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Standard methods, such as sequential procedures based on Johansen's (pseudo-)likelihood ratio (PLR) test, for determining the co-integration rank of a vector autoregressive (VAR) system of variables integrated of order one can be…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-08 H. Peter Boswijk , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca De Angelis , A. M. Robert Taylor

Existing works have shown that fine-tuned textual transformer models achieve state-of-the-art prediction performances but are also vulnerable to adversarial text perturbations. Traditional adversarial evaluation is often done \textit{only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Cuong Dang , Dung D. Le , Thai Le

The random coefficients model is an extension of the linear regression model that allows for unobserved heterogeneity in the population by modeling the regression coefficients as random variables. Given data from this model, the statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-15 Fabian Dunker , Konstantin Eckle , Katharina Proksch , Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

This paper is concerned with inference in threshold regression models when the practitioners do not know whether at the threshold point the true specification has a kink or a jump. We nest previous works that assume either continuity or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-15 Javier Hidalgo , Jungyoon Lee , Myung Hwan Seo

Highly robust and efficient estimators for the generalized linear model with a dispersion parameter are proposed. The estimators are based on three steps. In the first step the maximum rank correlation estimator is used to consistently…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-29 Michael Amiguet , Alfio Marazzi , Marina Valdora , Victor Yohai

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun

A companion paper develops a framework in which probability measures are represented by distribution-kernel pairs (T,phi) with T a tempered distribution and phi a Schwartz kernel, so that weak moments of all orders exist unconditionally.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 R. Labouriau

The application of neural networks to non-linear dynamic system identification tasks has a long history, which consists mostly of autoregressive approaches. Autoregression, the usage of the model outputs of previous time steps, is a method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Daniel Weber , Clemens Gühmann

This paper investigates the identification of quantiles and quantile regression parameters when observations are set valued. We define the identification set of quantiles of random sets in a way that extends the definition of quantiles for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Arie Beresteanu , Yuya Sasaki

Keypoint detection underpins many vision tasks, including pose estimation, viewpoint recovery, and 3D reconstruction, yet modern neural models remain vulnerable to small input perturbations. Despite its importance, formal robustness…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Xusheng Luo , Changliu Liu

For a robust leverage diagnostic in linear regression, Rousseeuw and van Zomeren [1990] proposed using robust distance (Mahalanobis distance computed using robust estimates of location and covariance). However, a design matrix X that…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-23 Kjell Konis

Time-series anomaly detection plays a vital role in monitoring complex operation conditions. However, the detection accuracy of existing approaches is heavily influenced by pattern distribution, existence of multiple normal patterns,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-08 Min Hu , Yi Wang , Xiaowei Feng , Shengchen Zhou , Zhaoyu Wu , Yuan Qin

We consider linear random coefficient regression models, where the regressors are allowed to have a finite support. First, we investigate identifiability, and show that the means and the variances and covariances of the random coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

We explore the issues of identification for nonlinear Impulse Response Functions in nonlinear dynamic models and discuss the settings in which the problem can be mitigated. In particular, we introduce the nonlinear autoregressive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-01 Christian Gourieroux , Quinlan Lee

A stylized feature of high-dimensional data is that many variables have heavy tails, and robust statistical inference is critical for valid large-scale statistical inference. Yet, the existing developments such as Winsorization,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Jianqing Fan , Zhipeng Lou , Mengxin Yu

The maximum likelihood estimation for a time-dependent nonstationary (NS) extreme value model is often too sensitive to influential observations, such as large values toward the end of a sample. Thus, alternative methods using L-moments…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Yire Shin , Yonggwan Shin , Jeong-Soo Park

This work introduces a novel approach for the joint selection of model structure and parameter learning for nonlinear dynamical systems identification. Focusing on a specific Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) family, i.e., Nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Corrado Sgadari , Alessio La Bella , Marcello Farina

Reinforcement learning (RL) agents need to be robust to variations in safety-critical environments. While system identification methods provide a way to infer the variation from online experience, they can fail in settings where fast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-07 Annie Xie , Shagun Sodhani , Chelsea Finn , Joelle Pineau , Amy Zhang

For systems with uncertain linear models, bounded additive disturbances and state and control constraints, a robust model predictive control algorithm incorporating online model adaptation is proposed. Sets of model parameters are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Xiaonan Lu , Mark Cannon , Denis Koksal-Rivet

The classical approach to linear system identification is given by parametric Prediction Error Methods (PEM). In this context, model complexity is often unknown so that a model order selection step is needed to suitably trade-off bias and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-13 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto
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