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We study inference on the common stochastic trends in a non-stationary, $N$-variate time series $y_{t}$, in the possible presence of heavy tails. We propose a novel methodology which does not require any knowledge or estimation of the tail…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-30 Matteo Barigozzi , Giuseppe Cavaliere , Lorenzo Trapani

Graph inference plays an essential role in machine learning, pattern recognition, and classification. Signal processing based approaches in literature generally assume some variational property of the observed data on the graph. We make a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-24 B. Subbareddy , Aditya Siripuram , Jingxin Zhang

A novel IV estimation method, that we term Locally Trimmed LS (LTLS), is developed which yields estimators with (mixed) Gaussian limit distributions in situations where the data may be weakly or strongly persistent. In particular, we allow…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-24 Zhishui Hu , Ioannis Kasparis , Qiying Wang

This paper illustrates novel methods for nonstationary time series modeling along with their applications to selected problems in neuroscience. These methods are semi-parametric in that inferences are derived by combining sequential…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-03 Fabio Rigat , Jim Q. Smith

Reversibility is a key concept in Markov models and Master-equation models of molecular kinetics. The analysis and interpretation of the transition matrix encoding the kinetic properties of the model relies heavily on the reversibility…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-09-23 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Hao Wu , Fabian Paul , Frank Noé

In this paper, we consider the time-inhomogeneous nonlinear time series regression for a general class of locally stationary time series. On one hand, we propose sieve nonparametric estimators for the time-varying regression functions which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Xiucai Ding , Zhou Zhou

We investigate the class of tempered stable distributions and their associated processes. Our analysis of tempered stable distributions includes limit distributions, parameter estimation and the study of their densities. Regarding tempered…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Uwe Küchler , Stefan Tappe

Many conventional statistical procedures are extremely sensitive to seemingly minor deviations from modeling assumptions. This problem is exacerbated in modern high-dimensional settings, where the problem dimension can grow with and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-27 Simon S. Du , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Aarti Singh

Network-topology inference from (vertex) signal observations is a prominent problem across data-science and engineering disciplines. Most existing schemes assume that observations from all nodes are available, but in many practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-11 Andrei Buciulea , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques

We survey the numerical stability of some fast algorithms for solving systems of linear equations and linear least squares problems with a low displacement-rank structure. For example, the matrices involved may be Toeplitz or Hankel. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Richard P. Brent

This article introduces the class of continuous time locally stationary wavelet processes. Continuous time models enable us to properly provide scale-based time series models for irregularly-spaced observations for the first time, while…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-19 Henry Antonio Palasciano , Marina I. Knight , Guy P. Nason

Bayesian inference provides a principled way of estimating the parameters of a stochastic process that is observed discretely in time. The overdamped Brownian motion of a particle confined in an optical trap is generally modelled by the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-01 Sudipta Bera , Shuvojit Paul , Rajesh Singh , Dipanjan Ghosh , Avijit Kundu , Ayan Banerjee , R. Adhikari

A time-varying empirical spectral process indexed by classes of functions is defined for locally stationary time series. We derive weak convergence in a function space, and prove a maximal exponential inequality and a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

The robust distributed state estimation for a class of continuous-time linear time-invariant systems is achieved by a novel kernel-based distributed observer, which, for the first time, ensures fixed-time convergence properties. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-21 Pudong Ge , Peng Li , Boli Chen , Fei Teng

In many environmental applications involving spatially-referenced data, limitations on the number and locations of observations motivate the need for practical and efficient models for spatial interpolation, or kriging. A key component of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-15 Mark D. Risser , Catherine A. Calder

A number of algorithms have been developed to solve probabilistic inference problems on belief networks. These algorithms can be divided into two main groups: exact techniques which exploit the conditional independence revealed when the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-08 Ross D. Shachter , Mark Alan Peot

The paper concerns inference in the ill-conditioned functional response model, which is a part of functional data analysis. In this regression model, the functional response is modeled using several independent scalar variables. To verify…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-07 Łukasz Smaga , Natalia Stefańska

The use of covariance kernels is ubiquitous in the field of spatial statistics. Kernels allow data to be mapped into high-dimensional feature spaces and can thus extend simple linear additive methods to nonlinear methods with higher order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-16 Jean-Francois Ton , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic , Samir Bhatt

Many scientific and economic problems involve the analysis of high-dimensional time series datasets. However, theoretical studies in high-dimensional statistics to date rely primarily on the assumption of independent and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-31 Sumanta Basu , George Michailidis