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Related papers: Specification tests for GARCH processes

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In this work, nonparametric log-rank-type statistical tests are introduced in order to verify homogeneity of purely discrete variables subject to arbitrary right-censoring for infinitely many categories. In particular, the Cram\'er-von…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-01-12 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi

Traditional inference in cointegrating regressions requires tuning parameter choices to estimate a long-run variance parameter. Even in case these choices are "optimal", the tests are severely size distorted. We propose a novel…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Karsten Reichold , Carsten Jentsch

Modern construction of uniform confidence bands for nonparametric densities (and other functions) often relies on the classical Smirnov-Bickel-Rosenblatt (SBR) condition; see, for example, Gin\'{e} and Nickl [Probab. Theory Related Fields…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-24 Victor Chernozhukov , Denis Chetverikov , Kengo Kato

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

This study compares statistical properties of ARCH tests that are robust to the presence of the misspecified conditional mean. The approaches employed in this study are based on two nonparametric regressions for the conditional mean. First…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-04 Daiki Maki , Yasushi Ota

Bounding the optimal precision in parameter estimation tasks is of central importance for technological applications. In the regime of a small number of measurements, or that of low signal-to-noise ratios, the meaning of common frequentist…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-02-23 Valentin Gebhart , Manuel Gessner , Augusto Smerzi

We consider a class of M-estimators of the parameters of a GARCH (p,q) model. These estimators involve score functions and, for adequate choices of the score functions, are asymptotically normal under milder moment assumptions than the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

This study utilized the Gaussian Processes (GPs) regression framework to establish stochastic error bounds between the actual and predicted state evolution of nonlinear systems. These systems are embedded in the linear parameter-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Dimitrios S. Karachalios , Hossam S. Abbas

This paper proposes a new test for inequalities that are linear in possibly partially identified nuisance parameters. This type of hypothesis arises in a broad set of problems, including subvector inference for linear unconditional moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Gregory Fletcher Cox , Xiaoxia Shi , Yuya Shimizu

We propose a general class of INteger-valued Generalized AutoRegressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (INGARCH) processes by allowing time-varying mean and dispersion parameters, which we call time-varying dispersion INGARCH (tv-DINGARCH)…

Quadratic variations of Gaussian processes play important role in both stochastic analysis and in applications such as estimation of model parameters, and for this reason the topic has been extensively studied in the literature. In this…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-06 Lauri Viitasaari

We provide an efficient method to approximate the covariance between decision variables and uncertain parameters in solutions to a general class of stochastic nonlinear complementarity problems. We also develop a sensitivity metric to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Sriram Sankaranarayanan , Felipe Feijoo , Sauleh Siddiqui

This paper presents new results allowing an unknown non-Gaussian positive matrix-valued random field to be identified through a stochastic elliptic boundary value problem, solving a statistical inverse problem. A new general class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Anthony Nouy , Christian Soize

We propose a multivariate GARCH model for non-stationary health time series by modifying the variance of the observations of the standard state space model. The proposed model provides an intuitive way of dealing with heteroskedastic data…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-16 Zayd Omar , David A. Stephens , Alexandra M. Schmidt , David L. Buckeridge

In this paper we address the statistical problem of testing if a stationary process is Gaussian. The observation consists in a finite sample path of the process. Using a random projection technique introduced and studied in Cuesta-Albertos…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-11-19 Juan . A. Cuesta-Albertos , Fabrice Gamboa Alicia Nieto-Reyes

Price range contains important information about the asset volatility, and has long been considered an important indicator for it. In this paper, we propose to jointly model the [low, high] price range as a random interval and introduce an…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-18 Yan Sun , Jennifer Loveland , Isaac Blackhurst

Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the system's dynamics…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-11 Luca Bortolussi , Guido Sanguinetti

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

This study focuses on the problem of testing for normality of innovations in stationary time series models.To achieve this, we introduce an information matrix (IM) based test. While the IM test was originally developed to test for model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-12 Zixuan Liu , Junmo Song

In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement residual-based specification testing procedure for detecting structural changes in factor models, which is powerful against both smooth and abrupt structural changes with unknown break dates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Yayi Yan