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Spatio-temporal forecasting has numerous applications in analyzing wireless, traffic, and financial networks. Many classical statistical models often fall short in handling the complexity and high non-linearity present in time-series data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-14 Soumyasundar Pal , Liheng Ma , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

The aim of this work is to investigate the use of Incrementally Input-to-State Stable ($\delta$ISS) deep Long Short Term Memory networks (LSTMs) for the identification of nonlinear dynamical systems. We show that suitable sufficient…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-28 Fabio Bonassi , Alessio La Bella , Giulio Panzani , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Data-driven control of nonlinear systems with rigorous guarantees is a challenging problem as it usually calls for nonconvex optimization and requires often knowledge of the true basis functions of the system dynamics. To tackle these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-27 Tim Martin , Thomas B. Schön , Frank Allgöwer

Designing Luenberger observers for nonlinear systems involves the challenging task of transforming the state to an alternate coordinate system, possibly of higher dimensions, where the system is asymptotically stable and linear up to output…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Muhammad Umar B. Niazi , John Cao , Xudong Sun , Amritam Das , Karl Henrik Johansson

The simulation of large nonlinear dynamical systems, including systems generated by discretization of hyperbolic partial differential equations, can be computationally demanding. Such systems are important in both fluid and kinetic…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2021-06-14 Alexander Engel , Graeme Smith , Scott E. Parker

Logistic models are studied as a tool to convert output from numerical weather forecasting systems (deterministic and ensemble) into probability forecasts for binary events. A logistic model obtains by putting the logarithmic odds ratio…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-01-29 Jochen Bröcker

This paper focuses on the stabilization and regulation of linear systems affected by quantization in state-transition data and actuated input. The observed data are composed of tuples of current state, input, and the next state's interval…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 Jared Miller , Jian Zheng , Mario Sznaier , Chris Hixenbaugh

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

Bayesian analysis of state-space models includes computing the posterior distribution of the system's parameters as well as filtering, smoothing, and predicting the system's latent states. When the latent states wander around $\mathbb{R}^n$…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Jesse Windle , Carlos M. Carvalho

The paper introduces a novel topological method for prediction and modeling for a nonlinear time--series that exhibit recurring patterns. According to the model, global manifold of the reconstructed state--space can be approximated by a few…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-11-21 Sajini Anand P S , Prabhakar G Vaidya

The integration of experiment technologies with large language models (LLMs) is transforming scientific research, offering AI capabilities beyond specialized problem-solving to becoming research assistants for human scientists. In power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-21 Mengshuo Jia , Zeyu Cui , Gabriela Hug

In many areas of engineering, nonlinear numerical analysis is playing an increasingly important role in supporting the design and monitoring of structures. Whilst increasing computer resources have made such formerly prohibitive analyses…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Thomas Simpson , Nikolaos Dervilis , Eleni Chatzi

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Learning interpretable representations of neural dynamics at a population level is a crucial first step to understanding how observed neural activity relates to perception and behavior. Models of neural dynamics often focus on either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-13 Noga Mudrik , Yenho Chen , Eva Yezerets , Christopher J. Rozell , Adam S. Charles

To operate process engineering systems in a safe and reliable manner, predictive models are often used in decision making. In many cases, these are mechanistic first principles models which aim to accurately describe the process. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-20 Timur Bikmukhametov , Johannes Jäschke

We present a novel approach for learning nonlinear dynamic models, which leads to a new set of tools capable of solving problems that are otherwise difficult. We provide theory showing this new approach is consistent for models with long…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-03 John Langford , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Tong Zhang

Likelihood-free inference (LFI) has been successfully applied to state-space models, where the likelihood of observations is not available but synthetic observations generated by a black-box simulator can be used for inference instead.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Alexander Aushev , Thong Tran , Henri Pesonen , Andrew Howes , Samuel Kaski

Polaritonic lattices offer a unique testbed for studying nonlinear driven-dissipative physics. They show qualitative changes of a steady state as a function of system parameters, which resemble non-equilibrium phase transitions. Unlike…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2022-05-16 D. Zvyagintseva , H. Sigurdsson , V. K. Kozin , I. Iorsh , I. A. Shelykh , V. Ulyantsev , O. Kyriienko

In the context of dynamical systems, nonlinearity measures quantify the strength of nonlinearity by means of the distance of their input-output behaviour to a set of linear input-output mappings. In this paper, we establish a framework to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-28 Tim Martin , Frank Allgöwer

We propose a novel multilinear dynamical system (MLDS) in a transform domain, named $\mathcal{L}$-MLDS, to model tensor time series. With transformations applied to a tensor data, the latent multidimensional correlations among the frontal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Weijun Lu , Xiao-Yang Liu , Qingwei Wu , Yue Sun , Anwar Walid