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In this paper, we address the problem of fitting multivariate Hawkes processes to potentially large-scale data in a setting where series of events are not only mutually-exciting but can also exhibit inhibitive patterns. We focus on…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-19 Remi Lemonnier , Nicolas Vayatis

Hawkes process is a class of simple point processes that is self-exciting and has clustering effect. The intensity of this point process depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in finance, neuroscience and many other…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-18 Lingjiong Zhu

The emergence of cooperative behavior, despite natural selection favoring rational self-interest, presents a significant evolutionary puzzle. Evolutionary game theory elucidates why cooperative behavior can be advantageous for survival.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Daiki Miyagawa , Genki Ichinose

We study the mean-field limit of a generic class of dynamic co-evolving latent space networks motivated by the social and opinion dynamics literature. Such models include $n$ agents, whose opinions are given by latent stochastic processes,…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-24 Ankan Ganguly , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos , Daniel Sussman

Empirically derived continuum models of collective behavior among large populations of dynamic agents are a subject of intense study in several fields, including biology, engineering and finance. We formulate and study a mean-field game…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2018-06-22 Piyush Grover , Kaivalya Bakshi , Evangelos A. Theodorou

The neural dynamics generating sensory, motor, and cognitive functions are commonly understood through field theories for neural population activity. Classic neural field theories are derived from highly simplified models of individual…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-21 Gabriel Koch Ocker

The paper examines the discrete-time dynamics of neuron models (of excitatory and inhibitory types) with piecewise linear activation functions, which are connected in a network. The properties of a pair of neurons (one excitatory and the…

chao-dyn · Physics 2007-05-23 Sitabhra Sinha

Coupling among neural rhythms is one of the most important mechanisms at the basis of cognitive processes in the brain. In this study we consider a neural mass model, rigorously obtained from the microscopic dynamics of an inhibitory…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-06-24 Andrea Ceni , Simona Olmi , Alessandro Torcini , David Angulo-Garcia

Humans and other organisms make decisions choosing between different options, with the aim to maximize the reward and minimize the cost. The main theoretical framework for modeling the decision-making process has been based on the highly…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-19 Olga Tapinova , Tal Finkelman , Tamar Reitich-Stolero , Rony Paz , Assaf Tal , Nir S. Gov

Hawkes process is a self-exciting point process with clustering effect whose intensity depends on its entire past history. It has wide applications in neuroscience, finance and many other fields. In this paper, we obtain a functional…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Lingjiong Zhu

A certain degree of inhibition is a common trait of dynamical networks in nature, ranging from neuronal and biochemical networks, to social and technological networks. We study here the role of inhibition in a representative dynamical…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-12-27 Joao Pinheiro Neto , Marcus A. M. de Aguiar , José A. Brum , Stefan Bornholdt

We develop a unified theory that encompasses the macroscopic dynamics of recurrent interactions of binary units within arbitrary network architectures. Using the martingale theory, our mathematical analysis provides a complete description…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-11-22 Farzad Farkhooi , Wilhelm Stannat

Fueled in part by recent applications in neuroscience, the multivariate Hawkes process has become a popular tool for modeling the network of interactions among high-dimensional point process data. While evaluating the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-16 Xu Wang , Mladen Kolar , Ali Shojaie

We present a stability study of the class of multivariate self-excited Hawkes point processes, that can model natural and social systems, including earthquakes, epileptic seizures and the dynamics of neuron assemblies, bursts of exchanges…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-27 A. Saichev , D. Sornette

The Hawkes process is a popular point process model for event sequences that exhibit temporal clustering. The intensity process of a Hawkes process consists of two components, the baseline intensity and the accumulated excitation effect due…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan , Feng Chen , William Dunsmuir

This paper extends the Transmission Neural Network model proposed by Gao and Caines in [1]-[3] to incorporate inhibitory connections and neurotransmitter populations. The extended network model contains binary neuronal states, transmission…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Shuang Gao , Peter E. Caines

Numerous studies grounded on Hawkes processes have been carried out in many fields including finance, biology and social network. Hawkes processes form a class of selfexciting simple point processes. In this article, we consider a general…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Bartholomé Vieille , Rachid Senoussi , Samuel Soubeyrand

Several recent experiments in biology study systems composed of several interacting elements, for example neuron networks. Normally, measurements describe only the collective behavior of the system, even if in most cases we would like to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2010-10-12 Vitor Sessak

Hawkes processes have recently gained increasing attention from the machine learning community for their versatility in modeling event sequence data. While they have a rich history going back decades, some of their properties, such as…

Targeting a better understanding of credit market dynamics, the authors have studied a stochastic model named the Hawkes process. Describing trades arrival times, this kind of model allows for the capture of self-excitement and mutual…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-12 Achraf Bahamou , Maud Doumergue , Philippe Donnat
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