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Related papers: Modelling railway delay propagation as diffusion-l…

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Railway systems provide pivotal support to modern societies, making their efficiency and robustness important to ensure. However, these systems are susceptible to disruptions and delays, leading to accumulating economic damage. The large…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-28 Mark M. Dekker

Railways are a key infrastructure for any modern country. The reliability and resilience of this peculiar transportation system may be challenged by different shocks such as disruptions, strikes and adverse weather conditions. These events…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-09-19 Bernardo Monechi , Pietro Gravino , Riccardo di Clemente , Vito D. P. Servedio

Train delays are a persistent issue in railway systems, particularly in suburban networks where operational complexity is heightened by frequent services and high passenger volumes. Traditional delay models often overlook the temporal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-08 Stefania Colombo , Alfredo Gimenez Zapiola , Francesca Ieva , Simone Vantini

In public railway systems, minor disruptions can trigger cascading events that lead to delays in the entire system. Typically, delays originate and propagate because the equipment is blocking ways, operational units are unavailable, or at…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-24 Simone Daniotti , Vito D. P. Servedio , Johannes Kager , Aad Robben-Baldauf , Stefan Thurner

Reliability plays a key role in the experience of a rail traveler. The reliability of journeys involving transfers is affected by the reliability of the transfers and the consequences of missing a transfer, as well as the possible delay of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-25 Nikolaus Stratil-Sauer , Nils Breyer

Within the endeavour of modelling and understanding the propagation of delays in transportation networks, an approach that has attracted increasing interest in the last decade is the creation of functional network representations. These…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-10-08 Carlson Moses Büth , Massimiliano Zanin

Robust travel time predictions are of prime importance in managing any transportation infrastructure, and particularly in rail networks where they have major impacts both on traffic regulation and passenger satisfaction. We aim at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Farid Arthaud , Guillaume Lecoeur , Alban Pierre

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

Reliable prediction of train delays is essential for enhancing the robustness and efficiency of railway transportation systems. In this work, we reframe delay forecasting as a stochastic simulation task, modeling state-transition dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Clément Elliker , Jesse Read , Sonia Vanier , Albert Bifet

The Dutch railway network is one of the busiest in the world, with delays being a prominent concern for the principal passenger railway operator NS. This research addresses a gap in delay prediction studies within the Dutch railway network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-17 Merel Kampere , Ali Mohammed Mansoor Alsahag

India runs the fourth largest railway transport network size carrying over 8 billion passengers per year. However, the travel experience of passengers is frequently marked by delays, i.e., late arrival of trains at stations, causing…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-11 Ramashish Gaurav , Biplav Srivastava

We demonstrate that the distribution of train delays on the British railway network is accurately described by q-exponential functions. We explain this by constructing an underlying superstatistical model.

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-26 Keith Briggs , Christian Beck

Technologically driven transport systems are characterized by a networked structure connecting operation centers and by a dynamics ruled by pre-established schedules. Schedules impose serious constraints on the timing of the operations,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-01-30 Pablo Fleurquin , Jose J. Ramasco , Victor M. Eguiluz

Diffusion processes have been widely used for approximations in the queueing theory. There are different types of diffusion approximations. Among them, we are interested in those obtained through limits of a sequence of models which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Masakiyo Miyazawa

Computer network tends to be subjected to the proliferation of mobile demands and increasingly multifarious, therefore it poses a great challenge to guarantee the quality of network service. By designing the model according to different…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Yue Hong Gao , Xiao Hong , Hao Tian Yang , Lu Chen , Xiao Nan Zhang

Predicting the near-future delay with accuracy for trains is momentous for railway operations and passengers' traveling experience. This work aims to design prediction models for train delays based on Netherlands Railway data. We first…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-24 Jin Xu , Weiqi Wang , Zheming Gao , Haochen Luo , Qian Wu

Human mobility patterns are complex and distinct from one person to another. Nevertheless, motivated by tremendous potential benefits of modeling such patterns in enabling new mobile services and technologies, researchers have attempted to…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2013-07-09 Seyed Kaveh Fayazbakhsh

The analysis of the dynamics of delays propagation is one of the major topics inside Air Transport Management research. Delays are generated by the elements of the system, but their propagation is a global process fostered by relationships…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-11-03 Seddik Belkoura , Massimiliano Zanin

Improving traffic management in case of perturbation is one of the main challenges in today's railway research. The great majority of the existing literature proposes approaches to make centralized decisions to minimize delay propagation.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Federico Naldini , Fabio Oddi , Leo D'Amato , Grégory Marlière , Vito Trianni , Paola Pellegrini

To ensure the effective and objective development of transportation networks, it is crucial to identify performance limitations across various subsystems. A timetable-independent assessment of infrastructure capacity at railway junctions is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Tamme Emunds , Nils Nießen
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