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In this paper we develop a novel method of combining many forecasts based on a machine learning algorithm called Graphical LASSO (GL). We visualize forecast errors from different forecasters as a network of interacting entities and…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-28 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

A major limitation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is that they recover associational, rather than causal, predictive relationships between variables. In high-stakes automation applications of ML this is problematic, as the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jianqiao Mao , Max A. Little

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are a widely used framework for network data, enabling hypothesis testing on the structural mechanisms underlying observed networks. Bayesian ERGMs provide principled uncertainty quantification and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Alberto Caimo , Isabella Gollini

Quantitative analysis of large-scale data is often complicated by the presence of diverse subgroups, which reduce the accuracy of inferences they make on held-out data. To address the challenge of heterogeneous data analysis, we introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-01 Nazanin Alipourfard , Keith Burghardt , Kristina Lerman

Graph generation is a crucial task in many fields, including network science and bioinformatics, as it enables the creation of synthetic graphs that mimic the properties of real-world networks for various applications. Graph Generative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Salvatore Romano , Marco Grassia , Giuseppe Mangioni

We consider the problem of estimating differences in two Gaussian graphical models (GGMs) which are known to have similar structure. The GGM structure is encoded in its precision (inverse covariance) matrix. In many applications one is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-19 Jitendra K Tugnait

We consider to learn a causal ordering of variables in a linear non-Gaussian acyclic model called LiNGAM. Several existing methods have been shown to consistently estimate a causal ordering assuming that all the model assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-04-10 Tatsuya Tashiro , Shohei Shimizu , Aapo Hyvarinen , Takashi Washio

A longstanding problem in machine learning is to find unsupervised methods that can learn the statistical structure of high dimensional signals. In recent years, GANs have gained much attention as a possible solution to the problem, and in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Eitan Richardson , Yair Weiss

Forecasters often use common information and hence make common mistakes. We propose a new approach, Factor Graphical Model (FGM), to forecast combinations that separates idiosyncratic forecast errors from the common errors. FGM exploits the…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-05-19 Tae-Hwy Lee , Ekaterina Seregina

In learned image compression, probabilistic models play an essential role in characterizing the distribution of latent variables. The Gaussian model with mean and scale parameters has been widely used for its simplicity and effectiveness.…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-24 Haotian Zhang , Li Li , Dong Liu

Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) have been shown to produce realistically looking synthetic images with remarkable success, yet their performance seems less impressive when the training set is highly diverse. In order to provide a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-31 Matan Ben-Yosef , Daphna Weinshall

Clinical patient records are an example of high-dimensional data that is typically collected from disparate sources and comprises of multiple likelihoods with noisy as well as missing values. In this work, we propose an unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 Siddharth Ramchandran , Miika Koskinen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Graphical modeling explores dependences among a collection of variables by inferring a graph that encodes pairwise conditional independences. For jointly Gaussian variables, this translates into detecting the support of the precision…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-16 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa , Mathias Drton

Gaussian graphical models are used for determining conditional relationships between variables. This is accomplished by identifying off-diagonal elements in the inverse-covariance matrix that are non-zero. When the ratio of variables (p) to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-07 Donald R. Williams , Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari , Philippe Rast

Graph contrastive learning (GCL) has emerged as an effective tool for learning unsupervised representations of graphs. The key idea is to maximize the agreement between two augmented views of each graph via data augmentation. Existing GCL…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Xin Zhang , Qiaoyu Tan , Xiao Huang , Bo Li

Finding the parameters of a latent variable causal model is central to causal inference and causal identification. In this article, we show that existing graphical structures that are used in causal inference are not stable under…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Mehrzad Saremi

Graph data is becoming increasingly prevalent due to the growing demand for relational insights in AI across various domains. Organizations regularly use graph data to solve complex problems involving relationships and connections. Causal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Simi Job , Xiaohui Tao , Taotao Cai , Haoran Xie , Jianming Yong , Xin Wang

Ordinary differential equation (ODE)-based diffusion models enable deterministic image synthesis, establishing a reversible mapping suitable for generative steganography. While prevailing methods strictly adhere to a standard normal prior,…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yuhua Xu , Wei Sun , Chengpei Tang , Jiaxing Lu , Jingying Zhou , Chen Gu

A graphical model is a statistical model that is associated to a graph whose nodes correspond to variables of interest. The edges of the graph reflect allowed conditional dependencies among the variables. Graphical models admit…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-09 Mathias Drton , Marloes H. Maathuis

Latent tree graphical models are widely used in computational biology, signal and image processing, and network tomography. Here we design a new efficient, estimation procedure for latent tree models, including Gaussian and discrete,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-23 Elchanan Mossel , Sebastien Roch , Allan Sly