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Related papers: Uncertainty Analysis for Drift-Diffusion Equations

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We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

Reaction-diffusion equations are widely used as the governing evolution equations for modeling many physical, chemical, and biological processes. Here we derive reaction-diffusion equations to model transport with reactions on a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-09-16 E. Abad , C. N. Angstmann , B. I. Henry , A. V. McGann , F. Le Vot , S. B. Yuste

Verification solutions for uncertainty quantification are presented for time dependent transport problems where $c$, the scattering ratio, is uncertain. The method of polynomial chaos expansions is employed for quick and accurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-19 William Bennett , Ryan G. McClarren

The notion of drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time. Albeit many attempts were made to deal with drift, formal notions of drift are application-dependent and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Fabian Hinder , André Artelt , Barbara Hammer

Ambiguity sets of probability distributions are used to hedge against uncertainty about the true probabilities of random quantities of interest (QoIs). When available, these ambiguity sets are constructed from both data (collected at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-17 Francesca Boso , Dimitris Boskos , Jorge Cortés , Sonia Martínez , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

Uncertainty quantification for complex deep learning models is increasingly important as these techniques see growing use in high-stakes, real-world settings. Currently, the quality of a model's uncertainty is evaluated using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Benjamin Kompa , Jasper Snoek , Andrew Beam

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

Data-driven model identification strategies can be used to obtain phenomenological models that capture the temporal evolution of observable data. While it is usually straightforward to obtain such a model from time series data, for instance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Mohamed Akrout , Dan Wilson

We develop a practical method of computing the stationary drift velocity V and the diffusion coefficient D of a particle (or a few particles) in a periodic system with arbitrary transition rates. We solve this problem both in a physically…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Zbigniew Koza

Due to lack of scientific understanding, some mechanisms may be missing in mathematical modeling of complex phenomena in science and engineering. These mathematical models thus contain some uncertainties such as uncertain parameters. One…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-05 Jinqiao Duan , Ting Gao , Guowei He

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameters of a stochastic differential equation, with both drift and diffusion coefficients constant on the positive and negative axis, yet discontinuous at zero. This threshold…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-22 Antoine Lejay , Paolo Pigato

Stochastic evolution equations with compensated Poisson noise are considered in the variational approach with monotone and coercive coefficients. Here the Poisson noise is assumed to be time-homogeneous with $\sigma$-finite intensity…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Sima Mehri , Erfan Salavati , Bijan Z. Zangeneh

The scaling invariance for chaotic orbits near a transition from unlimited to limited diffusion in a dissipative standard mapping is explained via the analytical solution of the diffusion equation. It gives the probability of observing a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-12-02 Edson D. Leonel , Celia Mayumi Kuwana , Makoto Yoshida , Juliano Antonio de Oliveira

Diffusion models are a class of probabilistic generative models that have been widely used as a prior for image processing tasks like text conditional generation and inpainting. We demonstrate that these models can be adapted to make…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Marc Finzi , Anudhyan Boral , Andrew Gordon Wilson , Fei Sha , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez

Many existing approaches for estimating parameters in settings with distributional shifts operate under an invariance assumption. For example, under covariate shift, it is assumed that $p(y|x)$ remains invariant. We refer to such…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-07 Yujin Jeong , Dominik Rothenhäusler

The problem of reconstructing the drift of a diffusion in $\erre^d$, $d\geq 2$, from the transition probability density observed outside a domain is considered. The solution of this problem also solves a new inverse problem for a class of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Sergio Albeverio , Carlo Marinelli

The global estimation problem of the drift function is considered for a large class of ergodic diffusion processes. The unknown drift $S(\cdot)$ is supposed to belong to a nonparametric class of smooth functions of order $k\geq1$, but the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Arnak Dalalyan

We consider the problem of statistical inference for the effective dynamics of multiscale diffusion processes with (at least) two widely separated characteristic time scales. More precisely, we seek to determine parameters in the effective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-30 Sebastian Krumscheid , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Serafim Kalliadasis

We consider the distribution of the duration time, the time elapsed since it began, of a diffusion process given its present position, under the assumption that the process began at the origin. For unbiased diffusion, the distribution does…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-11-28 Hernán Larralde

This paper is concerned with the uniqueness, existence, comparison principle and long-time behavior of solutions to the initial-boundary value problem for a unidirectional diffusion equation. The unidirectional evolution often appears in…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-01-07 Goro Akagi , Masato Kimura