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During the COVID-19 pandemic, safely implementing in-person indoor instruction was a high priority for universities nationwide. To support this effort at the University, we developed a mathematical model for estimating the risk of…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Brian Liu , Yujia Zhang , Shane G. Henderson , David B. Shmoys , Peter I. Frazier

We develop an agent-based model on a network meant to capture features unique to COVID-19 spread through a small residential college. We find that a safe reopening requires strong policy from administrators combined with cautious behavior…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-15 Riti Bahl , Nicole Eikmeier , Alexandra Fraser , Matthew Junge , Felicia Keesing , Kukai Nakahata , Lily Z. Wang

Residential colleges and universities face unique challenges in providing in-person instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Administrators are currently faced with decisions about whether to open during the pandemic and what modifications…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-22 Philip T. Gressman , Jennifer R. Peck

Reopening strategies are crucial to balance efforts of economic revitalization and bringing back a sense of normalcy while mitigating outbreaks and effectively flattening the infection curve. This paper proposes practical reopening,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-13 Fatimah Abdul Razak , Paul Expert

Returning universities to full on-campus operations while the COVID-19 pandemic is ongoing has been a controversial discussion in many countries. The risk of large outbreaks in dense course settings is contrasted by the benefits of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-20 Jana Lasser , Timotheus Hell , David Garcia

We present two models for the COVID-19 pandemic predicting the impact of universal face mask wearing upon the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus--one employing a stochastic dynamic network based compartmental SEIR…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-29 De Kai , Guy-Philippe Goldstein , Alexey Morgunov , Vishal Nangalia , Anna Rotkirch

Airborne transmission is now believed to be the primary way that COVID-19 spreads. We study the airborne transmission risk associated with holding in-person classes on university campuses. We utilize a model for airborne transmission risk…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-13 Arvin Hekmati , Mitul Luhar , Bhaskar Krishnamachari , Maja Matarić

In this paper, we present a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model with individuals wearing facial masks and individuals who do not. The disease transmission rates, the recovering rates and the fraction of individuals who wear masks are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-06-01 Duan-Shin Lee , Miao Zhu

By the peak of COVID-19 restrictions on April 8, 2020, up to 1.5 billion students across 188 countries were by the suspension of physical attendance in schools. Schools were among the first services to reopen as vaccination campaigns…

Restarting public buildings activities in the "second phase" of COVID-19 emergency should be supported by operational measures to avoid a second virus spreading. Buildings hosting the continuous presence of the same users and significant…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-16 Marco D'Orazio , Gabriele Bernardini , Enrico Quagliarini

Since the end of 2019, COVID-19 has significantly affected the lives of people around the world. Towards the end of 2020, several COVID-19 vaccine candidates with relatively high efficacy have been reported in the final phase of clinical…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-20 W. K. Wong , Filbert H. Juwono , Tock H. Chua

Mass vaccination offers a promising exit strategy for the COVID-19 pandemic. However, as vaccination progresses, demands to lift restrictions increase, despite most of the population remaining susceptible. Using our age-stratified SEIRD-ICU…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Simon Bauer , Sebastian Contreras , Jonas Dehning , Matthias Linden , Emil Iftekhar , Sebastian B. Mohr , Álvaro Olivera-Nappa , Viola Priesemann

More than one billion students are out of school because of Covid-19, forced to a remote learning that has several drawbacks and has been hurriedly arranged; in addition, most countries are currently uncertain on how to plan school…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-28 Alberto Gandolfi

The COVID-19 pandemic has influenced the lives of people globally. In the past year many researchers have proposed different models and approaches to explore in what ways the spread of the disease could be mitigated. One of the models that…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-17 Aram Ansary Ogholbake , Hana Khamfroush

Now that SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) vaccines are developed, it is very important to plan its distribution strategy. In this paper, we formulated a multi-objective linear programming model to optimize vaccine distribution and applied it to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-28 Jose Marie Antonio Minoza , Vena Pearl Bongolan , Joshua Frankie Rayo

This study assesses the impact of COVID-19 vaccines through an epidemiological model that quantifies their role in pandemic control. We analyze an SIR-based model incorporating vaccination effects and calculate the basic reproduction…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Tesfalem Abate Tegegn , Yibeltal Adane Terefe

The potential waning of the vaccination immunity to COVID-19 could pose threats to public health, as it is tenable that the timing of such waning would synchronize with the near-complete restoration of normalcy. Should also testing be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-28 Agnieszka Truszkowska , Lorenzo Zino , Sachit Butail , Emanuele Caroppo , Zhong-Ping Jiang , Alessandro Rizzo , Maurizio Porfiri

In this paper, we propose a two-group SIR epidemic model to simulate the outcome of stay-at-home policy and wearing face masks during the first COVID-19 epidemic wave in the United States. Based on our proposed model, we further use the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-11 Jun Liu , Xiang-Sheng Wang

Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), due to its extremely high infectivity, has been spreading rapidly around the world and bringing huge influence to socioeconomic development as well as people's daily life. Taking for example the virus…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Pei Lv , Quan Zhang , Boya Xu , Ran Feng , Chaochao Li , Junxiao Xue , Bing Zhou , Mingliang Xu

Students develop and test simple models of the spread of COVID-19. Microsoft Excel is used as the modeling platform because it's non-threatening to students and because it's widely available. Students develop finite difference models and…

Physics Education · Physics 2021-12-14 Peter Hugo Nelson
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