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Linear mixed models (LMMs) are a popular class of methods for analyzing longitudinal and clustered data. However, such models can be sensitive to outliers, and this can lead to biased inference on model parameters and inaccurate prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Francis K. C. Hui , Alan H. Welsh

We present novel Monte Carlo (MC) and multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods to determine the unbiased covariance of random variables using h-statistics. The advantage of this procedure lies in the unbiased construction of the estimator's…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-09 Sharana Kumar Shivanand

Linear regression with measurement error in the covariates is a heavily studied topic, however, the statistics/econometrics literature is almost silent to estimating a multi-equation model with measurement error. This paper considers a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Georges Bresson , Anoop Chaturvedi , Mohammad Arshad Rahman , Shalabh

This paper investigates the comparative performance of two fundamental approaches to solving linear regression problems: the closed-form Moore-Penrose pseudoinverse and the iterative gradient descent method. Linear regression is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-30 Alex Adams

Deploying deep learning models in safety-critical applications remains a very challenging task, mandating the provision of assurances for the dependable operation of these models. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods estimate the model's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Daniel Bethell , Simos Gerasimou , Radu Calinescu

Quantifying the similarity of two or more datasets has widespread applications in statistics and machine learning. The method choice is, however, difficult due to the abundance of proposed methods and the lack of neutral comparison studies,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Marieke Stolte , Jörg Rahnenführer , Andrea Bommert

Modern training and inference pipelines in statistical learning and deep learning repeatedly invoke linear-system solves as inner loops, yet high-accuracy deterministic solvers can be prohibitively expensive when solves must be repeated…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-06 Sarah Polson , Vadim Sokolov

Message-Passing Monte Carlo (MPMC) was recently introduced as a novel low-discrepancy sampling approach leveraging tools from geometric deep learning. While originally designed for generating uniform point sets, we extend this framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Nathan Kirk , T. Konstantin Rusch , Jakob Zech , Daniela Rus

High-dimensional multinomial regression models are very useful in practice but have received less research attention than logistic regression models, especially from the perspective of statistical inference. In this work, we analyze the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Ye Tian , Henry Rusinek , Arjun V. Masurkar , Yang Feng

We introduce a new class of sequential Monte Carlo methods which reformulates the essence of the nested sampling method of Skilling (2006) in terms of sequential Monte Carlo techniques. Two new algorithms are proposed, nested sampling via…

We present a new method for conducting Monte Carlo inference in graphical models which combines explicit search with generalized importance sampling. The idea is to reduce the variance of importance sampling by searching for significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Dale Schuurmans , Finnegan Southey

We are interested in the problem of two-sample network hypothesis testing: given two networks with the same set of nodes, we wish to test whether the underlying Bernoulli probability matrices of the two networks are the same or not. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Jiashun Jin , Zheng Tracy Ke , Shengming Luo , Yucong Ma

We propose a new mapping tool for supervised and unsupervised analysis of multivariate binary data with multiple items, questions, or response variables. The mapping assumes an underlying proximity response function, where participants can…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-23 Mark de Rooij , Dion Woestenburg , Frank Busing

Mendelian randomization (MR) is a widely used tool for causal inference in the presence of unmeasured confounders, which uses single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) as instrumental variables to estimate causal effects. However, SNPs often…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-29 Ruoyu Wang , Haoyu Zhang , Xihong Lin

We develop a framework that allows the use of the multi-level Monte Carlo (MLMC) methodology (Giles2015) to calculate expectations with respect to the invariant measure of an ergodic SDE. In that context, we study the (over-damped) Langevin…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-13 Michael B. Giles , Mateusz B. Majka , Lukasz Szpruch , Sebastian Vollmer , Konstantinos Zygalakis

A series of monte carlo studies were performed to assess the extent to which different inference procedures robustly output reasonable belief values in the context of increasing levels of judgmental imprecision. It was found that, when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-05 Paul E. Lehner

We present a practical implementation of a Monte Carlo method to estimate the significance of cross-correlations in unevenly sampled time series of data, whose statistical properties are modeled with a simple power-law power spectral…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-22 W. Max-Moerbeck , J. L. Richards , T. Hovatta , V. Pavlidou , T. J. Pearson , A. C. S. Readhead

Data depth has emerged as an invaluable nonparametric measure for the ranking of multivariate samples. The main contribution of depth-based two-sample comparisons is the introduction of the Q statistic (Liu and Singh, 1993), a quality…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-21 Yiting Chen , Min Gao , Wei Lin , Andrew Jirasek , Kirsty Milligan , Xiaoping Shi

To conduct Bayesian inference with large data sets, it is often convenient or necessary to distribute the data across multiple machines. We consider a likelihood function expressed as a product of terms, each associated with a subset of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-09 Lewis J. Rendell , Adam M. Johansen , Anthony Lee , Nick Whiteley

Recent advances in machine learning have led to the development of new methods for enhancing Monte Carlo methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and importance sampling (IS). One such method is normalizing flows, which use a neural…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-12 Charly Andral