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Along with accurate prediction, understanding the contribution of each feature to the making of the prediction, i.e., the importance of the feature, is a desirable and arguably necessary component of a machine learning model. For a complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Aaron Foote , Danny Krizanc

Variable selection in high-dimensional scenarios is of great interested in statistics. One application involves identifying differentially expressed genes in genomic analysis. Existing methods for addressing this problem have some limits or…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Liuhua Peng , Long Qu , Dan Nettleton

Variable importance (VI) tools describe how much covariates contribute to a prediction model's accuracy. However, important variables for one well-performing model (for example, a linear model $f(\mathbf{x})=\mathbf{x}^{T}\beta$ with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-24 Aaron Fisher , Cynthia Rudin , Francesca Dominici

Permutation tests are a distribution free way of performing hypothesis tests. These tests rely on the condition that the observed data are exchangeable among the groups being tested under the null hypothesis. This assumption is easily…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-14 Daniell Toth

Feature-importance methods show promise in transforming machine learning models from predictive engines into tools for scientific discovery. However, due to data sampling and algorithmic stochasticity, expressive models can be unstable,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Joseph Paillard , Angel Reyero Lobo , Denis A. Engemann , Bertrand Thirion

Invariance-based randomization tests -- such as permutation tests, rotation tests, or sign changes -- are an important and widely used class of statistical methods. They allow drawing inferences under weak assumptions on the data…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Edgar Dobriban

In machine learning one of the strategic tasks is the selection of only significant variables as predictors for the response(s). In this paper an approach is proposed which consists in the application of permutation tests on the candidate…

Regulatory authorities guide the use of permutation tests or randomization tests so as not to increase the type-I error rate when applying covariate-adaptive randomization in randomized clinical trials. For non-inferiority and equivalence…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-27 Masahiro Kojima , Hirotaka Mano , Kana Yamada , Keisuke Hanada , Yuji Tanaka , Junji Moriya

We study a linear observation model with an unknown permutation called \textit{permuted/shuffled linear regression}, where responses and covariates are mismatched and the permutation forms a discrete, factorial-size parameter. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-23 Hirofumi Ota , Masaaki Imaizumi

Throughout the last decade, random forests have established themselves as among the most accurate and popular supervised learning methods. While their black-box nature has made their mathematical analysis difficult, recent work has…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-10 Tim Coleman , Wei Peng , Lucas Mentch

When machine learning supports decision-making in safety-critical systems, it is important to verify and understand the reasons why a particular output is produced. Although feature importance calculation approaches assist in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-14 Divish Rengasamy , Benjamin Rothwell , Grazziela Figueredo

Electronic health records are an increasingly important resource for understanding the interactions between patient health, environment, and clinical decisions. In this paper we report an empirical study of predictive modeling of several…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-03-29 William La Cava , Christopher Bauer , Jason H. Moore , Sarah A Pendergrass

We develop a pivotal test to assess the statistical significance of the feature variables in a single-layer feedforward neural network regression model. We propose a gradient-based test statistic and study its asymptotics using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-10 Enguerrand Horel , Kay Giesecke

Randomization testing is a fundamental method in statistics, enabling inferential tasks such as testing for (conditional) independence of random variables, constructing confidence intervals in semiparametric location models, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Yash Nair , Lucas Janson

Databases in domains such as healthcare are routinely released to the public in aggregated form. Unfortunately, naive modeling with aggregated data may significantly diminish the accuracy of inferences at the individual level. This paper…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-17 Avradeep Bhowmik , Joydeep Ghosh , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Machine Learning is transforming medical research by improving diagnostic accuracy and personalizing treatments. General ML models trained on large datasets identify broad patterns across populations, but their effectiveness is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Gideon Vos , Liza van Eijk , Zoltan Sarnyai , Mostafa Rahimi Azghadi

Feature importance aims at measuring how crucial each input feature is for model prediction. It is widely used in feature engineering, model selection and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). In this paper, we propose a new tree-model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-17 Fan Fang , Carmine Ventre , Lingbo Li , Leslie Kanthan , Fan Wu , Michail Basios

Machine learning is central to modern science, industry, and policy, yet its predictive power often comes at the cost of transparency: we rarely know which input features truly drive a model's predictions. Without such understanding,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Kay Giesecke , Enguerrand Horel , Chartsiri Jirachotkulthorn

A key task of data science is to identify relevant features linked to certain output variables that are supposed to be modeled or predicted. To obtain a small but meaningful model, it is important to find stochastically independent…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-23 Tim Breitenbach , Lauritz Rasbach , Chunguang Liang , Patrick Jahnke

This work is motivated by learning the individualized minimal clinically important difference, a vital concept to assess clinical importance in various biomedical studies. We formulate the scientific question into a high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-28 Huijie Feng , Jingyi Duan , Yang Ning , Jiwei Zhao