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Multi-fidelity optimization employs surrogate models that integrate information from varying levels of fidelity to guide efficient exploration of complex design spaces while minimizing the reliance on (expensive) high-fidelity objective…

We consider a class of stochastic interdiction games between an upper-level decision-maker (the leader) and a lower-level decision-maker (the follower), where uncertainty lies in the follower's objective function coefficients. Specifically,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Sergey S. Ketkov , Oleg A. Prokopyev

High-resolution simulation models are essential for representing complex physical systems, yet their substantial computational cost severely limits the number of feasible high-fidelity (HF) evaluations. This problem is often addressed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Hossein Mohammadi

We present a systematic investigation of deep learning methods applied to quantum error mitigation of noisy output probability distributions from measured quantum circuits. We compare different architectures, from fully connected neural…

In a multifidelity setting, data are available under the same conditions from two (or more) sources, e.g. computer codes, one being lower-fidelity but computationally cheaper, and the other higher-fidelity and more expensive. This work…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-25 Minji Kim , Kevin O'Connor , Vladas Pipiras , Themistoklis Sapsis

This paper addresses the challenge of model uncertainty in quantitative finance, where decisions in portfolio allocation, derivative pricing, and risk management rely on estimating stochastic models from limited data. In practice, the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-10 Hans Buehler , Blanka Horvath , Yannick Limmer , Thorsten Schmidt

Given a finite family of functions, the goal of model selection aggregation is to construct a procedure that mimics the function from this family that is the closest to an unknown regression function. More precisely, we consider a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-12-13 Dong Dai , Philippe Rigollet , Tong Zhang

We describe and analyze a variance reduction approach for Monte Carlo (MC) sampling that accelerates the estimation of statistics of computationally expensive simulation models using an ensemble of models with lower cost. These lower cost…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Alex A. Gorodetsky , Gianluca Geraci , Mike Eldred , John D. Jakeman

Recent progress in machine learning (ML) has made high-accuracy quantum chemistry (QC) calculations more accessible. Of particular interest are multifidelity machine learning (MFML) methods where training data from differing accuracies or…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-03-26 Vivin Vinod , Peter Zaspel

Recent years have experienced increasing utilization of complex machine learning models across multiple sources of data to inform more generalizable decision-making. However, distribution shifts across data sources and privacy concerns…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-16 Yi Liu , Alexander W. Levis , Sharon-Lise Normand , Larry Han

A core element in decision-making under uncertainty is the feedback on the quality of the performed actions. However, in many applications, such feedback is restricted. For example, in recommendation systems, repeatedly asking the user to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Yonathan Efroni , Nadav Merlis , Aadirupa Saha , Shie Mannor

Machine learning methods are increasingly widely used in high-risk settings such as healthcare, transportation, and finance. In these settings, it is important that a model produces calibrated uncertainty to reflect its own confidence and…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sophia Sun

We study an extension of the standard two-party communication model in which Alice and Bob hold probability distributions $p$ and $q$ over domains $X$ and $Y$, respectively. Their goal is to estimate \[ \mathbb{E}_{x \sim p,\, y \sim…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Parikshit Gopalan , Raghu Meka , Prasad Raghavendra , Mihir Singhal , Avi Wigderson

Constructing confidence intervals that are simultaneously valid across a class of estimates is central to tasks such as multiple mean estimation, generalization guarantees, and adaptive experimental design. We frame this as an ``error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-05 Sanath Kumar Krishnamurthy , Anna Lyubarskaja , Emma Brunskill , Susan Athey

Federated Learning (FL) has increasingly been recognized as an innovative and secure distributed model training paradigm, aiming to coordinate multiple edge clients to collaboratively train a shared model without uploading their private…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-15 Wenhao Yuan , Xuehe Wang

A common goal throughout science and engineering is to solve optimization problems constrained by computational models. However, in many cases a high-fidelity numerical emulation of systems cannot be optimized due to code complexity and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-31 Joseph Hart , Bart van Bloemen Waanders

Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

The growing demand for real-time processing tasks is driving the need for multi-model inference pipelines on edge devices. However, cost-effectively deploying these pipelines while optimizing Quality of Service (QoS) and costs poses…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Jinhao Sheng , Zhiqing Tang , Jianxiong Guo , Tian Wang

Radio resource allocation often calls for the optimization of black-box objective functions whose evaluation is expensive in real-world deployments. Conventional optimization methods apply separately to each new system configuration,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-09 Yunchuan Zhang , Sangwoo Park , Osvaldo Simeone

Recent developments in Reinforcement learning have significantly enhanced sequential decision-making in uncertain environments. Despite their strong performance guarantees, most existing work has focused primarily on improving the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-13 Bo Pan , Jianya Lu , Yafei Wang , Hao Li , Bei Jiang , Linglong Kong