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The Infinitesimal Jackknife is a general method for estimating variances of parametric models, and more recently also for some ensemble methods. In this paper we extend the Infinitesimal Jackknife to estimate the covariance between any two…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-02 Indrayudh Ghosal , Yunzhe Zhou , Giles Hooker

The problem of adaptive sampling for estimating probability mass functions (pmf) uniformly well is considered. Performance of the sampling strategy is measured in terms of the worst-case mean squared error. A Bayesian variant of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-09 Dhruva Kartik , Neeraj Sood , Urbashi Mitra , Tara Javidi

Pooled testing offers an efficient solution to the unprecedented testing demands of the COVID-19 pandemic, although with potentially lower sensitivity and increased costs to implementation in some settings. Assessments of this trade-off…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-13 Saskia Comess , Hannah Wang , Susan Holmes , Claire Donnat

The COVID-19 pandemic has, worldwide and up to December 2020, caused over 1.7 million deaths, and put the world's most advanced healthcare systems under heavy stress. In many countries, drastic restrictive measures adopted by political…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-18 Giovanni Soldi , Nicola Forti , Domenico Gaglione , Paolo Braca , Leonardo M. Millefiori , Stefano Marano , Peter Willett , Krishna Pattipati

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu

Because of the rapid spread of COVID-19 to almost every part of the globe, huge volumes of data and case studies have been made available, providing researchers with a unique opportunity to find trends and make discoveries like never…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Sarwan Ali , Yijing Zhou , Murray Patterson

In this article, we develop a deterministic compartmental model including the spatio-temporal aspect and the wearing of masks by the general public for the spread of the Covid-19 epidemic. This model is based on the SIR model of Kermack and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-23 Jonas Sylneon

Many datasets describing contacts in a population suffer from incompleteness due to population sampling and underreporting of contacts. Data-driven simulations of spreading processes using such incomplete data lead to an underestimation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-09-07 Julie Fournet , Alain Barrat

To make informative public policy decisions in battling the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to know the disease prevalence in a population. There are two intertwined difficulties in estimating this prevalence based on testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-01 Bryan Cai , John P. A. Ioannidis , Eran Bendavid , Lu Tian

A mathematical model for estimating the risk of airborne transmission of a respiratory infection such as COVID-19, is presented. The model employs basic concepts from fluid dynamics and incorporates the known scope of factors involved in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-28 Rajat Mittal , Charles Meneveau , Wen Wu

The need for small area estimates is increasingly felt in both the public and private sectors in order to formulate their strategic plans. It is now widely recognized that direct small area survey estimates are highly unreliable owing to…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-26 G. Datta , M. Ghosh

In response to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, we present a robust deep learning pipeline that is capable of identifying correct and incorrect mask-wearing from real-time video streams. To accomplish this goal, we devised two separate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Yuchen Ding , Zichen Li , David Yastremsky

The US COVID-19 Forecast Hub, a repository of COVID-19 forecasts from over 50 independent research groups, is used by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) for their official COVID-19 communications. As such, the Forecast Hub…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-20 Saad Mohammad Abrar , Naman Awasthi , Daniel Smolyak , Vanessa Frias-Martinez

Sensitivity and specificity evaluated at an optimal diagnostic cut-off are fundamental measures of classification accuracy when continuous biomarkers are used for disease diagnosis. Joint inference for these quantities is challenging…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Siyan Liu , Qinglong Tian , Chunlin Wang , Pengfei Li

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have been widely applied for detecting COVID-19 in medical images. Existing studies mainly apply transfer learning and other data representation strategies to generate accurate point estimates. The generalization…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-23 Hamzeh Asgharnezhad , Afshar Shamsi , Roohallah Alizadehsani , Abbas Khosravi , Saeid Nahavandi , Zahra Alizadeh Sani , Dipti Srinivasan

With the spiraling pandemic of the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), it has becoming inherently important to disseminate accurate and timely information about the disease. Due to the ubiquity of Internet connectivity and smart devices,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Md Tahmid Rashid , Dong Wang

COVID-19 is a pandemic disease that began to rapidly spread in the US with the first case detected on January 19, 2020, in Washington State. March 9, 2020, and then increased rapidly with total cases of 25,739 as of April 20, 2020. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Shashank Reddy Vadyala , Sai Nethra Betgeri , Eric A. Sherer , Amod Amritphale

An information outbreak occurs on social media along with the COVID-19 pandemic and leads to infodemic. Predicting the popularity of online content, known as cascade prediction, allows for not only catching in advance hot information that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Ninghan Chen , Xihui Chen , Zhiqiang Zhong , Jun Pang

Aim of this paper is the description of a new tool to support institutions in the implementation of targeted countermeasures, based on quantitative and multi-scale elements, for the fight and prevention of emergencies, such as the current…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-11-12 A. Sebastianelli , F. Mauro , G. Di Cosmo , F. Passarini , M. Carminati , S. L. Ullo

The effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions to curb the spread of SARS-CoV-2 is determined by numerous contextual factors, including adherence. Conventional wisdom holds that the effectiveness of protective behaviour such as…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-26 Peter Klimek , Katharina Ledebur , Stefan Thurner
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