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We introduce a framework for uncertainty estimation that both describes and extends many existing methods. We consider typical hyperparameters involved in classical training as random variables and marginalise them out to capture various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-07 Francesco Farina , Lawrence Phillips , Nicola J Richmond

Generalized linear models usually assume a common dispersion parameter, an assumption that is seldom true in practice. Consequently, standard parametric methods may suffer appreciable loss of type I error control. As an alternative, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-16 Riccardo De Santis , Jelle J. Goeman , Jesse Hemerik , Samuel Davenport , Livio Finos

We consider universal inference in variance components models, focusing on settings where the parameter is near or at the boundary of the parameter set. Two cases, which are not handled by existing state-of-the-art methods, are of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-03 Yiqiao Zhang , Karl Oskar Ekvall , Aaron J. Molstad

The aim of this paper is to provide a resampling technique that allows us to make inference on superpopulation parameters in finite population setting. Under complex sampling designs, it is often difficult to obtain explicit results about…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-24 Pier Luigi Conti , Alberto Di Iorio

We introduce a new methodology to conduct simultaneous inference of the nonparametric component in partially linear time series regression models where the nonparametric part is a multivariate unknown function. In particular, we construct a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Jiaqi Li , Likai Chen , Kun Ho Kim , Tianwei Zhou

In this paper, we propose new semiparametric procedures for making inference on linear functionals and their functions of two semicontinuous populations. The distribution of each population is usually characterized by a mixture of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-21 Meng Yuan , Chunlin Wang , Boxi Lin , Pengfei Li

This article develops a framework for testing general hypothesis in high-dimensional models where the number of variables may far exceed the number of observations. Existing literature has considered less than a handful of hypotheses, such…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Yinchu Zhu , Jelena Bradic

In this paper, we are concerned with nonparametric estimation of the multivariate regression function in the presence of right censored data. More precisely, we propose a statistic that is shown to be asymptotically normally distributed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-02-08 Mohammed Debbarh , Vivian Viallon

We propose a robust inferential procedure for assessing uncertainties of parameter estimation in high-dimensional linear models, where the dimension $p$ can grow exponentially fast with the sample size $n$. Our method combines the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Tianqi Zhao , Mladen Kolar , Han Liu

In various statistical settings, the goal is to estimate a function which is restricted by the statistical model only through a conditional moment restriction. Prominent examples include the nonparametric instrumental variable framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-28 AmirEmad Ghassami , James M. Robins , Andrea Rotnitzky

Random feature methods have been successful in various machine learning tasks, are easy to compute, and come with theoretical accuracy bounds. They serve as an alternative approach to standard neural networks since they can represent…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-21 Abolfazl Hashemi , Hayden Schaeffer , Robert Shi , Ufuk Topcu , Giang Tran , Rachel Ward

Standard penalized methods of variable selection and parameter estimation rely on the magnitude of coefficient estimates to decide which variables to include in the final model. However, coefficient estimates are unreliable when the design…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Jonathan P Williams , Jan Hannig

Hypothesis testing procedures are developed to assess linear operator constraints in function-on-scalar regression when incomplete functional responses are observed. The approach enables statistical inferences about the shape and other…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Yeonjoo Park , Kyunghee Han , Douglas G. Simpson

We consider estimation of mean and covariance functions of functional snippets, which are short segments of functions possibly observed irregularly on an individual specific subinterval that is much shorter than the entire study interval.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-08 Zhenhua Lin , Jane-Ling Wang

Consider a Poisson point process with unknown support boundary curve $g$, which forms a prototype of an irregular statistical model. We address the problem of estimating non-linear functionals of the form $\int \Phi(g(x))\,dx$. Following a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

Understanding how much each variable contributes to an outcome is a central question across disciplines. A causal view of explainability is favorable for its ability in uncovering underlying mechanisms and generalizing to new contexts.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-09 Weihan Zhang , Zijun Gao

We give a finite-sample analysis of predictive inference procedures after model selection in regression with random design. The analysis is focused on a statistically challenging scenario where the number of potentially important…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Hannes Leeb

Regression analyses based on transformations of cumulative incidence functions are often adopted when modeling and testing for treatment effects in clinical trial settings involving competing and semi-competing risks. Common frameworks…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-11 Alexandra Bühler , Richard J Cook , Jerald F Lawless

Hypothesis tests in models whose dimension far exceeds the sample size can be formulated much like the classical studentized tests only after the initial bias of estimation is removed successfully. The theory of debiased estimators can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-22 Jelena Bradic , Mladen Kolar

We develop tests of the hypothesis of no effect for selected predictors in regression, without assuming a model for the conditional distribution of the response given the predictors. Predictor effects need not be limited to the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. Dennis Cook