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We consider chemical reaction networks modeled by a discrete state and continuous in time Markov process for the vector copy number of the species and provide a novel particle filter method for state and parameter estimation based on exact…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-24 Muruhan Rathinam , Mingkai Yu

We present new algorithms and fast implementations to find efficient approximations for modelling stochastic processes. For many numerical computations it is essential to develop finite approximations for stochastic processes. While the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-03 Kipngeno Benard Kirui , Georg Ch. Pflug , Alois Pichler

In the field of Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS), the accurate modeling of ship maneuvering motion for harbor maneuvers is a crucial technology. Non-parametric system identification (SI) methods, which do not require prior knowledge…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-03 Kouki Wakita , Youhei Akimoto , Atsuo Maki

The large deviations properties of trajectory observables for chaotic non-invertible deterministic maps as studied recently by N. R. Smith, Phys. Rev. E 106, L042202 (2022) and by R. Gutierrez, A. Canella-Ortiz, C. Perez-Espigares,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-30 Cecile Monthus

Sailboat path-planning is a natural hybrid control problem (due to continuous steering and occasional "tack-switching" maneuvers), with the actual path-to-target greatly affected by stochastically evolving wind conditions. Previous studies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 MingYi Wang , Natasha Patnaik , Anne Somalwar , Jingyi Wu , Alexander Vladimirsky

Macroscopic traffic flow is stochastic, but the physics-informed deep learning methods currently used in transportation literature embed deterministic PDEs and produce point-valued outputs; the stochasticity of the governing dynamics plays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-11 Wuping Xin

We present a field theory for the statistics of charge and current fluctuations in diffusive systems. The cumulant generating function is given by the saddle-point solution for the action of this field theory. The action depends on two…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Eugene V. Sukhorukov , Andrew N. Jordan , Sebastian Pilgram

In a recent article, Krapivsky and Redner (J. Stat. Mech. 093208 (2018)) established that the distribution of the first hitting times for a diffusing particle subject to hitting an absorber is independent of the direction of the external…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Coline Larmier , Alain Mazzolo , Andrea Zoia

In this work we provide a computationally tractable procedure for designing affine control policies, applied to constrained, discrete-time, partially observable, linear systems subject to set bounded disturbances, stochastic noise and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Georgios Kotsalis , Guanghui Lan

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

Computer simulations generate trajectories at a single, well-defined thermodynamic state point. Statistical reweighting offers the means to reweight static and dynamical properties to different equilibrium state points by means of analytic…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-12-25 Marius Bause , Timon Wittenstein , Kurt Kremer , Tristan Bereau

This paper presents an algorithm to apply nonlinear control design approaches in the case of stochastic systems with partial state observation. Deterministic nonlinear control approaches are formulated under the assumption of full state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-19 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Mohammad Alsuwaidan , Ahmed Atallah , Sylvia Herbert

The probabilistic description of the time evolution of a physical system can take two conceptually distinct forms: a trajectory of probabilities, which specifies how probabilities evolve over time, and a probability on trajectories, which…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-03-02 Győző Egri , Marton Gomori , Balazs Gyenis , Gábor Hofer-Szabó

Stochastic optimal control of dynamical systems is a crucial challenge in sequential decision-making. Recently, control-as-inference approaches have had considerable success, providing a viable risk-sensitive framework to address the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Hany Abdulsamad , Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä

We propose a semiclassical framework for solving open quantum dynamics in driven-dissipative spin systems. Our method consists of generalized spin-wave approximations tailored to describing quantum trajectories unravelled from the master…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-24 Zejian Li , Anna Delmonte , Rosario Fazio

A novel class of non-reversible Markov chain Monte Carlo schemes relying on continuous-time piecewise-deterministic Markov Processes has recently emerged. In these algorithms, the state of the Markov process evolves according to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-16 Paul Vanetti , Alexandre Bouchard-Côté , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (SSST) provides an autonomous, deterministic, nonlinear dynamical system for evolving the statistical mean state of a turbulent system. In this work SSST is applied to the problem of understanding the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-12-30 Brian F. Farrell , Petros J. Ioannou

Stochastic systems often exhibit multiple viable metastable states that are long-lived. Over very long timescales, fluctuations may push the system to transition between them, drastically changing its macroscopic configuration. In realistic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-04-14 Tobias Grafke , Alessandro Laio

We propose a (seemingly) new computationally tractable model for multi-stage decision making under stochastic uncertainty.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Arkadi Nemirovski

We propose a new procedure to monitor and forecast the onset of transitions in high dimensional complex systems. We describe our procedure by an application to the Tangled Nature model of evolutionary ecology. The quasi-stable…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2014-12-31 Andrea Cairoli , Duccio Piovani , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen