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A statistical model is said to be un-normalised when its likelihood function involves an intractable normalising constant. Two popular methods for parameter inference for these models are MC-MLE (Monte Carlo maximum likelihood estimation),…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-01 Lionel Riou-Durand , Nicolas Chopin

In this paper, we study estimation of certain integral functionals of one or two densities with samples from stationary m-dependent sequences. We consider two types of U-statistic estimators for these functionals that are functions of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 David Källberg , Oleg Seleznjev

We study asymptotic behavior of one-step weighted $M$-estimators based on samples from arrays of not necessarily identically distributed random variables and representing explicit approximations to the corresponding consistent weighted…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-07 Yu. Yu. Linke

A new modification of the minimum-contrast estimator (the weighted MCE) of drift parameter in a linear stochastic evolution equation with additive fractional noise is introduced in the setting of the spectral approach (Fourier coordinates…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-30 Pavel Kriz

The aim of this article is to simplify Pfanzagl's proof of consistency for asymptotic maximum likelihood estimators, and to extend it to more general asymptotic M-estimators. The method relies on the existence of a sort of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-10-08 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

This paper considers a simulation-based estimator for a general class of Markovian processes and explores some strong consistency properties of the estimator. The estimation problem is defined over a continuum of invariant distributions…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-01-14 Manuel S. Santos

In this paper we present an estimator for the three-dimensional parameter $(\sigma, \alpha, H)$ of the linear fractional stable motion, where $H$ represents the self-similarity parameter, and $(\sigma, \alpha)$ are the scaling and stability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-26 Mathias Mørck Ljungdahl , Mark Podolskij

M-estimation, aka empirical risk minimization, is at the heart of statistics and machine learning: Classification, regression, location estimation, etc. Asymptotic theory is well understood when the loss satisfies some smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

Assume that we observe a stochastic process $(X(t))_{t\in[-r,T]}$, which satisfies the linear stochastic delay differential equation \[ \mathrm{d} X(t) = \vartheta \int_{[-r,0]} X(t + u) \, a(\mathrm{d} u) \, \mathrm{d} t + \mathrm{d} W(t)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-17 János Marcell Benke , Gyula Pap

Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Alexandre Brouste , Hiroki Masuda

Correlated random fields are a common way to model dependence struc- tures in high-dimensional data, especially for data collected in imaging. One important parameter characterizing the degree of dependence is the asymp- totic variance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-20 Annabel Prause , Ansgar Steland

Motivated by the construction of the It\^o stochastic integral, we consider a step function method to discretize and simulate volatility modulated L\'evy semistationary processes. Moreover, we assess the accuracy of the method with a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-07-11 Mikkel Bennedsen , Asger Lunde , Mikko S. Pakkanen

The aim of this paper is to develop estimation and inference methods for the drift parameters of multivariate L\'evy-driven continuous-time autoregressive processes of order $p\in\mathbb{N}$. Starting from a continuous-time observation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-26 Lorenzo Lucchese , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Almut E. D. Veraart

This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Carsten H. Chong , Fabian Mies

We propose to approximate the conditional expectation of a spatial random variable given its nearest-neighbour observations by an additive function. The setting is meaningful in practice and requires no unilateral ordering. It is capable of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-28 Zudi Lu , Arvid Lundervold , Dag Tjøstheim , Qiwei Yao

Asymptotic statistical theory for estimating functions is reviewed in a generality suitable for stochastic processes. Conditions concerning existence of a consistent estimator, uniqueness, rate of convergence, and the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jean Jacod , Michael Sørensen

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a non-stationary Hawkes process with time-dependent reproduction rate and baseline intensity. Our approach relies on the standard maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), coinciding with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

The R\'enyi entropy is a generalization of the Shannon entropy and is widely used in mathematical statistics and applied sciences for quantifying the uncertainty in a probability distribution. We consider estimation of the quadratic R\'enyi…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-08 David Källberg , Nikolaj Leonenko , Oleg Seleznjev

We study parametric inference for diffusion processes when observations occur nonsynchronously and are contaminated by market microstructure noise. We construct a quasi-likelihood function and study asymptotic mixed normality of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-12-29 Teppei Ogihara

Maximum likelihood estimators for time-dependent mean functions within Gaussian processes are provided in the context of continuous observations. We find the widest possible class of mean functions for which the likelihood function can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yuto Nishiwaki , Yasutaka Shimizu , Nobutoki Takaoka