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In 2016 the British government acknowledged the importance of reducing antimicrobial prescriptions in order to avoid the long-term harmful effects of over-prescription. Prescription needs are highly dependent on factors that have a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-14 Antonia Gieschen , Jake Ansell , Raffaella Calabrese , Belen Martin-Barragan

Thermal comfort is essential for well-being in urban spaces, especially as cities face increasing heat from urbanization and climate change. Existing thermal comfort models usually overlook temporal dynamics alongside spatial dependencies.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-19 Federico P. Cortese , Antonio Pievatolo

Fatigue is a broad, multifactorial concept that includes the subjective perception of reduced physical and mental energy levels. It is also one of the key factors that strongly affect patients' health-related quality of life. To date, most…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2021-08-10 Yang Bai , Yu Guan , Jian Qing Shi , Wan-Fai Ng

Estimating effects of spatially structured exposures is complicated by unmeasured spatial confounders, which undermine identifiability in spatial linear regression models unless structural assumptions are imposed. We develop a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-30 Anik Burman , Elizabeth L. Ogburn , Abhirup Datta

It is of utmost importance to have a clear understanding of the status of air pollution and to provide forecasts and insights about the air quality to the general public and researchers in environmental studies. Previous studies of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-08 Soudeep Deb , Ruey S. Tsay

Gut microbial composition has been linked to multiple health outcomes. Yet, temporal analysis of this composition had been limited to deterministic models. In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic model for the dynamics of intestinal…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-03 Ruiqi Zhong , Tyler Joseph , Joao B Xavier , Itsik Pe'er

Spatiotemporal modelling of infectious diseases such as COVID-19 involves using a variety of epidemiological metrics such as regional proportion of cases or regional positivity rates. Although observing their changes over time is critical…

We develop new methodology to improve our understanding of the causal effects of multivariate air pollution exposures on public health. Typically, exposure to air pollution for an individual is measured at their home geographic region,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Heejun Shin , Danielle Braun , Kezia Irene , Michelle Audirac , Joseph Antonelli

Infectious diseases outbreaks are often characterized by a spatial component induced by hosts' distribution, mobility, and interactions. Spatial models that incorporate hosts' movements are being used to describe these processes, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-07-20 Chiara Poletto , Michele Tizzoni , Vittoria Colizza

In credit risk analysis, survival models with fixed and time-varying covariates are widely used to predict a borrower's time-to-event. When the time-varying drivers are endogenous, modelling jointly the evolution of the survival time and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Victor Medina-Olivares , Finn Lindgren , Raffaella Calabrese , Jonathan Crook

Evaluating the effects of time-varying exposures is essential for longitudinal studies. The effect estimation becomes increasingly challenging when dealing with hundreds of time-dependent confounders. We propose a Marginal Structure…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-21 Zhiwei Zhao , Chixiang Chen , Shuo Chen

We study an individual-based stochastic spatial epidemic model where the number of locations and the number of individuals at each location both grow to infinity. Each individual is associated with a random infection-age dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Guodong Pang , Etienne Pardoux

Measuring the impact of an environmental point source exposure on the risk of disease, like cancer or childhood asthma, is well-developed. Modeling how an environmental health hazard that is extensive in space, like a wastewater canal,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-29 Rob Trangucci , Jesse Contreras , Jon Zelner , Joseph N. S. Eisenberg , Yang Chen

In environmental health research, it is of interest to understand the effect of the neighborhood environment on health. Researchers have shown a protective association between green space around a person's residential address and depression…

Spatial association and heterogeneity are two critical areas in the research about spatial analysis, geography, statistics and so on. Though large amounts of outstanding methods has been proposed and studied, there are few of them tend to…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-03-26 Zihao Yuan

Monitoring air pollution is crucial for protecting human health from exposure to harmful substances. Traditional methods of air quality monitoring, such as ground-based sensors and satellite-based remote sensing, face limitations due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Osama Ahmad , Zubair Khalid , Muhammad Tahir , Momin Uppal

One of the major research questions regarding human microbiome studies is the feasibility of designing interventions that modulate the composition of the microbiome to promote health and cure disease. This requires extensive understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-18 Matthew D. Koslovsky , Kristi L. Hoffman , Carrie R. Daniel , Marina Vannucci

We propose a novel sparse spatiotemporal dynamic generalized linear model for efficient inference and prediction of bicycle count data. Assuming Poisson distributed counts with spacetime-varying rates, we model the log-rate using…

In multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting, many deep learning based methods have been proposed for modeling dependencies at multiple spatial (inter-variate) or temporal (intra-variate) scales. However, existing methods may fail to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Binqing Wu , Jianlong Huang , Zongjiang Shang , Ling Chen

Obesity affects a rising percentage of the children and adolescent population, contributing to decreased quality of life and increased risk for comorbidities. Although the major causes of obesity are known, the obesogenic behaviors manifest…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-05-21 Ioannis Sarafis , Christos Diou , Vasileios Papapanagiotou , Leonidas Alagialoglou , Anastasios Delopoulos