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We address a class of backward stochastic differential equations on a bounded interval, where the driving noise is a marked, or multivariate, point process. Assuming that the jump times are totally inaccessible and a technical condition…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-28 Fulvia Confortola , Marco Fuhrman , Jean Jacod

Stochastic modelling of fatigue (and other material's deterioration), as well as of cumulative damage in risk theory, are often based on compound sums of independent random variables, where the number of addends is represented by an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-02 L. Beghin , J. Gajda , A. Maheshwari

We consider reversible random walks in random environment obtained from symmetric long--range jump rates on a random point process. We prove almost sure transience and recurrence results under suitable assumptions on the point process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , A. Gaudilliere

We develop a new Monte Carlo variance reduction method to estimate the expectation of two commonly encountered path-dependent functionals: first-passage times and occupation times of sets. The method is based on a recursive approximation of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-28 Aleksandar Mijatovic , Martijn Pistorius , Johannes Stolte

The L\'evy, jumping process, defined in terms of the jumping size distribution and the waiting time distribution, is considered. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The fractional diffusion equation, which contains the variable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-10 Tomasz Srokowski

We propose a new class of generative models that naturally handle data of varying dimensionality by jointly modeling the state and dimension of each datapoint. The generative process is formulated as a jump diffusion process that makes…

We consider the inverse problem of reconstructing the posterior measure over the trajec- tories of a diffusion process from discrete time observations and continuous time constraints. We cast the problem in a Bayesian framework and derive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-21 Botond Cseke , David Schnoerr , Manfred Opper , Guido Sanguinetti

Couplings in complex real-world systems are often nonlinear and scale-dependent. In many cases, it is crucial to consider a multitude of interlinked variables and the strengths of their correlations to adequately fathom the dynamics of a…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-10-26 Tobias Braun , K. Hauke Kraemer , Norbert Marwan

In this paper, we study the existence and uniqueness of solution to a system of nonlinear fully coupled forward-backward doubly stochastic differential equations with Poisson jumps. Our work is established in infinite dimensional separable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-12 AbdulRahman Al-Hussein

We investigate the convergence of hitting times for jump-diffusion processes. Specifically, we study a sequence of stochastic differential equations with jumps. Under reasonable assumptions, we establish the convergence of solutions to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-09 Georgiy Shevchenko

We establish a nondominated version of the optional decomposition theorem in a setting that includes jump processes with nonvanishing diffusion as well as general continuous processes. This result is used to derive a robust superhedging…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-20 Marcel Nutz

In this paper, local linear estimators are adapted for the unknown infinitesimal coefficients associated with continuous-time asset return model with jumps, which can correct the bias automatically due to their simple bias representation.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-15 Yuping Song , Ying Chen , Zhouwei Wang

While modern representation learning relies heavily on global error signals, decentralized algorithms driven by local interactions offer a fundamental distributed alternative. However, the macroscopic convergence properties of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Zilin Li , Weiwei Xu , Xuchun Tong , Xuanbo Lu , Xuanqi Zhao

The estimation of absorption time distributions of Markov jump processes is an important task in various branches of statistics and applied probability. While the time-homogeneous case is classic, the time-inhomogeneous case has recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Jamaal Ahmad , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

We consider a stochastic functional delay differential equation, namely an equation whose evolution depends on its past history as well as on its present state, driven by a pure diffusive component plus a pure jump Poisson compensated…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-17 Francesco Cordoni , Luca Di Persio , Immacolata Oliva

In this paper, we study the convergence for solutions to a sequence of (possibly degenerate) stochastic differential equations with jumps, when the coefficients converge in some appropriate sense. Our main tools are the superposition…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Huijie Qiao

Inspired by a duration-dependent life insurance model, we consider continuous-time semi-Markov jump processes, initially assumed to have a finite state-space. We develop approximations using jump processes that are time-homogeneous Markov,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Martin Bladt , Andreea Minca , Oscar Peralta

Starting from an iterative and hence numerically easily implementable representation of the thin set of jumps of a c\`{a}dl\`{a}g adapted stochastic process $X$ (including a few applications to the integration with respect to the jump…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Frank Oertel

Many time series are effectively generated by a combination of deterministic continuous flows along with discrete jumps sparked by stochastic events. However, we usually do not have the equation of motion describing the flows, or how they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-09 Junteng Jia , Austin R. Benson

We study continuous-time (variable speed) random walks in random environments on $\mathbb{Z}^d$, $d\ge2$, where, at time $t$, the walk at $x$ jumps across edge $(x,y)$ at time-dependent rate $a_t(x,y)$. The rates, which we assume stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Marek Biskup , Pierre-François Rodriguez