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We propose a new nonparametric estimator for first-price auctions with independent private values that imposes the monotonicity constraint on the estimated inverse bidding strategy. We show that our estimator has a smaller asymptotic…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-10 Jun Ma , Vadim Marmer , Artyom Shneyerov , Pai Xu

A common assumption in modern microeconomic theory is that choice should be rationalizable via a binary preference relation, which \citeauthor{Sen71a} showed to be equivalent to two consistency conditions, namely $\alpha$ (contraction) and…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Felix Brandt , Paul Harrenstein

Preferences play a key role in determining what goals/constraints to satisfy when not all constraints can be satisfied simultaneously. In this work, we study preference-based planning in a stochastic system modeled as a Markov decision…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-28 Abhishek Ninad Kulkarni , Jie Fu

The classical Merton investment problem predicts deterministic, state-dependent portfolio rules; however, laboratory and field evidence suggests that individuals often prefer randomized decisions leading to stochastic and noisy choices.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-17 Min Dai , Yuchao Dong , Yanwei Jia , Xun Yu Zhou

Stochastic approximation algorithm is a useful technique which has been exploited successfully in probability theory and statistics for a long time. The step sizes used in stochastic approximation are generally taken to be deterministic and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Ujan Gangopadhyay , Krishanu Maulik

This article presents identification results for the marginal treatment effect (MTE) when there is sample selection. We show that the MTE is partially identified for individuals who are always observed regardless of treatment, and derive…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-12-15 Otávio Bartalotti , Désiré Kédagni , Vitor Possebom

Estimating the mixing density of a mixture distribution remains an interesting problem in statistics literature. Using a stochastic approximation method, Newton and Zhang (1999) introduced a fast recursive algorithm for estimating the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Nilabja Guha , Anindya Roy

Prediction with the possibility of abstention (or selective prediction) is an important problem for error-critical machine learning applications. While well-studied in the classification setup, selective approaches to regression are much…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-29 Fedor Noskov , Alexander Fishkov , Maxim Panov

Cluster-based randomized experiments are popular designs for mitigating the bias of standard estimators when interference is present and classical causal inference and experimental design assumptions (such as SUTVA or ITR) do not hold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-09 Jean Pouget-Abadie , David C. Parkes , Vahab Mirrokni , Edoardo M. Airoldi

A family of models of individual discrete choice are constructed by means of statistical averaging of choices made by a subject in a reinforcement learning process, where the subject has short, k-term memory span. The choice probabilities…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-20 Misha Perepelitsa

We consider a model for decision making based on an adaptive, k-period, learning process where the priors are selected according to Von Neumann-Morgenstern expected utility principle. A preference relation between two prospects is…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-02-18 Misha Perepelitsa

We prove a central limit theorem for strictly stationary random fields under a sharp projective condition. The assumption was introduced in the setting of random variables by Maxwell and Woodroofe. Our approach is based on new results for…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-29 Magda Peligrad , Na Zhang

We revisit random search for stochastic optimization, where only noisy function evaluations are available. We show that the method works under weaker smoothness assumptions than previously considered, and that stronger assumptions enable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 El Mahdi Chayti , Taha El Bakkali El Kadi , Omar Saadi , Martin Jaggi

Recently, self-attention based models have achieved state-of-the-art performance in sequential recommendation task. Following the custom from language processing, most of these models rely on a simple positional embedding to exploit the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Sung Min Cho , Eunhyeok Park , Sungjoo Yoo

We develop a versatile framework for statistical learning in non-stationary environments. In each time period, our approach applies a stability principle to select a look-back window that maximizes the utilization of historical data while…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang

We argue that randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are special even among settings where average treatment effects are identified by a nonparametric unconfoundedness assumption. This claim follows from two results of Robins and Ritov (1997):…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 P. M. Aronow , James M. Robins , Theo Saarinen , Fredrik Sävje , Jasjeet Sekhon

We characterize the identified sets of a wide range of stochastic choice models, including random utility, various models of boundedly-rational behavior, and dynamic discrete choice. In each of these settings, we show two distributions over…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-24 Peter Caradonna , Christopher Turansick

To choose between two discrete goods, a consumer pays attention to only those with prices below a threshold. From these, she chooses her most preferred good. We assume consumers in a population have the same preference but may have…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-11-07 Kaushil Patel

Extropy, a complementary dual of entropy, (proposed by Lad et al. \cite{lad2015extropy} in 2015) has attracted considerable interest from the research community. In this study, we focus on discrete random variables and define conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Naveen Kumar , Vivek Vijay

Choice models, which capture popular preferences over objects of interest, play a key role in making decisions whose eventual outcome is impacted by human choice behavior. In most scenarios, the choice model, which can effectively be viewed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-09-22 Vivek F. Farias , Srikanth Jagabathula , Devavrat Shah
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