been recognized as an important measure in risk analysis and stochastic optimization, and is also finding applications beyond these areas. In finance, it…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Xuming He , Kean Ming Tan , Wen-Xin Zhou

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

In contemporary statistical learning, covariate shift correction plays an important role in transfer learning when distribution of the testing data is shifted from the training data. Importance weighting, as a natural and principle strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-13 Molei Liu , Yi Zhang , Katherine P Liao , Tianxi Cai

There has been a growing interest in covariate adjustment in the analysis of randomized controlled trials in past years. For instance, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration recently issued guidance that emphasizes the importance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-12 Kelly Van Lancker , Frank Bretz , Oliver Dukes

In causal inference, it is common to estimate the causal effect of a single treatment variable on an outcome. However, practitioners may also be interested in the effect of simultaneous interventions on multiple covariates of a fixed target…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Jaime Roquero Gimenez , Dominik Rothenhäusler

We consider nonparametric estimation of a regression curve when the data are observed with multiplicative distortion which depends on an observed confounding variable. We suggest several estimators, ranging from a relatively simple one that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Aurore Delaigle , Peter Hall , Wen-Xin Zhou

This paper examines the use of a residual bootstrap for bias correction in machine learning regression methods. Accounting for bias is an important obstacle in recent efforts to develop statistical inference for machine learning methods. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-02 Giles Hooker , Lucas Mentch

We propose some extensions to semi-parametric models based on Bayesian additive regression trees (BART). In the semi-parametric BART paradigm, the response variable is approximated by a linear predictor and a BART model, where the linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Estevão B. Prado , Andrew C. Parnell , Keefe Murphy , Nathan McJames , Ann O'Shea , Rafael A. Moral

We study linear quantile regression models when regressors and/or dependent variable are not directly observed but estimated in an initial first step and used in the second step quantile regression for estimating the quantile parameters.…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-29 Jayeeta Bhattacharya

A tuning-free procedure is proposed to estimate the covariate-adjusted Gaussian graphical model. For each finite subgraph, this estimator is asymptotically normal and efficient. As a consequence, a confidence interval can be obtained for…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Mengjie Chen , Zhao Ren , Hongyu Zhao , Harrison Zhou

Additive regression models are actively researched in the statistical field because of their usefulness in the analysis of responses determined by non-linear relationships with multivariate predictors. In this kind of statistical models,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 German A. Schnaidt Grez , Brani Vidakovic

Adaptive experiments improve efficiency by adjusting treatment assignments based on past outcomes, but this adaptivity breaks the i.i.d.\ assumptions that underpin classical asymptotics. At the same time, many questions of interest are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Houssam Zenati , Bariscan Bozkurt , Arthur Gretton

In this paper, we propose a covariate-adjusted nonlinear regression model. In this model, both the response and predictors can only be observed after being distorted by some multiplicative factors. Because of nonlinearity, existing methods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-14 Xia Cui , Wensheng Guo , Lu Lin , Lixing Zhu

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a widely used non-experimental method for causal inference and program evaluation. While its canonical formulation only requires a score and an outcome variable, it is common in empirical work to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-25 Matias D. Cattaneo , Luke Keele , Rocio Titiunik

The quantification of treatment effects plays an important role in a wide range of applications, including policy making and bio-pharmaceutical research. In this article, we study the quantile treatment effect (QTE) while addressing two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Jiachen Sun , Yin Xia