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Bayesian optimization (BO) is increasingly employed in critical applications such as materials design and drug discovery. An increasingly popular strategy in BO is to forgo the sole reliance on high-fidelity data and instead use an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-22 Zahra Zanjani Foumani , Mehdi Shishehbor , Amin Yousefpour , Ramin Bostanabad

The work focuses on gathering high-fidelity and low-fidelity numerical simulations data using Nektar++ (Solver based on Applied Mathematics) and XFOIL respectively. The utilization of the higher polynomial distribution in calculating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Swapnil Kumar

Machine learning techniques typically rely on large datasets to create accurate classifiers. However, there are situations when data is scarce and expensive to acquire. This is the case of studies that rely on state-of-the-art computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Francisco Sahli Costabal , Paris Perdikaris , Ellen Kuhl , Daniel E. Hurtado

We propose a novel approach to allocating resources for expensive simulations of high fidelity models when used in a multifidelity framework. Allocation decisions that distribute computational resources across several simulation models…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-01-01 Daniel J. Perry , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan , Ross T. Whitaker

A vital stage in the mathematical modelling of real-world systems is to calibrate a model's parameters to observed data. Likelihood-free parameter inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computation, build Monte Carlo samples of the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P Prescott , Ruth E Baker

This paper considers a distributed adaptive optimization problem, where all agents only have access to their local cost functions with a common unknown parameter, whereas they mean to collaboratively estimate the true parameter and find the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Yaqun Yang , Jinlong Lei , Guanghui Wen , Yiguang Hong

In the context of optimization approaches to engineering applications, time-consuming simulations are often utilized which can be configured to deliver solutions for various levels of accuracy, commonly referred to as different fidelity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Sander van Rijn , Sebastian Schmitt , Matthijs van Leeuwen , Thomas Bäck

Estimating the fidelity with a target state is important in quantum information tasks. Many fidelity estimation techniques present a suitable measurement scheme to perform the estimation. In contrast, we present techniques that allow the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-07-12 Akshay Seshadri , Martin Ringbauer , Jacob Spainhour , Thomas Monz , Stephen Becker

Multifidelity uncertainty propagation combines the efficiency of low-fidelity models with the accuracy of a high-fidelity model to construct statistical estimators of quantities of interest. It is well known that the effectiveness of such…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-06 James E. Warner , Geoffrey F. Bomarito , Gianluca Geraci , Michael S. Eldred

As machine learning models grow increasingly competent, their predictions can supplement scarce or expensive data in various important domains. In support of this paradigm, algorithms have emerged to combine a small amount of high-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Zhun Deng , Thomas P Zollo , Benjamin Eyre , Amogh Inamdar , David Madras , Richard Zemel

We propose a quantum multi-level estimation framework for a functional $\sum_{i=1}^n f(p_i)$ of a discrete distribution $(p_i)_{i=1}^n$. We partition the values $p_i$ into logarithmically many intervals whose length decays exponentially.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-06 Kean Chen , Minbo Gao , Tongyang Li , Qisheng Wang , Xinzhao Wang

Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Since the cost of installing and maintaining sensors is usually high, sensor locations are always strategically selected. For those aiming at inferring certain quantities of interest (QoI), it is desirable to explore the dependency between…

Computation · Statistics 2019-06-05 Xiao Lin , Asif Chowdhury , Xiaofan Wang , Gabriel Terejanu

This paper introduces a method for efficiently inferring a high-dimensional distributed quantity from a few observations. The quantity of interest (QoI) is approximated in a basis (dictionary) learned from a training set. The coefficients…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-28 Lionel Mathelin , Kévin Kasper , Hisham Abou-Kandil

The design and testing of supervised machine learning models combine two fundamental distributions: (1) the training data distribution (2) the testing data distribution. Although these two distributions are identical and identifiable when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Peyman Tavallali , Hamed Hamze Bajgiran , Danial J. Esaid , Houman Owhadi

Simulation optimization is often hindered by the high cost of running simulations. Multi-fidelity methods offer a promising solution by incorporating cheaper, lower-fidelity simulations to reduce computational time. However, the bias in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-07 Yunsoo Ha , Juliane Mueller

Approximate inference in probability models is a fundamental task in machine learning. Approximate inference provides powerful tools to Bayesian reasoning, decision making, and Bayesian deep learning. The main goal is to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-10 Jun Han

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

This paper studies the expected optimal value of a mixed 0-1 programming problem with uncertain objective coefficients following a joint distribution. We assume that the true distribution is not known exactly, but a set of independent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Guanglin Xu , Samuel Burer

As predictive algorithms grow in popularity, using the same dataset to both train and test a new model has become routine across research, policy, and industry. Sample-splitting attains valid inference on model properties by using separate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-27 Bruno Fava