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In this paper we propose a detectability condition for nonlinear continuous-time systems with irregular/infrequent output measurements, namely a sample-based version of incremental integral input/output-to-state stability (i-iIOSS). We…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-24 Isabelle Krauss , Victor G. Lopez , Matthias A. Müller

Full-field traffic state information (i.e., flow, speed, and density) is critical for the successful operation of Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) on freeways. However, incomplete traffic information tends to be directly collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Zhao Zhang , Ding Zhao , Xianfeng Terry Yang

Large dynamic economies with heterogeneous agents and aggregate shocks are central to many important applications, yet their equilibrium analysis remains computationally challenging. This is because the standard solution approach, rational…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-25 Bilal Islah , Bar Light

In this work, we address the output--feedback control problem for nonlinear systems under bounded disturbances using a moving horizon approach. The controller is posed as an optimization-based problem that simultaneously estimates the state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-23 Nestor N. Deniz , Guido Sanchez , Marina H. Murillo , Leonardo L. Giovanini

Most generalization bounds in learning theory are based on some measure of the complexity of the hypothesis class used, independently of any algorithm. In contrast, the notion of algorithmic stability can be used to derive tight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-11-12 Mehryar Mohri , Afshin Rostamizadeh

This paper proposes a novel hybrid model, termed GARCH-FIS, for recursive rolling multi-step forecasting of financial time series. It integrates a Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) with a Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Wen-Jing Li , Da-Qing Zhang

In dynamic games with asymmetric information structure, the widely used concept of equilibrium is perfect Bayesian equilibrium (PBE). This is expressed as a strategy and belief pair that simultaneously satisfy sequential rationality and…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-09-15 Abhinav Sinha , Achilleas Anastasopoulos

In this work, we propose an adaptive robust loss function framework for MHE, integrating an adaptive robust loss function to reduce the impact of outliers with a regularization term that avoids naive solutions. The proposed approach…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Nestor Deniz , Guido Sanchez , Fernando Auat Cheein , Leonardo Giovanini

The stability analysis of model predictive control schemes without terminal constraints and/or costs has attracted considerable attention during the last years. We pursue a recently proposed approach which can be used to determine a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Philipp Braun , Jürgen Pannek , Karl Worthmann

This paper explores the distance-based relative state estimation problem in large-scale systems, which is hard to solve effectively due to its high-dimensionality and non-convexity. In this paper, we alleviate this inherent hardness to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Tianyue Wu , Gongye Zaitian , Qianhao Wang , Fei Gao

This paper presents a recursive solution to the receding or moving horizon estimation (MHE) problem for nonlinear time-variant systems. We provide the conditions under which the recursive MHE is equivalent to the extended Kalman filter…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Xu Weng , K. V. Ling , Ling Zhao

Traditional time series forecasting methods optimize for accuracy alone. This objective neglects temporal consistency, in other words, how consistently a model predicts the same future event as the forecast origin changes. We introduce the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-24 Chutian Ma , Grigorii Pomazkin , Giacinto Paolo Saggese , Paul Smith

A novel online MOT algorithm, IMM Joint Homography State Estimation (IMM-JHSE), is proposed. IMM-JHSE uses an initial homography estimate as the only additional 3D information, whereas other 3D MOT methods use regular 3D measurements. By…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Paul Johannes Claasen , Johan Pieter de Villiers

The method of maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a widely used statistical approach for estimating the values of one or more unknown parameters of a probabilistic model based on observed data. In this tutorial, I briefly review the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-12-03 Anthony Vella

The dominant paradigm in machine learning is to assess model performance based on average loss across all samples in some test set. This amounts to averaging performance geospatially across the Earth in weather and climate settings, failing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Nick Masi , Randall Balestriero

Reliable Human Orientation Estimation (HOE) from a monocular image is critical for autonomous agents to understand human intention. Significant progress has been made in HOE under full observation. However, the existing methods easily make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Jieting Zhao , Hanjing Ye , Yu Zhan , Hao Luan , Hong Zhang

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

While stochastic geometry provides a powerful framework for the analysis of cellular networks, standard Monte Carlo simulations often suffer from slow convergence due to the stochasticity of the infinite far-field. This work introduces the…

In power system steady-state estimation (PSSE), one needs to consider (1) the need for robust statistics, (2) the nonconvex transmission constraints, (3) the fast-varying nature of the inputs, and the corresponding need to track optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-08 Pavel Rytir , Ales Wodecki , Martin Malachov , Pavel Baxant , Premysl Vorac , Miloslava Chladova , Jakub Marecek

The standard solution concept for stochastic games is Markov perfect equilibrium (MPE); however, its computation becomes intractable as the number of players increases. Instead, we consider mean field equilibrium (MFE) that has been…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-06-05 Bar Light , Gabriel Weintraub
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