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Research on crude oil price forecasting has attracted tremendous attention from scholars and policymakers due to its significant effect on the global economy. Besides supply and demand, crude oil prices are largely influenced by various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Jiangwei Liu , Xiaohong Huang

This study proposes a new method of incorporating emotions from newspaper articles into macroeconomic forecasts, attempting to forecast industrial production and consumer prices leveraging narrative and sentiment from global newspapers. For…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Sonja Tilly , Markus Ebner , Giacomo Livan

Understanding how attitudes towards the Climate Emergency vary can hold the key to driving policy changes for effective action to mitigate climate related risk. The Oil and Gas industry account for a significant proportion of global…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Arman Sarjou

Crude oil, a critical component of the global economy, has its prices influenced by various factors such as economic trends, political events, and natural disasters. Traditional prediction methods based on historical data have their limits…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun , Martin Tschudy

Study of the forecasting models using large scale microblog discussions and the search behavior data can provide a good insight for better understanding the market movements. In this work we collected a dataset of 2 million tweets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Tushar Rao , Saket Srivastava

Forecasting crude oil prices remains challenging because market-relevant information is embedded in large volumes of unstructured news and is not fully captured by traditional polarity-based sentiment measures. This paper examines whether…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Dehao Dai , Ding Ma , Dou Liu , Kerui Geng , Yiqing Wang

This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of oil market during the last three decades, and examines changes in informational efficiency with major geopolitical events, such as terrorist attacks, financial crisis and other important…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-04-17 Aurelio F. Bariviera , Luciano Zunino , Osvaldo A. Rosso

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu

Twitter as a new form of social media potentially contains useful information that opens new opportunities for content analysis on tweets. This paper examines the predictive power of Twitter regarding the US presidential election of 2012.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-07-03 Kazem Jahanbakhsh , Yumi Moon

The forecasting of political, economic, and public health indicators using internet activity has demonstrated mixed results. For example, while some measures of explicitly surveyed public opinion correlate well with social media proxies,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Yi Li , Asieh Ahani , Haimao Zhan , Kevin Foley , Thayer Alshaabi , Kelsey Linnell , Peter Sheridan Dodds , Christopher M. Danforth , Adam Fox

In the era of rapid technological advancement, social media platforms such as Twitter (X) have emerged as indispensable tools for gathering consumer insights, capturing diverse opinions, and understanding public attitudes. This research…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-10-23 S M Rakib Ul Karim , Rownak Ara Rasul , Tunazzina Sultana

Financial market prediction on the basis of online sentiment tracking has drawn a lot of attention recently. However, most results in this emerging domain rely on a unique, particular combination of data sets and sentiment tracking tools.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-19 Huina Mao , Scott Counts , Johan Bollen

In this paper, we analyze Twitter signals as a medium for user sentiment to predict the price fluctuations of a small-cap alternative cryptocurrency called \emph{ZClassic}. We extracted tweets on an hourly basis for a period of 3.5 weeks,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-04 Tianyu Ray Li , Anup S. Chamrajnagar , Xander R. Fong , Nicholas R. Rizik , Feng Fu

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun

The study of the stock market with the attraction of machine learning approaches is a major direction for revealing hidden market regularities. This knowledge contributes to a profound understanding of financial market dynamics and getting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Andrei Zaichenko , Aleksei Kazakov , Elizaveta Kovtun , Semen Budennyy

Accurate crude oil price forecasting is crucial for various economic activities, including energy trading, risk management, and investment planning. Although deep learning models have emerged as powerful tools for crude oil price…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Mohammed Alruqimi , Luca Di Persio

Training machine learning models for predicting stock market share prices is an active area of research since the automatization of trading such papers was available in real time. While most of the work in this field of research is done by…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Mario Mitsuo Akita , Everton Josue da Silva

Accurately predicting short-term stock price movement remains a challenging task due to the market's inherent volatility and sensitivity to investor sentiment. This paper discusses a deep learning framework that integrates emotion features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 An Vuong , Susan Gauch

Inferring socioeconomic attributes of social media users such as occupation and income is an important problem in computational social science. Automated inference of such characteristics has applications in personalised recommender…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-04-12 Nikolaos Aletras , Benjamin Paul Chamberlain

Over the past decade humans have experienced exponential growth in the use of online resources, in particular social media and microblogging websites such as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and also mobile applications such as WhatsApp, Line,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-09-09 Rishabh Soni , K. James Mathai
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