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Data assimilation, consisting in the combination of a dynamical model with a set of noisy and incomplete observations in order to infer the state of a system over time, involves uncertainty in most settings. Building upon an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Anthony Frion , David S Greenberg

The literature is rich with studies, analyses, and examples on parameter estimation for describing the evolution of chaotic dynamical systems based on measurements, even when only partial information is available through observations.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-08-07 Michele Baia , Tommaso Matteuzzi , Franco Bagnoli

Time-varying linear state-space models are powerful tools for obtaining mathematically interpretable representations of neural signals. For example, switching and decomposed models describe complex systems using latent variables that evolve…

In many problems of data-driven modeling for dynamical systems, the governing equations are not known a priori and must be selected phenomenologically from a large set of candidate interactions and basis functions. In such situations, point…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-14 Shuhei Kashiwamura , Yusuke Kato , Hiroshi Kori , Masato Okada

Reconstructing the equation of motion and thus the network topology of a system from time series is a very important problem. Although many powerful methods have been developed, it remains a great challenge to deal with systems in high…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2023-08-16 Zishuo Yan , Lili Gui , Kun Xu , Yueheng Lan

The problem of dynamic estimation of all parameters of a model representing chaotic and hyperchaotic systems using information from a scalar measured output is solved. The variational calculus based method is robust in the presence of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-26 Rahul Konnur

Many model selection algorithms rely on sparse dictionary learning to provide interpretable and physics-based governing equations. The optimization algorithms typically use a hard thresholding process to enforce sparse activations in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-30 Derek W. Jollie , Scott G. McCalla

In applications of nonlinear and complex dynamical systems, a common situation is that the system can be measured but its structure and the detailed rules of dynamical evolution are unknown. The inverse problem is to determine the system…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-09-15 Ying-Cheng Lai

The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

Extracting governing equations from dynamic data is an essential task in model selection and parameter estimation. The form of the governing equation is rarely known a priori; however, based on the sparsity-of-effect principle one may…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-19 Hayden Schaeffer , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward

Modeling real-world systems requires accounting for noise - whether it arises from unpredictable fluctuations in financial markets, irregular rhythms in biological systems, or environmental variability in ecosystems. While the behavior of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Matteo Bosso , Giovanni Franzese , Kushal Swamy , Maarten Theulings , Alejandro M. Aragón , Farbod Alijani

Discovering mathematical models that characterize the observed behavior of dynamical systems remains a major challenge, especially for systems in a chaotic regime. The challenge is even greater when the physics underlying such systems is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-12-25 Mario De Florio , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis , George Em Karniadakis

Systems exhibiting nonlinear dynamics, including but not limited to chaos, are ubiquitous across Earth Sciences such as Meteorology, Hydrology, Climate and Ecology, as well as Biology such as neural and cardiac processes. However, System…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-14 Nishant Yadav , Sai Ravela , Auroop R. Ganguly

The estimation of static parameters in dynamical systems and control theory has been extensively studied, with significant progress made in estimating varying parameters in specific system types. Suppose, in the general case, we have data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-10 Jamiree Harrison , Enoch Yeung

Focusing on identification, this paper develops techniques to reconstruct zero and nonzero elements of a sparse parameter vector of a stochastic dynamic system under feedback control, for which the current input may depend on the past…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-04 Wenxiao Zhao , George G. Yin , Er-Wei Bai

We consider the data-driven discovery of governing equations from time-series data in the limit of high noise. The algorithms developed describe an extensive toolkit of methods for circumventing the deleterious effects of noise in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Charles B. Delahunt , J. Nathan Kutz

Discovering dynamical models to describe underlying dynamical behavior is essential to draw decisive conclusions and engineering studies, e.g., optimizing a process. Experimental data availability notwithstanding has increased…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-12 Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Finding the governing equations from data by sparse optimization has become a popular approach to deterministic modeling of dynamical systems. Considering the physical situations where the data can be imperfect due to disturbances and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Valerio Lucarini , Ying-Cheng Lai

This paper addresses identification of sparse linear and noise-driven continuous-time state-space systems, i.e., the right-hand sides in the dynamical equations depend only on a subset of the states. The key assumption in this study, is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-18 Zuogong Yue , Johan Thunberg , Lennart Ljung , Jorge Goncalves

Learning the governing equations in dynamical systems from time-varying measurements is of great interest across different scientific fields. This task becomes prohibitive when such data is moreover highly corrupted, for example, due to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-07-20 Giang Tran , Rachel Ward