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Unlabeled data are increasingly prevalent in contemporary economic studies, yet their effective use for improving prediction remains challenging because the outcomes are often costly or even infeasible to observe. Machine learning methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Fuzhi Xu , Xingyu Yan , Xinyu Zhang

Accurately quantifying uncertainty in large language models (LLMs) is crucial for their reliable deployment, especially in high-stakes applications. Current state-of-the-art methods for measuring semantic uncertainty in LLMs rely on strict…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yashvir S. Grewal , Edwin V. Bonilla , Thang D. Bui

News articles both shape and reflect public opinion across the political spectrum. Analyzing them for social bias can thus provide valuable insights, such as prevailing stereotypes in society and the media, which are often adopted by NLP…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Maximilian Spliethöver , Maximilian Keiff , Henning Wachsmuth

This study examines the role of uncertainty estimation (UE) methods in multilingual text classification under noisy and non-topical conditions. Using a complex-vs-simple sentence classification task across several languages, we evaluate a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Nouran Khallaf , Serge Sharoff

Static word embeddings are ubiquitous in computational social science applications and contribute to practical decision-making in a variety of fields including law and healthcare. However, assessing the statistical uncertainty in downstream…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Andrea Vallebueno , Cassandra Handan-Nader , Christopher D. Manning , Daniel E. Ho

Important game-changer economic events and transformations cause uncertainties that may affect investment decisions, capital flows, international trade, and macroeconomic variables. One such major transformation is Brexit, which refers to…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-08 Ismet Gocer , Julia Darby , Serdar Ongan

Sentence representation at the semantic level is a challenging task for Natural Language Processing and Artificial Intelligence. Despite the advances in word embeddings (i.e. word vector representations), capturing sentence meaning is an…

The macroeconomic climate influences operations with regard to, e.g., raw material prices, financing, supply chain utilization and demand quotas. In order to adapt to the economic environment, decision-makers across the public and private…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Stefan Feuerriegel , Julius Gordon

Model-based reinforcement learning algorithms tend to achieve higher sample efficiency than model-free methods. However, due to the inevitable errors of learned models, model-based methods struggle to achieve the same asymptotic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Qi Zhou , Houqiang Li , Jie Wang

Quantification of the political leaning of online news articles can aid in understanding the dynamics of political ideology in social groups and measures to mitigating them. However, predicting the accurate political leaning of a news…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Sadia Kamal , Jimmy Hartford , Jeremy Willis , Arunkumar Bagavathi

Large language models (LLMs) often produce confident yet incorrect responses, and uncertainty quantification is one potential solution to more robust usage. Recent works routinely rely on self-consistency to estimate aleatoric uncertainty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Kimia Hamidieh , Veronika Thost , Walter Gerych , Mikhail Yurochkin , Marzyeh Ghassemi

The scientific world is changing at a rapid pace, with new technology being developed and new trends being set at an increasing frequency. This paper presents a framework for conducting scientific analyses of academic publications, which is…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Trisha Singhal , Junhua Liu , Lucienne T. M. Blessing , Kwan Hui Lim

This paper addresses a significant gap in explainable AI: the necessity of interpreting epistemic uncertainty in model explanations. Although current methods mainly focus on explaining predictions, with some including uncertainty, they fail…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Helena Löfström , Tuwe Löfström , Johan Hallberg Szabadvary

Epistemic Uncertainty is a measure of the lack of knowledge of a learner which diminishes with more evidence. While existing work focuses on using the variance of the Bayesian posterior due to parameter uncertainty as a measure of epistemic…

The correct way to quantify predictive uncertainty in neural networks remains a topic of active discussion. In particular, it is unclear whether the state-of-the art entropy decomposition leads to a meaningful representation of model, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-07 Lisa Wimmer , Bernd Bischl , Ludwig Bothmann

Diversity in patent language is growing and makes finding synonyms for conducting patent searches more and more challenging. In addition to that, most approaches for dealing with diverse patent language are based on manual search and human…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Mark Standke , Abdullah Kiwan , Annalena Lange , Silvan Berg

This paper presents the approach developed at the Faculty of Engineering of University of Porto, to participate in SemEval 2017, Task 5: Fine-grained Sentiment Analysis on Financial Microblogs and News. The task consisted in predicting a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-04-19 Pedro Saleiro , Eduarda Mendes Rodrigues , Carlos Soares , Eugénio Oliveira

Word embeddings are computed by a class of techniques within natural language processing (NLP), that create continuous vector representations of words in a language from a large text corpus. The stochastic nature of the training process of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-03 Lucas Rettenmeier

Unsupervised approaches to extractive summarization usually rely on a notion of sentence importance defined by the semantic similarity between a sentence and the document. We propose new metrics of relevance and redundancy using pointwise…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-03-24 Vishakh Padmakumar , He He

Text similarity calculation is a fundamental problem in natural language processing and related fields. In recent years, deep neural networks have been developed to perform the task and high performances have been achieved. The neural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Yilin Niu , Chao Qiao , Hang Li , Minlie Huang