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With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Tammo Krueger , Danny Panknin , Mikio Braun

This paper considers the problem of model selection under domain shift. Motivated by principles from distributionally robust optimisation and domain adaptation theory, it is proposed that the training-validation split should maximise the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Andrea Napoli , Paul White

We study the consistency of sample mean-variance portfolios of arbitrarily high dimension that are based on Bayesian or shrinkage estimation of the input parameters as well as weighted sampling. In an asymptotic setting where the number of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-30 Francisco Rubio , Xavier Mestre , Daniel P. Palomar

Finding a good regularization parameter for Tikhonov regularization problems is a though yet often asked question. One approach is to use leave-one-out cross-validation scores to indicate the goodness of fit. This utilizes only the noisy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-05-31 Felix Bartel , Ralf Hielscher , Daniel Potts

We revisit the fundamental question of simple-versus-simple hypothesis testing with an eye towards computational complexity, as the statistically optimal likelihood ratio test is often computationally intractable in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Ankur Moitra , Alexander S. Wein

This work theoretically studies a ubiquitous reinforcement learning policy for controlling the canonical model of continuous-time stochastic linear-quadratic systems. We show that randomized certainty equivalent policy addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh

Distance correlation has become an increasingly popular tool for detecting the nonlinear dependence between a pair of potentially high-dimensional random vectors. Most existing works have explored its asymptotic distributions under the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Lan Gao , Yingying Fan , Jinchi Lv , Qi-Man Shao

Variational inequalities have gained significant attention in machine learning and optimization research. While stochastic methods for solving these problems typically assume independent data sampling, we investigate an alternative approach…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Daniil Medyakov , Gleb Molodtsov , Grigoriy Evseev , Egor Petrov , Aleksandr Beznosikov

In this paper we consider the problem of uniformity testing with limited memory. We observe a sequence of independent identically distributed random variables drawn from a distribution $p$ over $[n]$, which is either uniform or is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Tomer Berg , Or Ordentlich , Ofer Shayevitz

State-of-the-art automated machine learning systems for tabular data often employ cross-validation; ensuring that measured performances generalize to unseen data, or that subsequent ensembling does not overfit. However, using k-fold…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Edward Bergman , Lennart Purucker , Frank Hutter

In pre-clinical and medical quality control, it is of interest to assess the stability of the process under monitoring or to validate a current observation using historical control data. Classically, this is done by the application of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-09 Max Menssen , Martina Dammann , Firas Fneish , David Ellenberger , Frank Schaarschmid

We consider the problem of bandwidth selection by cross-validation from a sequential point of view in a nonparametric regression model. Having in mind that in applications one often aims at estimation, prediction and change detection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland

Covariate balancing is a popular technique for controlling confounding in observational studies. It finds weights for the treatment group which are close to uniform, but make the group's covariate means (approximately) equal to those of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Shiva Kaul , Min-Gyu Kim

There has been a wide interest to extend univariate and multivariate nonparametric procedures to clustered and hierarchical data. Traditionally, parametric mixed models have been used to account for the correlation structures among the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-02 Jaakko Nevalainen , Denis Larocque , Hannu Oja , Ilkka Pörsti

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees for controlling the expected loss at a user-specified level. Existing theory typically assumes that the loss decreases monotonically with a tuning parameter that governs the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Tareq Aldirawi , Yun Li , Wenge Guo

We study the basic task of mean estimation in the presence of mean-shift contamination. In the mean-shift contamination model, an adversary is allowed to replace a small constant fraction of the clean samples by samples drawn from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Ilias Diakonikolas , Giannis Iakovidis , Daniel M. Kane , Sihan Liu

We provide non-asymptotic bounds for the well-known temporal difference learning algorithm TD(0) with linear function approximators. These include high-probability bounds as well as bounds in expectation. Our analysis suggests that a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-02 Nathaniel Korda , L. A. Prashanth

In this paper, we propose a new test for the equality of several covariance functions for functional data. Its test statistic is taken as the supremum value of the sum of the squared differences between the estimated individual covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-16 Jia Guo , Bu Zhou , Jin-Ting Zhang

We present a non-asymptotic concentration inequality for the random matrix product \begin{equation}\label{eq:Zn} Z_n = \left(I_d-\alpha X_n\right)\left(I_d-\alpha X_{n-1}\right)\cdots \left(I_d-\alpha X_1\right), \end{equation} where…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Sina Baghal

With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner