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Univariate marked Hawkes processes are used to model a range of real-world phenomena including earthquake aftershock sequences, contagious disease spread, content diffusion on social media platforms, and order book dynamics. This paper…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Louis Davis , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

Generalized evolutionary point processes offer a class of point process models that allows for either excitation or inhibition based upon the history of the process. In this regard, we propose modeling which comprises generalization of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Philip A. White , Alan E. Gelfand

In real world social networks, there are multiple cascades which are rarely independent. They usually compete or cooperate with each other. Motivated by the reinforcement theory in sociology we leverage the fact that adoption of a user to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-23 Ali Zarezade , Ali Khodadadi , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Hamid R. Rabiee , Hongyuan Zha

In the field of collective dynamics, the Kuramoto model serves as a benchmark for the investigation of synchronization phenomena. While mean-field approaches and complex networks have been widely studied, the simple topology of a circle is…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-02-21 Albert Díaz-Guilera , Dimitri Marinelli , Conrad J. Pérez-Vicente

Across a wide variety of applications, the self-exciting Hawkes process has been used to model phenomena in which the history of events influences future occurrences. However, there may be many situations in which the past events only…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Andrew Daw , Jamol Pender

Balance of excitation and inhibition is a fundamental feature of in vivo network activity and is important for its computations. However, its presence in the neocortex of higher mammals is not well established. We investigated the dynamics…

This work contributes to the theory and applications of Hawkes processes. We introduce and examine a new class of Hawkes processes that we call generalized Hawkes processes, and their special subclass -- the generalized multivariate Hawkes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Mariusz Nieweglowski

Temporal networks are characterised by interdependent link events between nodes, forming ordered sequences of links that may represent specific information flows in the system. Nevertheless, representing temporal networks using discrete…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-30 Yuwei Zhu , Paolo Barucca

We introduce a multivariate Hawkes process that accounts for the dynamics of market prices through the impact of market order arrivals at microstructural level. Our model is a point process mainly characterized by 4 kernels associated with…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-08 E. Bacry , J. F Muzy

We present an extension of the previously proposed mean-field renormalization method to model Hamiltonians which are characterized by more than just one type of interaction. The method rests on scaling assumptions about the magnetization of…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 C. N. Likos , A. Maritan

We study the large-population limit of interacting particle systems evolving on adaptive dynamical networks, motivated in particular by models of opinion dynamics. In such systems, agents interact through weighted graphs whose structure…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-01-13 Nathalie Ayi

The emergence of online social platforms, such as social networks and social media, has drastically affected the way people apprehend the information flows to which they are exposed. In such platforms, various information cascades spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Gaspard Abel , Argyris Kalogeratos , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Julien Randon-Furling

Probabilistic inference offers a principled framework for understanding both behaviour and cortical computation. However, two basic and ubiquitous properties of cortical responses seem difficult to reconcile with probabilistic inference:…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-03 Laurence Aitchison , Máté Lengyel

We consider a nonlinear multivariate Hawkes process having a variable length memory which allows to describe the activity of a neuronal network by its membrane potential. We propose a graphical construction of the process and we construct,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Branda Goncalves , Paul Gresland

We introduce a class of hybrid marked point processes, which encompasses and extends continuous-time Markov chains and Hawkes processes. While this flexible class amalgamates such existing processes, it also contains novel processes with…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Maxime Morariu-Patrichi , Mikko S. Pakkanen

We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

We study the mean-field limit of a model of biological neuron networks based on the so-called stochastic integrate-and-fire (IF) dynamics. Our approach allows to derive a continuous limit for the macroscopic behavior of the system, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-11 Pierre-Emmanuel Jabin , Datong Zhou

Stochastic quasi-cycles for a two species model of the excitatory-inhibitory type, arranged on a triangular loop, are studied. By increasing the strength of the inter-nodes coupling, one moves the system towards the Hopf bifurcation and the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-09-26 Sara Nicoletti , Niccolò Zagli , Duccio Fanelli , Roberto Livi , Timoteo Carletti , Giacomo Innocenti