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Many events and policies (treatments) occur at specific spatial locations, with researchers interested in their effects on nearby units. I approach the spatial treatment setting from an experimental perspective: What ideal experiment would…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-27 Michael Pollmann

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

Temporal human action detection aims to identify and localize action segments within untrimmed videos, serving as a pivotal task in video understanding. Despite the progress achieved by prior architectures like CNN and Transformer models,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-13 Yicheng Qiu , Keiji Yanai

In recent years, disease mapping studies have become a routine application within geographical epidemiology and are typically analysed within a Bayesian hierarchical model formulation. A variety of model formulations for the latent level…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-07 Andrea Riebler , Sigrunn H. Sørbye , Daniel Simpson , Håvard Rue

Spatio-Temporal Multivariate time series Forecast (STMF) uses the time series of $n$ spatially distributed variables in a period of recent past to forecast their values in a period of near future. It has important applications in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-29 Zibo Liu , Zhe Jiang , Zelin Xu , Tingsong Xiao , Yupu Zhang , Zhengkun Xiao , Haibo Wang , Shigang Chen

We study the problem of traffic forecasting, aiming to predict the inflow and outflow of a region in the subsequent time slot. The problem is complex due to the intricate spatial and temporal interdependence among regions. Prior works study…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zheng Chenghong , Zongyin Deng , Liu Cheng , Xiong Simin , Di Deshi , Li Guanyao

The health impact of long-term exposure to air pollution is now routinely estimated using spatial ecological studies, due to the recent widespread availability of spatial referenced pollution and disease data. However, this areal unit study…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-16 Duncan Lee , Christophe Sarran

Video prediction aims to predict future frames by modeling the complex spatiotemporal dynamics in videos. However, most of the existing methods only model the temporal information and the spatial information for videos in an independent…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-21 Zheng Chang , Xinfeng Zhang , Shanshe Wang , Siwei Ma , Wen Gao

Forecasting epileptic seizures from multivariate EEG signals represents a critical challenge in healthcare time series prediction, requiring high sensitivity, low false alarm rates, and subject-specific adaptability. We present STAN, an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Zan Li , Kyongmin Yeo , Wesley Gifford , Lara Marcuse , Madeline Fields , Bülent Yener

The last two decades have seen intense scientific and regulatory interest in the health effects of particulate matter (PM). Influential epidemiological studies that characterize chronic exposure of individuals rely on monitoring data that…

Applications · Statistics 2009-06-09 Christopher J. Paciorek , Jeff D. Yanosky , Robin C. Puett , Francine Laden , Helen H. Suh

We propose a Bayesian hierarchical model to address the challenge of spatial misalignment in spatio-temporal data obtained from in situ and satellite sources. The model is fit using the INLA-SPDE approach, which provides efficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Shiyu He , Samuel W. K. Wong

Chronic respiratory diseases, such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and asthma, are a serious health crisis, affecting a large number of people globally and inflicting major costs on the economy. Current methods for assessing the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-06 Rohan Tan Bhowmik

The tau statistic $\tau$ uses geolocation and, usually, symptom onset time to assess global spatiotemporal clustering from epidemiological data. We test different factors that could affect graphical hypothesis tests of clustering or bias…

Predicting spatio-temporal traffic flow presents significant challenges due to complex interactions between spatial and temporal factors. Existing approaches often address these dimensions in isolation, neglecting their critical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-11-15 Weilin Ruan , Wenzhuo Wang , Siru Zhong , Wei Chen , Li Liu , Yuxuan Liang

We introduce a mixed-effects model to learn spatiotempo-ral patterns on a network by considering longitudinal measures distributed on a fixed graph. The data come from repeated observations of subjects at different time points which take…

Epidemic data often possess certain characteristics, such as the presence of many zeros, the spatial nature of the disease spread mechanism or environmental noise. This paper addresses these issues via suitable Bayesian modelling. In doing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-10 C. Malesios , N. Demiris , K. Kalogeropoulos , I. Ntzoufras

Time-to-event models are commonly used to study associations between risk factors and disease outcomes in the setting of electronic health records (EHR). In recent years, focus has intensified on social determinants of health, highlighting…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Yueming Shen , Christian Pean , David Dunson , Samuel Berchuck

While significant progress has been made towards explaining black-box machine-learning (ML) models, there is still a distinct lack of diagnostic tools that elucidate the spatial behaviour of ML models in terms of predictive skill and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-01 Alexander Brenning

Studies investigating the causal effects of spatially varying exposures on outcomes often rely on observational and spatially indexed data. A prevalent challenge is unmeasured spatial confounding, where an unobserved spatially varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-19 Sophie M. Woodward , Mauricio Tec , Francesca Dominici

Airborne particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major public health concern in urban environments, where population density and emission sources exacerbate exposure risks. We present a novel Bayesian spatiotemporal fusion model to estimate monthly…