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Comparative analyses of phylogenetic trees typically require identical taxon sets, however, in practice, trees often include distinct but overlapping taxa. Pruning non-shared leaves discards phylogenetic signal, whereas tree completion can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-04-28 Aleksandr Koshkarov , Nadia Tahiri

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms play a key role in the Bayesian approach to phylogenetic inference. In this paper, we present the first theoretical work analyzing the rate of convergence of several Markov chains widely used in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Elchanan Mossel , Eric Vigoda

Biological data sets are often high-dimensional, noisy, and governed by complex interactions among sparse signals. This poses major challenges for interpretability and reliable feature selection. Tasks such as identifying motif interactions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Marta S. Lemanczyk , Lucas Kock , Johanna Schlimme , Nadja Klein , Bernhard Y. Renard

We propose a unified framework for global-local regularization that bridges the gap between classical techniques -- such as ridge regression and the nonnegative garotte -- and modern Bayesian hierarchical modeling. By estimating local…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Jyotishka Datta , Nick Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Phylogenetic inference is an intractable statistical problem on a complex space. Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are the primary tool for Bayesian phylogenetic inference but it is challenging to construct efficient schemes to explore the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Luke J. Kelly , Robin J. Ryder , Grégoire Clarté

Recent advances have allowed for both morphological fossil evidence and molecular sequences to be integrated into a single combined inference of divergence dates under the rule of Bayesian probability. In particular the fossilized…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-04 Alexei J. Drummond , Tanja Stadler

We introduce a new method of Bayesian wavelet shrinkage for reconstructing a signal when we observe a noisy version. Rather than making the common assumption that the wavelet coefficients of the signal are independent, we allow for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-17 Graeme K. Ambler , Bernard W. Silverman

We present a locally adaptive nonparametric curve fitting method that operates within a fully Bayesian framework. This method uses shrinkage priors to induce sparsity in order-k differences in the latent trend function, providing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-10 James R. Faulkner , Vladimir N. Minin

Sparse convex clustering is to cluster observations and conduct variable selection simultaneously in the framework of convex clustering. Although a weighted $L_1$ norm is usually employed for the regularization term in sparse convex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-27 Kaito Shimamura , Shuichi Kawano

Reconstructing the tree of life from molecular sequences is a fundamental problem in computational biology. Modern data sets often contain a large number of genes, which can complicate the reconstruction problem due to the fact that…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-21 Constantinos Daskalakis , Sebastien Roch

Phylogenetic trees describe the relationships between species in the evolutionary process, and provide information about the rates of diversification. To understand the mechanisms behind macroevolution, we consider a class of multitype…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-07 Mingqi He , Sophie Hautphenne , Yao-ban Chan

Factors models are routinely used to analyze high-dimensional data in both single-study and multi-study settings. Bayesian inference for such models relies on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods which scale poorly as the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Blake Hansen , Alejandra Avalos-Pacheco , Massimiliano Russo , Roberta De Vito

Phylogenetic inference, the task of reconstructing how related sequences evolved from common ancestors, is a central objective in evolutionary genomics. The current state-of-the-art methods exploit probabilistic models of sequence evolution…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Luc Blassel , Noémie Sauvage , Pierre Barrat-Charlaix , Bastien Boussau , Nicolas Lartillot , Laurent Jacob

Longitudinal item response data are common in social science, educational science, and psychology, among other disciplines. Studying the time-varying relationships between items is crucial for educational assessment or designing marketing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-26 Jaewoo Park , Yeseul Jeon , Minsuk Shin , Minjeong Jeon , Ick Hoon Jin

The need for fast sparse optimization is emerging, e.g., to deal with large-dimensional data-driven problems and to track time-varying systems. In the framework of linear sparse optimization, the iterative shrinkage-thresholding algorithm…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Vito Cerone , Sophie M. Fosson , Diego Regruto

Survey data are widely used to study how income inequality, poverty, and welfare evolve over time. A common practice is to estimate the income distribution separately for each year, treating annual observations as independent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-24 David Gunawan

Creep under a sustained load can persist for long times yet culminate in abrupt yielding or rupture, implying a finite lifetime even when the material appears solid. Here, we formulate lifetime prediction as Bayesian inference over an…

Materials Science · Physics 2026-04-01 Juan Carlos Verano-Espitia , Tero Mäkinen , Mikko J. Alava , Jérôme Weiss

Many machine learning tools for regression are based on recursive partitioning of the covariate space into smaller regions, where the regression function can be estimated locally. Among these, regression trees and their ensembles have…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-30 Stephanie van der Pas , Veronika Rockova

Estimating the effective sample size (ESS) is fundamental in Bayesian phylogenetic inference to properly account for autocorrelation in MCMC samples. While methods for continuous parameters are well established, the discrete and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Jonathan Klawitter , Lars Berling , Jordan Douglas , Dong Xie , Alexei J. Drummond

We give a non-technical introduction to convergence-divergence models, a new modeling approach for phylogenetic data that allows for the usual divergence of species post speciation but also allows for species to converge, i.e. become more…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-09-15 Jonathan D. Mitchell , Jeremy G. Sumner , Barbara R. Holland