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Using a metric related to the returns correlation, a method is proposed to reconstruct an economic space from the market data. A reduced subspace, associated to the systematic structure of the market, is identified and its dimension related…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 R. Vilela Mendes , Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

This study examines long-term trends and shifting behavior in the collaboration network of mathematics literature, using a subset of data from Mathematical Reviews spanning 1985-2009. Rather than modeling the network cumulatively, this…

Stock market prediction is still a challenging problem because there are many factors effect to the stock market price such as company news and performance, industry performance, investor sentiment, social media sentiment and economic…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-01 Rosdyana Mangir Irawan Kusuma , Trang-Thi Ho , Wei-Chun Kao , Yu-Yen Ou , Kai-Lung Hua

Previous research explored various conditions of financial markets based on the similarity of correlation structures and classified as market states. We introduce modifications to previous selection criteria for these market states, mainly…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-13 Hirdesh K. Pharasi , Eduard Seligman , Suchetana Sadhukhan , Parisa Majari , Thomas H. Seligman

We show that the emergence of systemic risk in complex systems can be understood from the evolution of functional networks representing interactions inferred from fluctuation correlations between macroscopic observables. Specifically, we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-29 Chandrashekar Kuyyamudi , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Sitabhra Sinha

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Daniel J. Fenn , Mason A. Porter , Stacy Williams , Mark McDonald , Neil F. Johnson , Nick S. Jones

Financial markets are interconnected, with micro-currents propagating across global markets and shaping economic trends. This paper moves beyond traditional stock market indices to examine cross-sectional return distributions-15 in our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-27 Ping Wu , Dan Zhu

We investigate the emergence of a structure in the correlation matrix of assets' returns as the time-horizon over which returns are computed increases from the minutes to the daily scale. We analyze data from different stock markets (New…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-12-08 Christian Borghesi , Matteo Marsili , Salvatore Miccichè

We use supervised learning to identify factors that predict the cross-section of returns and maximum drawdown for stocks in the US equity market. Our data run from January 1970 to December 2019 and our analysis includes ordinary least…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Lisa R. Goldberg , Saad Mouti

This study attempts to investigate into the structure and features of global equity markets from a time-frequency perspective. An analysis grounded on this framework allows one to capture information from a different dimension, as opposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Avishek Bhandari

The scaling properties encompass in a simple analysis many of the volatility characteristics of financial markets. That is why we use them to probe the different degree of markets development. We empirically study the scaling properties of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 T. Di Matteo , T. Aste , M. M. Dacorogna

We quantify the propagation and absorption of large-scale publicly available news articles from the World Wide Web to financial markets. To extract publicly available information, we use the news archives from the Common Crawl, a nonprofit…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-26 Metod Jazbec , Barna Pásztor , Felix Faltings , Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Petter N. Kolm

Financial markets exhibit alternating periods of rising and falling prices. Stock traders seeking to make profitable investment decisions have to account for those trends, where the goal is to accurately predict switches from bullish…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-30 Lennart Oelschläger , Timo Adam

The characterization of the "most connected" nodes in static or slowly evolving complex networks has helped in understanding and predicting the behavior of social, biological, and technological networked systems, including their robustness…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-21 Scott A. Hill , Dan Braha

Given financial data from popular sites like Yahoo and the London Exchange, the presented paper attempts to model and predict stocks that can be considered "good investments". Stocks are characterized by 125 features ranging from gross…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-03-10 Mike Wu

We investigated the network structures of the Japanese stock market through the minimum spanning tree. We defined grouping coefficient to test the validity of conventional grouping by industrial categories, and found a decreasing in trend…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Woo-Sung Jung , Okyu Kwon , Fengzhong Wang , Taisei Kaizoji , Hie-Tae Moon , H. Eugene Stanley

--- the companies populating a Stock market, along with their connections, can be effectively modeled through a directed network, where the nodes represent the companies, and the links indicate the ownership. This paper deals with this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-26 Roy Cerqueti , Giulia Rotundo , Marcel Ausloos

The importance of considering related stocks data for the prediction of stock price movement has been shown in many studies, however, advanced graphical techniques for modeling, embedding and analyzing the behavior of interrelated stocks…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-01 Alireza Jafari , Saman Haratizadeh

Network models have been widely used to study diverse systems and analyze their dynamic behaviors. Given the structural variability of networks, an intriguing question arises: Can we infer the type of system represented by a network based…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Gonzalo Travieso , Joao Merenda , Odemir M. Bruno

Stock market returns are typically analyzed using standard regression, yet they reside on irregular domains which is a natural scenario for graph signal processing. To this end, we consider a market graph as an intuitive way to represent…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-08 Alvaro Arroyo , Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic