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Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

We derive the probability that a randomly chosen NL-node over $S$ gets localized as a function of a variety of parameters. Then, we derive the probability that the whole network of NL-nodes over $S$ gets localized. In connection with the…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2011-11-10 Fred Daneshgaran , Massimiliano Laddomada , Marina Mondin

This paper studies constrained Markov decision processes (CMDPs) with constraints against stochastic thresholds, aiming at safety of reinforcement learning in unknown and uncertain environments. We leverage a Growing-Window estimator…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Qian Zuo , Fengxiang He

We introduce a new generalization of the Pseudo-Lindley distribution by applying alpha power transformation. The obtained distribution is referred as the Pseudo-Lindley alpha power transformed distribution (\textit{PL-APT}). Some tractable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Modou Ngom , Moumouni Diallo , Adja Mbarka Fall , Gane Samb Lo

This paper discusses a class of thresholding-based iterative selection procedures (TISP) for model selection and shrinkage. People have long before noticed the weakness of the convex $l_1$-constraint (or the soft-thresholding) in wavelets…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-29 Yiyuan She

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

We discuss the use of likelihood asymptotics for inference on risk measures in univariate extreme value problems, focusing on estimation of high quantiles and similar summaries of risk for uncertainty quantification. We study whether…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-28 Léo R. Belzile , Anthony C. Davison

In this article, we investigate Maximum Likelihood Estimation with tools from Tropical Geometry and Bernstein--Sato theory. We investigate the critical points of very affine varieties and study their asymptotic behavior. We relate these…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2022-03-04 Anna-Laura Sattelberger , Robin van der Veer

The Multi-voltage Threshold (MVT) method, which samples the signal by certain reference voltages, has been well developed as being adopted in pre-clinical and clinical digital positron emission tomography(PET) system. To improve its energy…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-10 Kezhang Zhu , Junhua Mei , Yuming Su , Pingping Dai , Nicola D'Ascenzo , Hao Wang , Peng Xiao , Lin Wan , Qingguo Xie

This paper explores a class of empirical Bayes methods for level-dependent threshold selection in wavelet shrinkage. The prior considered for each wavelet coefficient is a mixture of an atom of probability at zero and a heavy-tailed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Iain M. Johnstone , Bernard W. Silverman

Often, it is required to estimate the probability that a quantity such as toxicity level, plutonium, temperature, rainfall, damage, wind speed, wave size, earthquake magnitude, risk, etc., exceeds an unsafe high threshold. The probability…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-24 Benjamin Kedem , Lemeng Pan , Paul Smith , Chen Wang

To consider a high-dimensional random process, we propose a notion about stochastic tensor-valued random process (TRP). In this work, we first attempt to apply a generic chaining method to derive tail bounds for all p-th moments of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-02 Shih-Yu Chang

Regular variation is often used as the starting point for modeling multivariate heavy-tailed data. A random vector is regularly varying if and only if its radial part $R$ is regularly varying and is asymptotically independent of the angular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-28 Phyllis Wan , Richard A. Davis

Higher criticism is a large-scale testing procedure that can attain the optimal detection boundary for sparse and faint signals. However, there has been a lack of knowledge in most existing works about its asymptotic distribution for more…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Jingkun Qiu

In extreme value theory and other related risk analysis fields, probability weighted moments (PWM) have been frequently used to estimate the parameters of classical extreme value distributions. This method-of-moment technique can be applied…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Anna Ben-Hamou , Philippe Naveau , Maud Thomas

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

\cite{HillMotegi2017} present a new general asymptotic theory for the maximum of a random array $\{\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ $:$ $1$ $\leq $ $i$ $\leq $ $\mathcal{L}\}_{n\geq 1}$, where each $\mathcal{X}_{n}(i)$ is assumed to converge in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-27 Jonathan B. Hill

We consider a continuous time process that is self-exciting and ergodic, called threshold Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) process. This process is a generalization of various models in econometrics, such as Vasicek model,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Sara Mazzonetto , Benoît Nieto

We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a compound Poisson process from the discrete observation of one trajectory over $[0,T]$. We consider the microscopic regime when the sampling rate $\Delta=\Delta_T\rightarrow0$ as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Céline Duval

In this paper, we provide finite sample results to assess the consistency of Generalized Pareto regression trees, as tools to perform extreme value regression. The results that we provide are obtained from concentration inequalities, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-12-21 Sébastien Farkas , Antoine Heranval , Olivier Lopez , Maud Thomas