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Bayesian inference and the use of posterior or posterior predictive probabilities for decision making have become increasingly popular in clinical trials. The current practice in Bayesian clinical trials relies on a hybrid…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Shirin Golchi , James Willard

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

We develop new tools for formal inference and informal model validation in the analysis of spatial point pattern data. The score test is generalized to a "pseudo-score" test derived from Besag's pseudo-likelihood, and to a class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-18 Adrian Baddeley , Ege Rubak , Jesper Møller

This paper considers the problem of estimating the cumulative distribution function and probability density function of a random variable using data quantized by uniform and non-uniform quantizers. A simple estimator is proposed based on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-05-03 Paolo Carbone , Johan Schoukens , István Kollár , Antonio Moschitta

Score diffusion methods can learn probability densities from samples. The score of the noise-corrupted density is estimated using a deep neural network, which is then used to iteratively transport a Gaussian white noise density to a target…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Zahra Kadkhodaie , Stéphane Mallat , Eero P. Simoncelli

We consider stationary configurations of points in Euclidean space which are marked by positive random variables called scores. The scores are allowed to depend on the relative positions of other points and outside sources of randomness.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Bojan Basrak , Ilya Molchanov , Hrvoje Planinić

We introduce a multistable subordinator, which generalizes the stable subordinator to the case of time-varying stability index. This enables us to define a multifractional Poisson process. We study properties of these processes and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Ilya Molchanov , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

We study the distributional behavior of additive arithmetic functions evaluated at integers drawn from the harmonic distribution. Our main result shows that a broad family of such functions converges in law to conditioned Dickman-type…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Victor Bernal Ramirez , Arturo Jaramillo

The authors consider stochastic aspects of the stabilization problem for two and three-dimensional Oseen equations with help of feedback control defined on a part of the fluid boundary. Stochastic issues arise when inevitable unpredictable…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , Andrei V. Fursikov

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

We construct a pathwise calculus for functionals of integer-valued measures and use it to derive an martingale representation formula with respect to a large class of integer-valued random measures. Using these results, we extend the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Pierre M. Blacque-Florentin , Rama Cont

In this paper, we study a smoothness regularization method for a varying coefficient model based on sparse and irregularly sampled functional data which is contaminated with some measurement errors. We estimate the one-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-28 Behdad Mostafaiy

In this paper we examine quantile-stratified samples from a known univariate probability distribution, with stratification occurring over a partition of the quantile regions in the distribution. We examine some general properties of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ben O'Neill

In this paper, a Bayesian method for piecewise regression is adapted to handle counting processes data distributed as Poisson. A numerical code in Mathematica is developed and tested analyzing simulated data. The resulting method is…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-02-21 Diego Sevilla

In a common experimental setting, the behaviour of a noisy dynamical system is monitored in response to manipulations of one or more control parameters. Here, we introduce a structured model to describe parametric changes in qualitative…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-07-05 Gergo Bohner , Maneesh Sahani

We apply Bayesian statistics to the estimation of correlation functions. We give the probability distributions of auto- and cross-correlations as functions of the data. Our procedure uses the measured data optimally and informs about the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-27 Angel Gutierrez-Rubio , Juan S. Rojas-Arias , Jun Yoneda , Seigo Tarucha , Daniel Loss , Peter Stano

We present a semiclassical approach to eigenfunction statistics in chaotic and weakly disordered quantum systems which goes beyond Random Matrix Theory, supersymmetry techniques, and existing semiclassical methods. The approach is based on…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 Juan Diego Urbina , Klaus Richter

The purpose of the present paper is to establish explicit bounds on moderate deviation probabilities for a rather general class of geometric functionals enjoying the stabilization property, under Poisson input and the assumption of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Peter Eichelsbacher , Martin Raic , Tomasz Schreiber

Discrete stability extends the classical notion of stability to random elements in discrete spaces by defining a scaling operation in a randomised way: an integer is transformed into the corresponding binomial distribution. Similarly…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-10 Youri Davydov , Ilya Molchanov , Sergei Zuyev

This paper investigates the consistency of a posterior distribution in the single-measurement fractional Calder\'on problem with additive Gaussian noise. We consider a Bayesian framework with rescaled and Gaussian sieve priors, using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-17 Pu-Zhao Kow , Janne Nurminen , Jesse Railo