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The problem of detecting change points in the parameters of a linear regression model with errors and covariates exhibiting heteroscedasticity is considered. Asymptotic results for weighted functionals of the cumulative sum (CUSUM)…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-28 Lajos Horvath , Gregory Rice , Yuqian Zhao

Purpose: Despite the potential of machine learning models, the lack of generalizability has hindered their widespread adoption in clinical practice. We investigate three methodological pitfalls: (1) violation of independence assumption, (2)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Farhad Maleki , Katie Ovens , Rajiv Gupta , Caroline Reinhold , Alan Spatz , Reza Forghani

Analyses of randomised trials are often based on regression models which adjust for baseline covariates, in addition to randomised group. Based on such models, one can obtain estimates of the marginal mean outcome for the population under…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-17 Jonathan W. Bartlett

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Generalization under distribution shift remains a core challenge in modern machine learning, yet existing learning bound theory is limited to narrow, idealized settings and is non-estimable from samples. In this paper, we bridge the gap…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-25 Hongbo Chen , Li Charlie Xia

Recent advances in deep learning (DL) have prompted the development of high-performing early warning score (EWS) systems, predicting clinical deteriorations such as acute kidney injury, acute myocardial infarction, or circulatory failure.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Yuxiao Cheng , Xinxin Song , Ziqian Wang , Qin Zhong , Kunlun He , Jinli Suo

Approximate Bayesian inference for neural networks is considered a robust alternative to standard training, often providing good performance on out-of-distribution data. However, Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) with high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Pavel Izmailov , Patrick Nicholson , Sanae Lotfi , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Analyzing large datasets and summarizing it into useful information is the heart of the data mining process. In healthcare, information can be converted into knowledge about patient historical patterns and possible future trends. During the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Dheeman Saha , Aaron Segura , Biraj Tiwari

Despite the increasing relevance of forecasting methods, causal implications of these algorithms remain largely unexplored. This is concerning considering that, even under simplifying assumptions such as causal sufficiency, the statistical…

We present a scalable end-to-end classifier that uses streaming physiological and medication data to accurately predict the onset of sepsis, a life-threatening complication from infections that has high mortality and morbidity. Our proposed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-14 Joseph Futoma , Sanjay Hariharan , Katherine Heller

One fundamental statistical question for research areas such as precision medicine and health disparity is about discovering effect modification of treatment or exposure by observed covariates. We propose a semiparametric framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Muxuan Liang , Menggang Yu

Causal inference is capable of estimating the treatment effect (i.e., the causal effect of treatment on the outcome) to benefit the decision making in various domains. One fundamental challenge in this research is that the treatment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Qian Li , Zhichao Wang , Shaowu Liu , Gang Li , Guandong Xu

Reliable uncertainty estimates are an important tool for helping autonomous agents or human decision makers understand and leverage predictive models. However, existing approaches to estimating uncertainty largely ignore the possibility of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Sangdon Park , Osbert Bastani , James Weimer , Insup Lee

Training Deep Neural Networks is complicated by the fact that the distribution of each layer's inputs changes during training, as the parameters of the previous layers change. This slows down the training by requiring lower learning rates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-03 Sergey Ioffe , Christian Szegedy

When investigators seek to estimate causal effects, they often assume that selection into treatment is based only on observed covariates. Under this identification strategy, analysts must adjust for observed confounders. While basic…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-09 Luke Keele , Dylan Small

Reliable seizure detection is critical for diagnosing and managing epilepsy, yet clinical workflows remain dependent on time-consuming manual EEG interpretation. While machine learning has shown promise, existing approaches often rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Bartlomiej Chybowski , Shima Abdullateef , Hollan Haule , Alfredo Gonzalez-Sulser , Javier Escudero

The rapid finding of effective therapeutics requires the efficient use of available resources in clinical trials. The use of covariate adjustment can yield statistical estimates with improved precision, resulting in a reduction in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Nicholas Williams , Michael Rosenblum , Iván Díaz

With the advancement in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques, researchers are striving towards employing these techniques for advancing clinical practice. One of the key objectives in healthcare is the early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-06 Khansa Rasheed , Adnan Qayyum , Junaid Qadir , Shobi Sivathamboo , Patrick Kwan , Levin Kuhlmann , Terence O'Brien , Adeel Razi

In the emerging era of big data, larger available clinical datasets and computational advances have sparked a massive interest in machine learning-based approaches. The number of manuscripts related to machine learning or artificial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Julius M. Kernbach , Victor E. Staartjes

Guideline-based treatment for sepsis and septic shock is difficult because sepsis is a disparate range of life-threatening organ dysfunctions whose pathophysiology is not fully understood. Early intervention in sepsis is crucial for patient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-24 Ran Liu , Joseph L. Greenstein , James C. Fackler , Jules Bergmann , Melania M. Bembea , Raimond L. Winslow