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We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Denny Thaler , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Franz Bamer , Bernd Markert , Michael D. Shields

A new Monte Carlo method is proposed for fermion systems interacting with classical degrees of freedom. To obtain a weight for each Monte Carlo sample with a fixed configuration of classical variables, the moment expansion of the density of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2015-06-24 Yukitoshi Motome , Nobuo Furukawa

The integrated conditional moment (ICM) test is a classical and widely used method for assessing the adequacy of regression models. Although it performs well in fixed-dimension settings, its behavior changes dramatically when the predictor…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-17 Yue Hu , Haiqi Li , Xintao Xia

This study introduces a computationally efficient algorithm, delayed acceptance Markov chain Monte Carlo (DA-MCMC), designed to improve posterior simulation in quasi-Bayesian inference. Quasi-Bayesian methods, which do not require fully…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-16 Masahiro Tanaka

Several methods have been proposed for correcting the elevation bias in digital elevation models (DEMs) for example, linear regression. Nowadays, supervised machine learning enables the modelling of complex relationships between variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Chukwuma Okolie , Adedayo Adeleke , Julian Smit , Jon Mills , Iyke Maduako , Caleb Ogbeta

This paper develops robust test procedures for testing the intercept of a simple regression model when it is \textit{apriori} suspected that the slope has a specified value. Defining unrestricted test (UT), restricted test (RT) and pre-test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-11 Rossita M Yunus , Shahjahan Khan

Statistical inference methods are fundamentally important in machine learning. Most state-of-the-art inference algorithms are variants of Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or variational inference (VI). However, both methods struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-17 Yichuan Zhang , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

A new method based on the rejection sampling for finding statistical tests is proposed. This method is conceptually intuitive, easy to implement, and applicable for arbitrary dimension. To illustrate its potential applicability, three…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Markku Kuismin

Recent advancements in multi-modal large language models have propelled the development of joint probabilistic models capable of both image understanding and generation. However, we have identified that recent methods suffer from loss of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jian Yang , Dacheng Yin , Yizhou Zhou , Fengyun Rao , Wei Zhai , Yang Cao , Zheng-Jun Zha

Consider the {$\ell_{\alpha}$} regularized linear regression, also termed Bridge regression. For $\alpha\in (0,1)$, Bridge regression enjoys several statistical properties of interest such as sparsity and near-unbiasedness of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-10 Jorge Loría , Anindya Bhadra

This article introduces the Modified Parameterized Leapfrog Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (MPL-HMC) method, a novel extension of HMC addressing key limitations through tunable integration parameters $\alpha(\delta t)$ and $\beta(\delta t)$,…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-17 Sourabh Bhattacharya

Adaptive importance sampling is a widely spread Monte Carlo technique that uses a re-weighting strategy to iteratively estimate the so-called target distribution. A major drawback of adaptive importance sampling is the large variance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Anna Korba , François Portier

We discuss two novel approaches to the classical two-sample problem. Our starting point are properly standardized and combined, very popular in several areas of statistics and data analysis, ordinal dominance and receiver characteristic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-26 Teresa Ledwina , Adam Zagdański

Energy-based models (EBMs) are generative models inspired by statistical physics with a wide range of applications in unsupervised learning. Their performance is best measured by the cross-entropy (CE) of the model distribution relative to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Davide Carbone , Mengjian Hua , Simon Coste , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

Quasi-Monte Carlo (QMC) methods for estimating integrals are attractive since the resulting estimators typically converge at a faster rate than pseudo-random Monte Carlo. However, they can be difficult to set up on arbitrary posterior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Tobias Schwedes , Ben Calderhead

In this paper, we present the results of Monte Carlo simulations for two popular techniques of long-range correlations detection - classical and modified rescaled range analyses. A focus is put on an effect of different distributional…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-24 Ladislav Kristoufek

This work introduces a novel multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) metamodeling approach for variance function estimation. Although devising an efficient experimental design for simulation metamodeling can be elusive, the MLMC-based approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-22 Jingtao Zhang , Xi Chen

To gain a comprehensive view of what the LHC tells us about physics beyond the Standard Model (BSM), it is crucial that different BSM-sensitive analyses can be combined. But in general, search analyses are not statistically orthogonal, so…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-04-19 Jack Y. Araz , Andy Buckley , Benjamin Fuks , Humberto Reyes-Gonzalez , Wolfgang Waltenberger , Sophie L. Williamson , Jamie Yellen

The reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo (RJMCMC) method offers an across-model simulation approach for Bayesian estimation and model comparison, by exploring the sampling space that consists of several models of possibly varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We present a unified theory of the variational Monte Carlo (VMC) and determinant quantum Monte Carlo (DQMC) methods using a novel density matrix formulation of VMC. We introduce an efficient algorithm for VMC to compute correlation…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2018-10-02 Mohammad-Sadegh Vaezi , Abolhassan Vaezi