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Lung sepsis remains a significant concern in the Northeastern U.S., yet the national eICU Collaborative Database includes only a small number of patients from this region, highlighting underrepresentation. Understanding clinical variables…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Subharup Guha , Mengqi Xu , Yi Li

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

The ability to quickly and accurately identify covariate shift at test time is a critical and often overlooked component of safe machine learning systems deployed in high-risk domains. While methods exist for detecting when predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-02 Tom Ginsberg , Zhongyuan Liang , Rahul G. Krishnan

The early and accurate diagnosis of sepsis is critical for enhancing patient outcomes. This study aims to use heart rate variability (HRV) features to develop an effective predictive model for sepsis detection. Critical HRV features are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-07 Sai Balaji , Christopher Sun , Anaiy Somalwar

We develop and analyze explainable machine learning (ML) models for sepsis outcome prediction using a novel Electronic Health Record (EHR) dataset from 12,286 hospitalizations at a large emergency hospital in Romania. The dataset includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Andrei-Alexandru Bunea , Ovidiu Ghibea , Dan-Matei Popovici , Ion Daniel , Octavian Andronic

We study multiple rule-based and machine learning (ML) models for sepsis detection. We report the first neural network detection and prediction results on three categories of sepsis. We have used the retrospective Medical Information Mart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Avijit Mitra , Khalid Ashraf

Sepsis is the leading cause of mortality in the ICU. It is challenging to manage because individual patients respond differently to treatment. Thus, tailoring treatment to the individual patient is essential for the best outcomes. In this…

The progression of complex human diseases is associated with critical transitions across dynamical regimes. These transitions often spawn early-warning signals and provide insights into the underlying disease-driving mechanisms. In this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-10-24 Pejman F. Ghalati , Satya S. Samal , Jayesh S. Bhat , Robert Deisz , Gernot Marx , Andreas Schuppert

In randomized clinical trials, adjustments for baseline covariates at both design and analysis stages are highly encouraged by regulatory agencies. A recent trend is to use a model-assisted approach for covariate adjustment to gain…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-14 Ting Ye , Jun Shao , Yanyao Yi , Qingyuan Zhao

The mixture cure rate model is the most commonly used cure rate model in the literature. In the context of mixture cure rate model, the standard approach to model the effect of covariates on the cured or uncured probability is to use a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Suvra Pal , Yingwei Peng , Sandip Barui , Pei Wang

Sepsis is a life-threatening infectious syndrome associated with high mortality in intensive care units (ICUs). Early and accurate sepsis prediction (SP) is critical for timely intervention, yet remains challenging due to subtle early…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Zexi Tan , Tao Xie , Binbin Sun , Xiang Zhang , Yiqun Zhang , Yiu-Ming Cheung

We present machine learning estimators for causal and predictive parameters under covariate shift, where covariate distributions differ between training and target populations. One such parameter is the average effect of a policy that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Victor Chernozhukov , Michael Newey , Whitney K Newey , Rahul Singh , Vasilis Syrgkanis

Educational policymakers often lack data on student outcomes where standardized tests were not administered. Machine learning can predict unobserved outcomes in target populations using source population data. However, covariate…

Deep learning (DL) can aid doctors in detecting worsening patient states early, affording them time to react and prevent bad outcomes. While DL-based early warning models usually work well in the hospitals they were trained for, they tend…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Patrick Rockenschaub , Adam Hilbert , Tabea Kossen , Falk von Dincklage , Vince Istvan Madai , Dietmar Frey

Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units (ICUs) and costs hospitals billions annually. Treating a septic patient is highly challenging, because individual patients respond very differently to medical interventions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-24 Aniruddh Raghu , Matthieu Komorowski , Leo Anthony Celi , Peter Szolovits , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units and costs hospitals billions annually. Treating a septic patient is highly challenging, because individual patients respond very differently to medical interventions and there…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Aniruddh Raghu , Matthieu Komorowski , Imran Ahmed , Leo Celi , Peter Szolovits , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Notable progress has been made in generalist medical large language models across various healthcare areas. However, large-scale modeling of in-hospital time series data - such as vital signs, lab results, and treatments in critical care -…

Covariate shift relaxes the widely-employed independent and identically distributed (IID) assumption by allowing different training and testing input distributions. Unfortunately, common methods for addressing covariate shift by trying to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-02 Anqi Liu , Brian D. Ziebart

The use of unsupervised learning to identify patient subgroups has emerged as a potentially promising direction to improve the efficiency of Intensive Care Units (ICUs). By identifying subgroups of patients with similar levels of medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Harry Mayne , Guy Parsons , Adam Mahdi

After admission to emergency department (ED), patients with critical illnesses are transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) due to unexpected clinical deterioration occurrence. Identifying such unplanned ICU transfers is urgently needed for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-10 Chun-An Chou , Qingtao Cao , Shao-Jen Weng , Che-Hung Tsai