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Related papers: Statistical Testing under Distributional Shifts

200 papers

Many machine learning models appear to deploy effortlessly under distribution shift, and perform well on a target distribution that is considerably different from the training distribution. Yet, learning theory of distribution shift bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Robi Bhattacharjee , Nick Rittler , Kamalika Chaudhuri

For a partial structural change in a linear regression model with a single break, we develop a continuous record asymptotic framework to build inference methods for the break date. We have T observations with a sampling frequency h over a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-16 Alessandro Casini , Pierre Perron

Aggregation patterns are often visually detected in sets of location data. These clusters may be the result of interesting dynamics or the effect of pure randomness. We build an asymptotically Gaussian test for the hypothesis of randomness…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-06-09 Gabriel Lang , Eric Marcon

We formulate and analyze a novel hypothesis testing problem for inferring the edge structure of an infection graph. In our model, a disease spreads over a network via contagion or random infection, where the random variables governing the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-05 Justin Khim , Po-Ling Loh

In many practical applications of machine learning, a discrepancy often arises between a source distribution from which labeled training examples are drawn and a target distribution for which only unlabeled data is observed. Traditionally,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paweł Teisseyre , Jan Mielniczuk

Machine learning systems deployed in the real world must operate under dynamic and often unpredictable distribution shifts. This challenges the validity of statistical safety assurances on the system's risk established beforehand. Common…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-23 Alexander Timans , Rajeev Verma , Eric Nalisnick , Christian A. Naesseth

Most of the literature on change-point analysis by means of hypothesis testing considers hypotheses of the form H0 : \theta_1 = \theta_2 vs. H1 : \theta_1 != \theta_2, where \theta_1 and \theta_2 denote parameters of the process before and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-26 Holger Dette , Dominik Wied

We consider linear regression in the high-dimensional regime where the number of observations $n$ is smaller than the number of parameters $p$. A very successful approach in this setting uses $\ell_1$-penalized least squares (a.k.a. the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-05 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

Hypothesis testing in high dimensional data is a notoriously difficult problem without direct access to competing models' likelihood functions. This paper argues that statistical divergences can be used to quantify the difference between…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-02 Jeremy J. H. Wilkinson , Christopher G. Lester

The likelihood ratio statistic, with its asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution at regular model points, is often used for hypothesis testing. At model singularities and boundaries, however, the asymptotic distribution may not be $\chi^2$, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-25 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Elizabeth S. Allman , John A. Rhodes

Neural networks are powerful predictive models, but they provide little insight into the nature of relationships between predictors and outcomes. Although numerous methods have been proposed to quantify the relative contributions of input…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-30 Francesca Mandel , Ian Barnett

Distributed frameworks are widely used to handle massive data, where sample size $n$ is very large, and data are often stored in $k$ different machines. For a random vector $X\in \mathbb{R}^p$ with expectation $\mu$, testing the mean vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Bin Du , Junlong Zhao

The exploration of associations between random objects with complex geometric structures has catalyzed the development of various novel statistical tests encompassing distance-based and kernel-based statistics. These methods have various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Zhe Gao , Roulin Wang , Xueqin Wang , Heping Zhang

We consider the sequential composite binary hypothesis testing problem in which one of the hypotheses is governed by a single distribution while the other is governed by a family of distributions whose parameters belong to a known set…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-30 Jiachun Pan , Yonglong Li , Vincent Y. F. Tan

Testing whether the observed data conforms to a purported model (probability distribution) is a basic and fundamental statistical task, and one that is by now well understood. However, the standard formulation, identity testing, fails to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-06 Clément L. Canonne , Karl Wimmer

This paper studies one-sided hypothesis testing under random sampling without replacement. That is, when $n+1$ binary random variables $X_1,\ldots, X_{n+1}$ are subject to a permutation invariant distribution and $n$ binary random variables…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-07 Zihao Li , Huangjun Zhu , Masahito Hayashi

We discuss a graph-based approach for testing spatial point patterns. This approach falls under the category of data-random graphs, which have been introduced and used for statistical pattern recognition in recent years. Our goal is to test…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-06 E. Ceyhan , C. E. Priebe , D. J. Marchette

Testing mutual independence among multiple random variables is a fundamental problem in statistics, with wide applications in genomics, finance, and neuroscience. In this paper, we propose a new class of tests for high-dimensional mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-28 Ping Zhao , Huifang Ma

There has been much interest in the nonparametric testing of conditional independence in the econometric and statistical literature, but the simplest and potentially most useful method, based on the sample partial correlation, seems to have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-27 Wicher Bergsma

We investigate model assessment and selection in a changing environment, by synthesizing datasets from both the current time period and historical epochs. To tackle unknown and potentially arbitrary temporal distribution shift, we develop…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Elise Han , Chengpiao Huang , Kaizheng Wang