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In recent years, the growing frequency and severity of natural disasters have increased the need for effective tools to manage catastrophe risk. Catastrophe (CAT) bonds allow the transfer of part of this risk to investors, offering an…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Julia Kończal , Michał Balcerek , Krzysztof Burnecki

A new algorithm has been developed for delineation of significant points of various electrocardiographic signal (ECG) waves, taking into account information from all available leads and providing similar or higher accuracy in comparison…

Machine learning (ML) estimates of conditional average treatment effects (CATE) can guide policy decisions, either by allowing targeting of individuals with beneficial CATE estimates, or as inputs to decision trees that optimise overall…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-04 Julia Hatamyar , Noemi Kreif

Seasonal forecasting remains challenging due to the inherent chaotic nature of atmospheric dynamics. This paper introduces DeepSeasons, a novel deep learning approach designed to enhance the accuracy and reliability of seasonal forecasts.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-09-16 A. Navarra , G. G. Navarra

This paper presents the first scientific application of local time-stepping (LTS) schemes in the Model for Prediction Across Scales-Ocean (MPAS-O). We use LTS schemes in a single-layer, global ocean model that predicts the storm surge…

Ecological Momentary Assessment (EMA) data is organized in multiple levels (per-subject, per-day, etc.) and this particular structure should be taken into account in machine learning algorithms used in EMA like decision trees and its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-07 Gerasimos Spanakis , Gerhard Weiss , Anne Roefs

This paper presents a method for estimating significant wave height (Hs) from sparse S_pectral P_oint using a T_ransformer-based approach (SPT). Based on empirical observations that only a minority of spectral points with strong power…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-09 Yi Zhou , Li Wang , Hang Su , Tian Wang

Forecasting Heavy Precipitation Events (HPE) in the Mediterranean is crucial but challenging due to the complexity of the processes involved. In this context, Artificial Intelligence methods have recently proven to be competitive with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-01 Killian Pujol , Roberta Baggio , Dominique Lambert , Jean-François Muzy , Jean-Baptiste Filippi , Florian Pantillon

Background: Accurately estimating volumetric water content (VWC) can greatly enhance the prediction of landslide risk. The standard approach involves using locally limited, invasive sensor measurements. Recently, however, electrical…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-08-26 Constantin Schorling

The forecast of tropical cyclone trajectories is crucial for the protection of people and property. Although forecast dynamical models can provide high-precision short-term forecasts, they are computationally demanding, and current…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-13 Sophie Giffard-Roisin , Mo Yang , Guillaume Charpiat , Christina Kumler-Bonfanti , Balázs Kégl , Claire Monteleoni

The sea level observations from satellite altimetry are characterised by a sparse spatial and temporal coverage. For this reason, along-track data are routinely interpolated into daily grids. The latter are strongly smoothed in time and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-22 Marcello Passaro , Marie-Christin Juhl

Photometry is a convenient operational method for monitoring such dynamically evolving phenomena as wind waves. Nowadays machine learning allows one to avoid explicit derivation of the solution to the problem, describing all the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-20 Mikhail B. Salin , Artem V. Vitalsky

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) are extreme ocean-temperature events with significant impacts on marine ecosystems and related industries. Accurate forecasts (one to six months ahead) of MHWs would aid in mitigating these impacts. However,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-20 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Sébastien Delaux , Rachael Tappenden , Karin R. Bryan , Yun Sing Koh

Accurate prediction of main engine power is essential for vessel performance optimization, fuel efficiency, and compliance with emission regulations. Conventional machine learning approaches, such as Support Vector Machines, variants of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Orfeas Bourchas , George Papalambrou

We report the outcome of evaluations of the skill of long-range forecasts from the ocean wave model component of the Navy's global coupled modeling system. Specifically, the model output is taken from a single member of the ensemble system,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-10 W. E. Rogers , M. A. Janiga

The upcoming Surface Water Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite altimetry mission is expected to yield two-dimensional high-resolution measurements of Sea Surface Height (SSH), thus allowing for a better characterization of the mesoscale and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-05-05 Redouane Lguensat , Ronan Fablet , Julien Le Sommer , Sammy Metref , Emmanuel Cosme , Kaouther Ouenniche , Lucas Drumetz , Jonathan Gula

Coastal regions and river floodplains are particularly vulnerable to the impacts of extreme weather events. Accurate real-time forecasting of hydrodynamic processes in these areas is essential for infrastructure planning and climate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Peter Rivera-Casillas , Sourav Dutta , Shukai Cai , Mark Loveland , Kamaljyoti Nath , Khemraj Shukla , Corey Trahan , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew Farthing , Clint Dawson

Forecasting severe weather conditions is still a very challenging and computationally expensive task due to the enormous amount of data and the complexity of the underlying physics. Machine learning approaches and especially deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Christian Schön , Jens Dittrich

Standard Bayesian retrievals for exoplanet atmospheric parameters from transmission spectroscopy, while well understood and widely used, are generally computationally expensive. In the era of the JWST and other upcoming observatories,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2025-08-08 Roy T. Forestano , Konstantin T. Matchev , Katia Matcheva , Eyup B. Unlu

Weakly supervised methods have emerged as a powerful tool for model-agnostic anomaly detection at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC). While these methods have shown remarkable performance on specific signatures such as di-jet resonances, their…

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