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Wildfires represent a problem for ecosystems, human activities, and economies, driven by the climate crisis and land-use changes. Predicting wildfire propagation through mathematical modelling is essential for damage mitigation and risk…

Machine learning is finding its application in a multitude of areas in science and research, and Climate and Earth Sciences is no exception to this trend. Operational forecasting systems based on data-driven approaches and machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-19 Shahbaz Alvi , Giusy Fedele , Gabriele Accarino , Italo Epicoco , Ilenia Manco , Pasquale Schiano

In recent years, the increasing threat of devastating wildfires has underscored the need for effective prescribed fire management. Process-based computer simulations have traditionally been employed to plan prescribed fires for wildfire…

Natural disasters, such as tornadoes, floods, and wildfire pose risks to life and property, requiring the intervention of insurance corporations. One of the most visible consequences of changing climate is an increase in the intensity and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-11 Thilini V. Mahanama , Abootaleb Shirvani

An invasive species of grass known as "buffelgrass" contributes to severe wildfires and biodiversity loss in the Southwest United States. We tackle the problem of predicting buffelgrass "green-ups" (i.e. readiness for herbicidal treatment).…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Lucas Rosenblatt , Bin Han , Erin Posthumus , Theresa Crimmins , Bill Howe

A wildland fire model based on semi-empirical relations for the spread rate of a surface fire and post-frontal heat release is coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting atmospheric model (WRF). The propagation of the fire front is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-08-03 Jan Mandel , Jonathan D. Beezley , Soham Chakraborty , Janice L. Coen , Craig C. Douglas , Anthony Vodacek , Zhen Wang

Extreme heat is the deadliest weather-related hazard in the United States. Furthermore, it is increasing in intensity, frequency, and duration, making skillful forecasts vital to protecting life and property. Traditional numerical weather…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-01 Kelsey E. Ennis , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Marybeth C. Arcodia , Martin A. Fernandez , Eric D. Maloney

Global climate change has had a drastic impact on our environment. Previous study showed that pest disaster occured from global climate change may cause a tremendous number of trees died and they inevitably became a factor of forest fire.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Chia-Yen Chiang , Chloe Barnes , Plamen Angelov , Richard Jiang

The spread and burned areas of wildfires in Alberta, Canada during a 50 year period, from 1961 through 2010 are studied here. Meteorological factors that control the spread and burn area have been discussed for a long time. In this paper,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-09-27 Hung-I Lee , Shih-Luen Wang , Sai-Ping Li

Wildland fires pose a terrifying natural hazard, underscoring the urgent need to develop data-driven and physics-informed digital twins for wildfire prevention, monitoring, intervention, and response. In this direction of research, this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-18 Konstantinos Vogiatzoglou , Costas Papadimitriou , Vasilis Bontozoglou , Konstantinos Ampountolas

Extreme wildfires are a significant cause of human death and biodiversity destruction within countries that encompass the Mediterranean Basin. Recent worrying trends in wildfire activity (i.e., occurrence and spread) suggest that wildfires…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-06 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser , Emanuele Bevacqua , Jakob Zscheischler

Accurate assessment of fuel conditions is a prerequisite for fire ignition and behavior prediction, and risk management. The method proposed herein leverages diverse data sources including Landsat-8 optical imagery, Sentinel-1 (C-band)…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-26 Riyaaz Uddien Shaik , Mohamad Alipour , Eric Rowell , Bharathan Balaji , Adam Watts , Ertugrul Taciroglu

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restrictive measures adopted by political…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Giovanni Soldi , Nicola Forti , Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Stefano Marano , Peter Willett , Krishna Pattipati

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng

We present an overview of a modeling environment, consisting of a coupled atmosphere-wildfire model, utilities for visualization, data processing, and diagnostics, open source software repositories, and a community wiki. The fire model,…

Mediterranean ecosystems such as those found in California, Central Chile, Southern Europe, and Southwest Australia host numerous, diverse, fire-adapted micro-ecosystems. These micro-ecosystems are as diverse as mountainous conifer to…

Wildfires have become one of the biggest natural hazards for environments worldwide. The effects of wildfires are heterogeneous, meaning that the magnitude of their effects depends on many factors such as geographical region, climate and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Andrew T. Prata , Fernando M. Cucchietti

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

Wildfires ignited by the power lines have become increasingly common over the past decade. Enhancing the operational and financial resilience of power grids against wildfires involves a multifaceted approach. Key proactive measures include…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Saeed Nematshahi , Amin Khodaei , Ali Arabnya

Global warming accelerates permafrost degradation, impacting the reliability of critical infrastructure used by more than five million people daily. Furthermore, permafrost thaw produces substantial methane emissions, further accelerating…