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Probabilistic vehicle trajectory prediction is essential for robust safety of autonomous driving. Current methods for long-term trajectory prediction cannot guarantee the physical feasibility of predicted distribution. Moreover, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-13 Chen Tang , Jianyu Chen , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Controller tuning and parameter optimization are crucial in system design to improve closed-loop system performance. Bayesian optimization has been established as an efficient model-free controller tuning and adaptation method. However,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-24 Christopher König , Raamadaas Krishnadas , Efe C. Balta , Alisa Rupenyan

In this work the robustness of a feedback optimization scheme is discussed. Previously known results in literature, on the convergence to local optima of the optimization problem of interest, are extended to the case where the sensitivities…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-01 Mirko Pasquini , Kévin Colin , Véronique Chotteau , Håkan Hjalmarsson

High-dimensional variable selection, with many more covariates than observations, is widely documented in standard regression models, but there are still few tools to address it in non-linear mixed-effects models where data are collected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Marion Naveau , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Renaud Rincent , Laure Sansonnet , Maud Delattre

This paper is concerned with the numerical solution of model-based, Bayesian inverse problems. We are particularly interested in cases where the cost of each likelihood evaluation (forward-model call) is expensive and the number of un-…

Computation · Statistics 2016-07-25 Isabell M. Franck , P. S. Koutsourelakis

Bayesian experimental design (BED) aims at designing an experiment to maximize the information gathering from the collected data. The optimal design is usually achieved by maximizing the mutual information (MI) between the data and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jiaxin Zhang , Sirui Bi , Guannan Zhang

There is an abundance of complex dynamic systems that are critical to our daily lives and our society but that are hardly understood, and even with today's possibilities to sense and collect large amounts of experimental data, they are so…

Infectious disease dynamics operate across multiple biological scales, with within-host viral dynamics being a key driver of between-host transmission. However, while models that explicitly link these scales exist, none have been developed…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-23 Dylan J. Morris , Lauren Kennedy , Andrew J. Black

Dynamical systems models for controlling multi-agent swarms have demonstrated advances toward resilient, decentralized navigation algorithms. We previously introduced the NeuroSwarms controller, in which agent-based interactions were…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Armin Hadzic , Grace M. Hwang , Kechen Zhang , Kevin M. Schultz , Joseph D. Monaco

Recent technological advances have expanded the availability of high-throughput biological datasets, enabling the reliable design of digital twins of biomedical systems or patients. Such computational tools represent key reaction networks…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Clémence Métayer , Annabelle Ballesta , Julien Martinelli

Efficiently tackling multiple tasks within complex environment, such as those found in robot manipulation, remains an ongoing challenge in robotics and an opportunity for data-driven solutions, such as reinforcement learning (RL).…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Carlos Plou , Ana C. Murillo , Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Process mining is a technique that performs an automatic analysis of business processes from a log of events with the promise of understanding how processes are executed in an organisation. Several models have been proposed to address this…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-03-26 Catarina Moreira

We study systems of interacting reinforced stochastic processes, where agents' decisions evolve under reinforcement, network-mediated interactions, and environmental influences. In competitive environments with irreducible networks, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Michele Aleandri , Paolo Dai Pra , Ida Germana Minelli

Bacteria often develop distinct phenotypes to adapt to environmental stress. In particular, they can produce biofilms, dense communities of bacteria that live in a complex extracellular matrix. Bacterial biofilms provide a safe haven from…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-08-29 Stephen Williams , Daravuth Cheam , Michele K. Nishiguchi , Suzanne S. Sindi , Shilpa Khatri , Erica M. Rutter

Bayesian optimization (BO) is increasingly employed in critical applications such as materials design and drug discovery. An increasingly popular strategy in BO is to forgo the sole reliance on high-fidelity data and instead use an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Mehdi Shishehbor , Amin Yousefpour , Ramin Bostanabad

Background: Bayesian Networks (BNs) are probabilistic graphical models that leverage Bayes' theorem to portray dependencies and cause-and-effect relationships between variables. These networks have gained prominence in the field of health…

Reinforcement learning suffers from limitations in real practices primarily due to the number of required interactions with virtual environments. It results in a challenging problem because we are implausible to obtain a local optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Qizhen Wu , Kexin Liu , Lei Chen

Model-based sequential approaches to discrete "black-box" optimization, including Bayesian optimization techniques, often access the same points multiple times for a given objective function in interest, resulting in many steps to find the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Keisuke Morita , Yoshihiko Nishikawa , Masayuki Ohzeki

1. In Bayesian Network Regression models, networks are considered the predictors of continuous responses. These models have been successfully used in brain research to identify regions in the brain that are associated with specific human…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-23 Samuel Ozminkowski , Claudia Solis-Lemus

Modelling epidemics via classical population-based models suffers from shortcomings that so-called individual-based models are able to overcome, as they are able to take heterogeneity features into account, such as super-spreaders, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-16 C. Courtès , E. Franck , K. Lutz , L. Navoret , Y. Privat