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With the advancement of sensing and communication in power networks, high-frequency real-time data from a power network can be used as a resource to develop better monitoring capabilities. In this work, a systematic approach based on…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-12 Subhrajit Sinha , Sai Pushpak Nandanoori , Enoch Yeung

Credible forecasting and representation learning of dynamical systems are of ever-increasing importance for reliable decision-making. To that end, we propose a family of Gaussian processes (GP) for dynamical systems with linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Petar Bevanda , Max Beier , Armin Lederer , Alexandre Capone , Stefan Sosnowski , Sandra Hirche

Learning-based approaches are increasingly leveraged to manage and coordinate the operation of grid-edge resources in active power distribution networks. Among these, model-based techniques stand out for their superior data efficiency and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-01 Daniel Glover , Parikshit Pareek , Deepjyoti Deka , Anamika Dubey

In this paper, we propose linear operator theoretic framework involving Koopman operator for the data-driven identification of power system dynamics. We explicitly account for noise in the time series measurement data and propose robust…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-03-19 Pranav Sharma , Bowen Huang , Umesh Vaidya , Venkatramana Ajjarapu

Effective forces -- derived from experimental or {\it in silico} molecular dynamics time traces -- are critical in developing reduced and computationally efficient descriptions of otherwise complex dynamical problems. Thus, designing…

Biological Physics · Physics 2019-08-29 J Shepard Bryan , Ioannis Sgouralis , Steve Pressé

This paper presents an adaptive Kalman filter for a linear dynamic system perturbed by an additive disturbance. The objective is to estimate both of the state and the unknown disturbance concurrently, while learning the disturbance as a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-23 Taeyoung Lee

With an increasing high penetration of solar photovoltaic generation in electric power grids, voltage phasors and branch power flows experience more severe fluctuations. In this context, probabilistic power flow (PPF) study aims at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-03 Kejun Chen , Yu Zhang

The goal of system identification is to learn about underlying physics dynamics behind the time-series data. To model the probabilistic and nonparametric dynamics model, Gaussian process (GP) have been widely used; GP can estimate the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-22 Young-Jin Park , Han-Lim Choi

Embedding non-restrictive prior knowledge, such as energy conservation laws, into learning methods is a key motive to construct physically consistent dynamics models from limited data, relevant for, e.g., model-based control. Recent work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Robin E. Herrmann , Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön , Thomas Seel

In this work, we present a novel approach to system identification for dynamical systems, based on a specific class of Deep Gaussian Processes (Deep GPs). These models are constructed by interconnecting linear dynamic GPs (equivalent to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-11 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Piga , Marco Forgione , Marco Zaffalon

Accurate grid topology information is of paramount importance for routine power system operations, while the growing availability of synchrophasor data offers the opportunity to identify topology changes in real time. Identification of bus…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Yuqi Zhou , Hao Zhu

Varying power-infeed from converter-based generation units introduces great uncertainty on system parameters such as inertia and damping. As a consequence, system operators face increasing challenges in performing dynamic security…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-16 Jochen Stiasny , George S. Misyris , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis

Accurate learning of system dynamics is becoming increasingly crucial for advanced control and decision-making in engineering. However, real-world systems often exhibit multiple channels and highly nonlinear transition dynamics, challenging…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-20 Tengjie Zheng , Jilan Mei , Di Wu , Lin Cheng , Shengping Gong

Assuming access to synchronized stream of Phasor Measurement Unit (PMU) data over a significant portion of a power system interconnect, say controlled by an Independent System Operator (ISO), what can you extract about past, current and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-09-25 Mauro Escobar , Daniel Bienstock , Michael Chertkov

We propose a new variational inference algorithm for learning in Gaussian Process State-Space Models (GPSSMs). Our algorithm enables learning of unstable and partially observable systems, where previous algorithms fail. Our main algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Silvan Melchior , Sebastian Curi , Felix Berkenkamp , Andreas Krause

This study explores data-driven modeling techniques to capture the dynamics of a grid-forming converter-based infinite bus system, critical for renewable-integrated power grids. Using sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics and deep…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-13 Amir Bahador Javadi , Philip Pong

Predicting the behavior of a dynamical system from noisy observations of its past outputs is a classical problem encountered across engineering and science. For linear systems with Gaussian inputs, the Kalman filter -- the best linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Usman Akram , Haris Vikalo

An incremental/online state dynamic learning method is proposed for identification of the nonlinear Gaussian state space models. The method embeds the stochastic variational sparse Gaussian process as the probabilistic state dynamic model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-31 Vahid Bastani , Lucio Marcenaro , Carlo Regazzoni

Poorly damped oscillations pose threats to the stability and reliability of interconnected power systems. In this work, we propose a comprehensive data-driven framework for inferring the sources of forced oscillation (FO) using solely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-19 Shaohui Liu , Hao Zhu , Vassilis Kekatos

This paper introduces a novel approach for tracking the dynamic trajectories of integrated natural gas and power systems, leveraging a Kalman filter-based structure. To predict the states of the system, the Holt's exponential smoothing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Liang Chen , Yang Li , Jun Cai , Songlin Gu , Ying Yan
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