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We use machine learning for designing a medium frequency trading strategy for a portfolio of 5 year and 10 year US Treasury note futures. We formulate this as a classification problem where we predict the weekly direction of movement of the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-22 Abhijit Sharang , Chetan Rao

Deep neural networks (DNNs) are powerful types of artificial neural networks (ANNs) that use several hidden layers. They have recently gained considerable attention in the speech transcription and image recognition community (Krizhevsky et…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-15 Matthew Dixon , Diego Klabjan , Jin Hoon Bang

Identifying market abuse activity from data on investors' trading activity is very challenging both for the data volume and for the low signal to noise ratio. Here we propose two complementary unsupervised machine learning methods to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-13 Piero Mazzarisi , Adele Ravagnani , Paola Deriu , Fabrizio Lillo , Francesca Medda , Antonio Russo

Motivated by the recently launched mobile data trading markets (e.g., China Mobile Hong Kong's 2nd exChange Market), in this paper we study the mobile data trading problem under the future data demand uncertainty. We introduce a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-10 Junlin Yu , Man Hon Cheung , Jianwei Huang , H. Vincent Poor

Predicting trends in stock market prices has been an area of interest for researchers for many years due to its complex and dynamic nature. Intrinsic volatility in stock market across the globe makes the task of prediction challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-03 Luckyson Khaidem , Snehanshu Saha , Sudeepa Roy Dey

This work applies reinforcement learning (RL) from the AI machine learning field to derive an optimal Bitcoin-like blockchain mining strategy without knowing the details of the blockchain network model. Previously, the most profitable…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Taotao Wang , Soung Chang Liew , Shengli Zhang

The financial market is known to be highly sensitive to news. Therefore, effectively incorporating news data into quantitative trading remains an important challenge. Existing approaches typically rely on manually designed rules and/or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-23 Qing-Yu Lan , Zhan-He Wang , Jun-Qian Jiang , Yu-Tong Wang , Yun-Song Piao

In this study, we leverage powerful non-linear machine learning methods to identify the characteristics of trades that contain valuable information. First, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our optimized neural network predictor in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-10 Tejas Ramdas , Martin T. Wells

Traditional machine learning methods have been widely studied in financial innovation. My study focuses on the application of deep learning methods on asset pricing. I investigate various deep learning methods for asset pricing, especially…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Chen Zhang

Prior work has investigated variations of prediction markets that preserve participants' (differential) privacy, which formed the basis of useful mechanisms for purchasing data for machine learning objectives. Such markets required…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Rafael Frongillo , Bo Waggoner

The Artificial Prediction Market is a recent machine learning technique for multi-class classification, inspired from the financial markets. It involves a number of trained market participants that bet on the possible outcomes and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-08-18 Nathan Lay , Adrian Barbu

This study investigates the impact of data source diversity on the performance of cryptocurrency forecasting models by integrating various data categories, including technical indicators, on-chain metrics, sentiment and interest metrics,…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-16 Giorgos Demosthenous , Chryssis Georgiou , Eliada Polydorou

Stock market forecasting is a lucrative field of interest with promising profits but not without its difficulties and for some people could be even causes of failure. Financial markets by their nature are complex, non-linear and chaotic,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Ivan Letteri , Giuseppe Della Penna , Giovanni De Gasperis , Abeer Dyoub

Algorithmic trading relies on machine learning models to make trading decisions. Despite strong in-sample performance, these models often degrade when confronted with evolving real-world market regimes, which can shift dramatically due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Haochong Xia , Simin Li , Ruixiao Xu , Zhixia Zhang , Hongxiang Wang , Zhiqian Liu , Teng Yao Long , Molei Qin , Chuqiao Zong , Bo An

This study introduces a dynamic investment framework to enhance portfolio management in volatile markets, offering clear advantages over traditional static strategies. Evaluates four conventional approaches : equal weighted, minimum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Jinhui Li , Wenjia Xie , Luis Seco

Technical trading rules have been widely used by practitioners in financial markets for a long time. The profitability remains controversial and few consider the stationarity of technical indicators used in trading rules. We convert MA, KDJ…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-17 Jing-Chao Chen , Yu Zhou , Xi Wang

Autonomous trading robots have been studied in artificial intelligence area for quite some time. Many AI techniques have been tested for building autonomous agents able to trade financial assets. These initiatives include traditional neural…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-06-30 Paulo André Lima de Castro

The popularity of cryptocurrencies has grown significantly in recent years, and they have become an important asset for internet trading. One of the main drawbacks of cryptocurrencies is the high volatility and fluctuation in value. The…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Wantall Newby , Nickuk Nishikawa

Traditional competitive markets do not account for negative externalities; indirect costs that some participants impose on others, such as the cost of over-appropriating a common-pool resource (which diminishes future stock, and thus…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Panayiotis Danassis , Aris Filos-Ratsikas , Haipeng Chen , Milind Tambe , Boi Faltings

According to The Exchange Act, 1934 unlawful insider trading is the abuse of access to privileged corporate information. While a blurred line between "routine" the "opportunistic" insider trading exists, detection of strategies that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-09 Krishna Neupane , Igor Griva