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Phylodynamics seeks to estimate effective population size fluctuations from molecular sequences of individuals sampled from a population of interest. One way to accomplish this task formulates an observed sequence data likelihood exploiting…

Family history is a major risk factor for many types of cancer. Mendelian risk prediction models translate family histories into cancer risk predictions based on knowledge of cancer susceptibility genes. These models are widely used in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-28 Zoe Guan , Giovanni Parmigiani , Danielle Braun , Lorenzo Trippa

We address the problem of community detection in networks by introducing a general definition of Markov stability, based on the difference between the probability fluxes of a Markov chain on the network at different time scales. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-05 Aurelio Patelli , Andrea Gabrielli , Giulio Cimini

The modeling of natural phenomena via a Markov process --- a process for which the future is independent of the past, given the present--- is ubiquitous in many fields of science. Within this context, it is of foremost importance to develop…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Matheus Capela , Lucas C. Céleri , Kavan Modi , Rafael Chaves

Value Iteration is a widely used algorithm for solving Markov Decision Processes (MDPs). While previous studies have extensively analyzed its convergence properties, they primarily focus on convergence with respect to the infinity norm. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Arsenii Mustafin , Sebastien Colla , Alex Olshevsky , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

We construct the non-linear Markov process connected with biological model of bacterial genome recombination. The description of invariant measures of this process gives us the solution of one problem in elementary probability theory.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-22 Arseniy V. Akopyan , Sergey A. Pirogov , Aleksandr N. Rybko

Constructing an accurate system model for formal model verification can be both resource demanding and time-consuming. To alleviate this shortcoming, algorithms have been proposed for automatically learning system models based on observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-18 Hua Mao , Yingke Chen , Manfred Jaeger , Thomas D. Nielsen , Kim G. Larsen , Brian Nielsen

Markov chains for probability distributions related to matrix product states and 1D Hamiltonians are introduced. With appropriate 'inverse temperature' schedules, these chains can be combined into a random approximation scheme for ground…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2014-05-14 S. Iblisdir

Biological data objects often have both of the following features: (i) they are functions rather than single numbers or vectors, and (ii) they are correlated due to phylogenetic relationships. In this paper we give a flexible statistical…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2012-12-20 Nick S. Jones , John Moriarty

Recent work has proven the existence of extreme inbreeding in a European ancestry sample taken from the contemporary UK population \cite{nature_01}. This result brings our attention again to a math problem related to inbreeding family trees…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-08 C. Jarne , F A. Gómez Albarracín , M. Caruso

We consider a class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees, in which the individuals lifetime and reproduction epochs are modeled using a transient Markovian arrival process (TMAP). We estimate the parameters of the TMAP based…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-26 Sophie Hautphenne , Melanie Massaro , Katharine Turner

We give a necessary and sufficient condition for a homogeneous Markov process taking values in $\R^n$ to enjoy the time-inversion property of degree $\alpha$. The condition sets the shape for the semigroup densities of the process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Stephan Lawi

For any $n\geq 1$, let $T_n$ be the complete binary rooted tree of height $n$, and $f(x)=(x+a)^2-a-1$ such that $a\neq \pm b^2$ for any $b\in \mathbb{Z}$. In \cite{Settled}, Jones and Boston empirically observed that iteratively applying a…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-26 Vefa Goksel

In the idealized Morgan model of crossover, we study the probability distributions of shared DNA (identical by descent) between individuals having a wide range of relationships (not just lineal descendants), especially cases for which…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-08 William H. Press , John Hawkins

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

We compare different selection criteria to choose the number of latent states of a multivariate latent Markov model for longitudinal data. This model is based on an underlying Markov chain to represent the evolution of a latent…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-04 Silvia Bacci , Silvia Pandolfi , Fulvia Pennoni

Sweepstakes reproduction may be generated by chance matching of reproduction with favorable environmental conditions. Gene genealogies generated by sweepstakes reproduction are in the domain of attraction of multiple-merger coalescents…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Bjarki Eldon

Inference of the marginal likelihood of sample allele configurations using backward algorithms yields identical results with the Kingman coalescent, the Moran model, and the diffusion model (up to a scaling of time). For inference of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-20 Claus Vogl , Sandra Peer , Lynette Caitlin Mikula

Advances in digital sensors, digital data storage and communications have resulted in systems being capable of accumulating large collections of data. In the light of dealing with the challenges that massive data present, this work proposes…

Computation · Statistics 2015-12-09 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova

We develop exact Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for discretely-sampled, directly and indirectly observed diffusions. The qualification "exact" refers to the fact that the invariant and limiting distribution of the Markov chains is the…

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