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This paper introduces a multi-timescale stochastic programming framework designed to address decision-making challenges in power systems, particularly those with high renewable energy penetration. The framework models interactions across…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Yihang Zhang , Suvrajeet Sen

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

We study the problem of predicting rare critical transition events for a class of slow-fast nonlinear dynamical systems. The state of the system of interest is described by a slow process, whereas a faster process drives its evolution and…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-12-14 Soon Hoe Lim , Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Woosok Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez

A decade ago, Abdulla, Ben Henda and Mayr introduced the elegant concept of decisiveness for denumerable Markov chains [1]. Roughly speaking, decisiveness allows one to lift most good properties from finite Markov chains to denumerable…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-05 Nathalie Bertrand , Patricia Bouyer , Thomas Brihaye , Pierre Carlier

Time-irreversible stochastic processes are frequently used in natural sciences to explain non-equilibrium phenomena and to design efficient stochastic algorithms. Our main goal in this thesis is to analyse their dynamics by means of large…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Mikola C. Schlottke

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

We propose a new definition of metastability of Markov processes on countable state spaces. We obtain sufficient conditions for a sequence of processes to be metastable. In the reversible case these conditions are expressed in terms of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Johel Beltrán , Claudio Landim

We describe stochastic calculus in the context of processes that are driven by an adapted point process of locally finite intensity and are differentiable between jumps. This includes Markov chains as well as non-Markov processes. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-07-26 Eric Foxall

Modeling and simulating movement of vehicles in established transportation infrastructures, especially in large urban road networks is an important task. It helps with understanding and handling traffic problems, optimizing traffic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Renátó Besenczi , Norbert Bátfai , Péter Jeszenszky , Roland Major , Fanny Monori , Márton Ispány

The theory of slow manifolds is an important tool in the study of deterministic dynamical systems, giving a practical method by which to reduce the number of relevant degrees of freedom in a model, thereby often resulting in a considerable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-07-01 George W A Constable , Alan J McKane , Tim Rogers

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

The stochastic theory of non-relativistic quantum mechanics presented here relies heavily upon the theory of stochastic processes, with its definitions, theorems and specific vocabulary as well. Its main hypothesis states indeed that the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-04-01 Maurice J. M. L. O. Godart

In this chapter we review stochastic modelling methods in climate science. First we provide a conceptual framework for stochastic modelling of deterministic dynamical systems based on the Mori-Zwanzig formalism. The Mori-Zwanzig equations…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-12-23 Georg A. Gottwald , Daan T. Crommelin , Christian L. E. Franzke

There are multiple ways in which a stochastic system can be out of statistical equilibrium. It might be subject to time-varying forcing; or be in a transient phase on its way towards equilibrium; it might even be in equilibrium without us…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-07-08 Péter Koltai , Hao Wu , Frank Noé , Christof Schütte

We introduce a novel approach based on stochastic optimization to find the optimal sampling distribution for the data-driven stability analysis of switched linear systems. Our goal is to address limitations of existing approaches, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-01 Alexis Vuille , Guillaume O. Berger , Raphaël M. Jungers

This paper presents novel method for distribution-free robust trajectory optimization and control of discrete-time, nonlinear, and non-Gaussian stochastic systems, with closed-loop guarantees on chance constraint satisfaction. Our framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-10 Rihan Aaron D'Silva , Hiroyasu Tsukamoto

For large-scale power networks, the failure of particular transmission lines can offload power to other lines and cause self-protection trips to activate, instigating a cascade of line failures. In extreme cases, this can bring down the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-06-08 Charles Matthews , Bradly Stadie , Jonathan Weare , Mihai Anitescu , Christopher Demarco

Are spinodal instabilities the leading mechanism in the fragmentation of a fermionic system? Numerous experimental indications suggest such a scenario and stimulated much effort in giving a suitable description, without being finalised in a…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2017-04-05 P. Napolitani , M. Colonna , V. de la Mota

This paper presents two stochastic model predictive control methods for linear time-invariant systems subject to unbounded additive uncertainties. The new methods are developed by formulating the chance constraints into deterministic form,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-22 Fei Li , Huiping Li , Yuyao He
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