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Extreme weather events stemming from climate change can cause significant damage and disruption to power systems. Failure to mitigate and adapt to climate change and its cascading effects can lead to short and long term issues. The profound…

Applied Physics · Physics 2022-09-22 Rouzbeh Shirvani , Tarannom Parhizkar

Cost optimal scenarios derived from models of a highly renewable electricity system depend on the specific input data, cost assumptions and system constraints. Here this influence is studied using a techno-economic optimisation model for a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-08-21 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Mirko Schäfer , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

This work evaluates the potential contribution of rooftop PV to the future electricity mix. Several sustainable scenarios are considered, each comprising different shares of centralized renewables, rooftop PV and storage. For each…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Antonio Gomez-Exposito , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia

The transformation of the energy system has raised concerns about the reliability of fully renewable energy systems. We address this question for a 2050 European energy system using an economically optimal adequacy assessment. Our results…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 David Franzmann , Nils Ludwig , Jochen Linßen , Detlef Stolten , Heidi Heinrichs

Conventional feasibility studies of deep decarbonisation are often limited in their temporal scope, and are thus unable to draw conclusions about grid reliability over multi-decadal time periods. To address this problem, we introduce…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-20 J. Dunsmore , L. M. Arthur , R. S. Kemp

Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sebastian Kebrich , Felix Engelhardt , David Franzmann , Christina Büsing , Jochen Linßen , Heidi Heinrichs

Security of supply is a common and important concern when integrating renewables in net-zero power systems. Extreme weather affects both demand and supply leading to power system stress; in Europe this stress spreads continentally beyond…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-08 Aleksander Grochowicz , Hannah C. Bloomfield , Marta Victoria

Prospective power supply systems based on Renewable Energy Sources require measures to balance power generation and load at all times. The utilisation of storage devices and backup power plants is widely suggested for this purpose, whereas…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-09-22 Stefan Weitemeyer , David Kleinhans , Lars Siemer , Carsten Agert

Long-duration energy storage (LDES) is a key component for fully renewable, sector-coupled energy systems based on wind and solar. While capacity expansion planning has begun to take into account interannual weather variability, it often…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-11 Felix Schmidt

Studies have evaluated the economic feasibility of 100% renewable power systems using the optimization approach, but the mechanisms determining the results remain poorly understood. Based on a simple but essential model, this study found…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-01 Takuya Hara

This study explores compounding impacts of climate change on power system's load and generation, emphasising the need to integrate adaptation and mitigation strategies into investment planning. We combine existing and novel empirical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-09-06 Alice Di Bella , Francesco Pietro Colelli

This paper presents models for renewable energy systems with storage, and considers its optimal operation. We model and simulate wind and solar power production using stochastic differential equations as well as storage of the produced…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Nicola Cantisani , Tobias K. S. Ritschel , Christian A. Thilker , Henrik Madsen , John Bagterp Jørgensen

With the increasing frequency of natural disasters, operators must prioritize improvements in the existing electric power grid infrastructure to enhance the resilience of the grid. Resilience to extreme weather events necessitates lowering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-28 Abodh Poudyal , Shishir Lamichhane , Anamika Dubey , Josue Campos do Prado

The expansion of wind and solar power is driving the European energy system transformation, thereby also driving our reliance on this weather-dependent resources. Integrating renewable scarcity events into long-term planning has therefore…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Maximilian Bernecker , Smaranda Sgarciu , Xiaoming Kan , Mehrnaz Anvari , Iegor Riepin , Felix Müsgens

As energy systems transform to rely on renewable energy and electrification, they encounter stronger year-to-year variability in energy supply and demand. However, most infrastructure planning is based on a single weather year, resulting in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Ebbe Kyhl Gøtske , Gorm Bruun Andresen , Fabian Neumann , Marta Victoria

Efforts to reduce climate change, but also falling prices and significant technology developments currently drive an increased weather-dependent electricity production from renewable electricity sources. In light of the changing climate, it…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-06-10 Smail Kozarcanin , Hailiang Liu , Gorm Bruun Andresen

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Xuesong Wang , Shuo Yuan , Sharaf K. Magableh , Oraib Dawaghreh , Caisheng Wang , Le Yi Wang

To achieve ambitious greenhouse gas emission reduction targets in time, the planning of future energy systems needs to accommodate societal preferences, e.g. low levels of acceptance for transmission expansion or onshore wind turbines, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-30 Fabian Neumann , Tom Brown

The rapid expansion of wind and solar energy leads to an increasing volatility in the electricity generation. Previous studies have shown that storage devices provide an opportunity to balance fluctuations in the power grid. An economical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-06 Lars Siemer , Wided Medjroubi
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