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Recent literature seek to forecast implied volatility derived from equity, index, foreign exchange, and interest rate options using latent factor and parametric frameworks. Motivated by increased public attention borne out of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-22 Fearghal Kearney , Han Lin Shang , Lisa Sheenan

We study portfolio selection in a complete continuous-time market where the preference is dictated by the rank-dependent utility. As such a model is inherently time inconsistent due to the underlying probability weighting, we study the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Ying Hu , Hanqing Jin , Xun Yu Zhou

This paper gives yet another definition of game-theoretic probability in the context of continuous-time idealized financial markets. Without making any probabilistic assumptions (but assuming positive and continuous price paths), we obtain…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-05 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

During the last decade Levy processes with jumps have received increasing popularity for modelling market behaviour for both derviative pricing and risk management purposes. Chan et al. (2009) introduced the use of empirical likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-01-16 Steven Kou , Tony Sit , Zhiliang Ying

We propose a pairs trading model that incorporates a time-varying volatility of the Constant Elasticity of Variance type. Our approach is based on stochastic control techniques; given a fixed time horizon and a portfolio of two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-05 T. N. Li , A. Tourin

Stochastic volatility models describe asset prices $S_t$ as driven by an unobserved process capturing the random dynamics of volatility $\sigma_t$. Here, we quantify how much information about $\sigma_t$ can be inferred from asset prices…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-29 Nils Bertschinger , Oliver Pfante

We derive formulas for the performance of capital assets in continuous time from an efficient market hypothesis, with no stochastic assumptions and no assumptions about the beliefs or preferences of investors. Our efficient market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-06 Vladimir Vovk , Glenn Shafer

This paper studies an equity market of stochastic dimension, where the number of assets fluctuates over time. In such a market, we develop the fundamental theorem of asset pricing, which provides the equivalence of the following statements:…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Erhan Bayraktar , Donghan Kim , Abhishek Tilva

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

This paper investigates how two important sources of risk -- market tail risk and extreme market volatility risk -- are priced into the cross-section of asset returns across various investment horizons. To identify such risks, we propose a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-13 Jozef Baruník , Matěj Nevrla

A derivative is a financial security whose value is a function of underlying traded assets and market outcomes. Pricing a financial derivative involves setting up a market model, finding a martingale (``fair game") probability measure for…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-20 Patrick Rebentrost , Alessandro Luongo , Samuel Bosch , Seth Lloyd

We derive valuations of a portfolio of financial instruments from a securities lending perspective, under different assumptions, and show a weighting scheme that converges to the true valuation. We illustrate conditions under which our…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-23 Ravi Kashyap

We analyze the stability properties of equilibrium solutions and periodicity of orbits in a two-dimensional dynamical system whose orbits mimic the evolution of the price of an asset and the excess demand for that asset. The construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladimir Belitsky , Antonio L. Pereira , Fernando P. de Almeida Prado

We generalize the Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT) to include the contribution of virtual arbitrage opportunities. We model the arbitrage return by a stochastic process. The latter is incorporated in the APT framework to calculate the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 Kirill Ilinski

This paper presents a numerical model to solve the problem of cash accumulation strategies for products with an unknown future price, like assets. Stock prices are modeled by a discretized Wiener Process, and by the means of ordinary…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-07 Renko Siebols

The paper discusses capital allocation using the Euler formula and focuses on the risk measures Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected shortfall (ES). Some new results connected to this capital allocation is known. Two examples illustrate that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-02 Lars Holden

In the regime switching extension of Black-Scholes-Merton model of asset price dynamics, one assumes that the volatility coefficient evolves as a hidden pure jump process. Under the assumption of Markov regime switching, we have considered…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-22 Anindya Goswami , Kedar Nath Mukherjee , Irvine Homi Patalwala , Sanjay N. S

We investigate how and when to diversify capital over assets, i.e., the portfolio selection problem, from a signal processing perspective. To this end, we first construct portfolios that achieve the optimal expected growth in i.i.d.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-18 Sait Tunc , Mehmet A. Donmez , Suleyman S. Kozat

The paper focuses on the link between information, investors' expectations and market price movement. EUR/USD market is examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. We build upon the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Inga Ivanova , Grzegorz Rzadkowski , Loet Leydesdorff

In this paper we study the evolution of asset price bubbles driven by contagion effects spreading among investors via a random matching mechanism in a discrete-time version of the liquidity based model of [25]. To this scope, we extend the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Francesca Biagini , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Katharina Oberpriller