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Space debris is a major problem in space exploration. International bodies continuously monitor a large database of orbiting objects and emit warnings in the form of conjunction data messages. An important question for satellite operators…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-28 Francisco Caldas , Cláudia Soares , Cláudia Nunes , Marta Guimarães

Current approaches for collision avoidance and space traffic management face many challenges, mainly due to the continuous increase in the number of objects in orbit and the lack of scalable and automated solutions. To avoid catastrophic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Marta Guimarães , Cláudia Soares , Chiara Manfletti

Over 34,000 objects bigger than 10 cm in length are known to orbit Earth. Among them, only a small percentage are active satellites, while the rest of the population is made of dead satellites, rocket bodies, and debris that pose a…

After decades of space travel, low Earth orbit is a junkyard of discarded rocket bodies, dead satellites, and millions of pieces of debris from collisions and explosions. Objects in high enough altitudes do not re-enter and burn up in the…

The amount of debris in orbit has increased significantly over the years. With the recent growth of interest in space exploration, conjunction assessment has become a central issue. One important metric to evaluate conjunction risk is the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-04 Ricardo N. Ferreira , Marta Guimarães , Cláudia Soares

To perform a queuing analysis or design in a communications context, we need to estimate the values of the input parameters, specifically the mean of the arrival rate and service time. In this paper, we propose an approach for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2008-02-26 Xinjia Chen

The problem of detecting the presence of a signal that can lead to a disaster is studied. A decision-maker collects data sequentially over time. At some point in time, called the change point, the distribution of data changes. This change…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-07 Tim Brucks , Taposh Banerjee , Rahul Mishra

Satellite conjunctions involving "near misses" of space objects are becoming increasingly likely. One approach to risk analysis for them involves the computation of the collision probability, but this has been regarded as having some…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-11 Soumaya Elkantassi , Anthony Davison

Spacecraft collision avoidance procedures have become an essential part of satellite operations. Complex and constantly updated estimates of the collision risk between orbiting objects inform the various operators who can then plan risk…

Satellite conjunctions involving near misses of space objects are increasingly common, especially with the growth of satellite constellations and space debris. Accurate risk analysis for these events is essential to prevent collisions and…

Satellite conjunction analysis is the assessment of collision risk during a close encounter between a satellite and another object in orbit. A counterintuitive phenomenon has emerged in the conjunction analysis literature, namely,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Michael S. Balch , Ryan Martin , Scott Ferson

Numerical simulations are at the center of predicting the space debris environment of the upcoming decades. In light of debris generating events, such as continued anti-satellite weapon tests and planned mega-constellations, accurate…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-15 Pablo Gómez , Fabio Gratl , Oliver Bösing , Dario Izzo

Since the late 1950s, when the first artificial satellite was launched, the number of Resident Space Objects has steadily increased. It is estimated that around one million objects larger than one cm are currently orbiting the Earth, with…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-30 Francisco Caldas , Cláudia Soares

Halting a computer or biological virus outbreak requires a detailed understanding of the timing of the interactions between susceptible and infected individuals. While current spreading models assume that users interact uniformly in time,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 Alexei Vazquez , Racz Balazs , Lukacs Andras , Albert-Laszlo Barabasi

Space is becoming more crowded in Low Earth Orbit due to increased space activity. Such a dense space environment increases the risk of collisions between space objects endangering the whole space population. Therefore, the need to consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-20 João Simões Catulo , Cláudia Soares , Marta Guimarães

One of the challenges in fighting cybercrime is to understand the dynamics of message propagation on botnets, networks of infected computers used to send viruses, unsolicited commercial emails (SPAM) or denial of service attacks. We map…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2015-05-20 Tamara Mihaljev , Lucilla de Arcangelis , Hans J. Herrmann

The risk of collision between resident space objects has significantly increased in recent years. As a result, spacecraft collision avoidance procedures have become an essential part of satellite operations. To ensure safe and effective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-17 Marta Guimarães , Cláudia Soares , Chiara Manfletti

Data assimilation is a core component of numerical weather prediction systems. The large quantity of data processed during assimilation requires the computation to be distributed across increasingly many compute nodes, yet existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-15 Oscar Key , So Takao , Daniel Giles , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Channel uncertainty and co-channel interference are two major challenges in the design of wireless systems such as future generation cellular networks. This paper studies receiver design for a wireless channel model with both time-varying…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-10-15 Yan Zhu , Dongning Guo , Michael L. Honig

The proliferation of space debris in LEO has become a major concern for the space industry. With the growing interest in space exploration, the prediction of potential collisions between objects in orbit has become a crucial issue. It is…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-11 Ricardo Ferreira , Cláudia Soares , Marta Guimarães
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